UFC 303: Pereira vs. Prochazka 2
Las Vegas, USA
29 Jun 2024
Bantamweight
VS
47%
Simon
53%
Oliveira
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Ricky
Ricky Simon
22 – 7
5'6"69" reachOrthodox33 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 49
Vinicius
Vinicius Oliveira
"LokDog"
23 – 4
Well-Rounded30 yrsSwitch70" reach5'9"
CFR 55

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Oliveira

This is a genuine toss-up — Simon at 47% vs Oliveira at 53% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Oliveira has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Simon's chin rating of 48 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Simon
Oliveira
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'6"
Height
+5'9"
69"
Reach
+70"
33
Age
+30
Orthodox
Stance
Switch
Simon
Oliveira
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
48.8
55.0
48.0
Performance Avg
50.8
38
Quality of Victory
31
56
Momentum Score
76
Simon
Oliveira
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.0
2.2
41%
Strike Accuracy
47%
3.3
Striking Style Score (/10)
4.1
2 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
7
Head
27
2
Body
10
2
Leg
3
RangeRange
11Distance39
0Clinch0
0Ground1
Simon
Oliveira
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
3.6
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.8
2.5
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.3
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Simon
Oliveira
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
48
88
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
2
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R3.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
6 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
17/29 fights
Chin rating based on
5/27 fights
Simon
Oliveira
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
56
76
Upcoming
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R3
Simon
Oliveira
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
25%
2
KO / TKO Wins
1
3
Submission Wins
0
5
Decision Wins
3

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Simon
Oliveira
Striking3.3 / 4.1Volume5.3 / 7.6Grappling3.6 / 1.8Wrestling2.5 / 1.3Submission3.0 / 0.0Pressure5.4 / 4.2
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.1
3.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.8
2.5
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.3
3.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.4
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.2
5.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
7.6
Simon
Strike Zones
Oliveira
Simon
Attacking
7HEAD2BODY2LEGS11 landed
Absorbing
27HEAD10BODY3LEGS40 absorbed
Oliveira
Attacking
27HEAD10BODY3LEGS40 landed
Absorbing
7HEAD2BODY2LEGS11 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Simon targets the head (64% of attacks) — Oliveira absorbs 64% of strikes there
🎯Oliveira targets the head (68% of attacks) — Simon absorbs 68% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Simon
RND
Oliveira
0/0R00/0

Simon · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.4
0106.8W5.4W4.9W1.5L6.7L4.5W5.2W4.8W5.2W6.0W5.3L6.6L6.5L5.4W4.5W6.3L2018-042019-122021-122024-062025-11
WinLossTrend

Oliveira · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.2
0106.5W5.2W5.9W5.2W3.2L2024-032024-062025-022025-072026-02
WinLossTrend

Simon · Last 5

Upcoming
Adrian Yanez
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Pyfer · 2026-03
L · Dec · R3
Raoni BarcelosRating 6.3
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Bonfim vs. Brown · 2025-11
W · Dec · R3
Cameron SmothermanRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Usman vs. Buckley · 2025-06
W · KO · R1
Javid BasharatRating 5.4
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Cejudo vs. Song · 2025-02
L · Dec · R3
Vinicius OliveiraRating 6.5
Decision
UFC 303: Pereira vs. Prochazka 2 · 2024-06

Oliveira · Last 5

L · Sub · R2
Mario BautistaRating 3.2
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Bautista vs. Oliveira · 2026-02
W · Dec · R3
Kyler PhillipsRating 5.2
Decision
UFC 318: Holloway vs. Poirier 3 · 2025-07
W · Dec · R3
Said NurmagomedovRating 5.9
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Imavov · 2025-02
W · Dec · R3
Ricky SimonRating 5.2
Decision
UFC 303: Pereira vs. Prochazka 2 · 2024-06
W · KO · R3
Benardo SopajRating 6.5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Gaziev · 2024-03

News & Media

Ricky Simon · Vinicius Oliveira
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