METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 303: Pereira vs. Prochazka 2
Las Vegas, USA
29 Jun 2024
Bantamweight
VS
45%
Simon
55%
Oliveira
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Vinicius OliveirawinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Ricky Simon · UFC 303: Pereira vs. Prochazka 2
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Oliveira
→
Actual result
Oliveira wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Simon at 45% vs Oliveira at 55% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 10 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Risk flags
Simon's chin rating of 48 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
SimonOliveira
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Simon
Oliveira
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'6"
Height
+5'9"
69"
Reach
+70"
34
Age
+30
Orthodox
Stance
Switch
Simon
Oliveira
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
48.8
58.8
48.0
Performance Avg
54.9
38
Quality of Victory
36
56
Momentum Score
76
Simon
Oliveira
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.3
/ 10
5.7
/ 10
5.4
Style: Pressure
5.3
5.3
Style: Volume
6.5
2 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
2 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
7
Head
27
2
Body
10
2
Leg
3
RangeRange
11Distance39
0Clinch0
0Ground1
Simon
Oliveira
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.6
/ 10
1.4
/ 10
2.5
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.0
3.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
3
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Simon
Oliveira
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
48
88
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
2
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R3.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
7 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
18/29 fights
Chin rating based on
6/27 fights
Simon
Oliveira
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
56
76
Upcoming
Upcoming
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
Last 5
W · KO · R2
L · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Simon
Oliveira
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
40%
2
KO / TKO Wins
2
3
Submission Wins
0
5
Decision Wins
3
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Simon
Oliveira
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.7
3.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.4
2.5
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.0
3.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.4
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.3
5.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.5
SimonOliveira
Strike Zones
Simon
Attacking
11 landedAbsorbing
40 absorbedOliveira
Attacking
40 landedAbsorbing
11 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Simon targets the head (64% of attacks) — Oliveira absorbs 64% of strikes there
🎯Oliveira targets the head (68% of attacks) — Simon absorbs 68% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Simon
RND
Oliveira
0/0R00/0
Simon · Last 5
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