UFC Fight Night: Mendes vs Lamas
Fairfax, USA
4 Apr 2015
Featherweight
VS
50%
Mendes
50%
Lamas
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 2:45
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Mendes
This is a genuine toss-up — Mendes at 50% vs Lamas at 50% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Striking split: Lamas throws more volume but Mendes connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Mendes's chin rating of 10 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Lamas has a chin rating of 28 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Mendes
Lamas
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'6"
Height
+5'8"
66"
Reach
+71"
41+
Age
44
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Mendes
Lamas
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
21.1
20.7
54.7
Performance Avg
52.0
48
Quality of Victory
44
100
Momentum Score
98
Mendes
Lamas
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.5
1.7
57%
Strike Accuracy
54%
8.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
4.9
6 KOs
KO Finishes
4 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
24
Head
2
0
Body
0
3
Leg
6
RangeRange
5Distance8
5Clinch0
17Ground0
Mendes
Lamas
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.4
0.8
Grappling Style Score (/10)
3.0
0.6
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.1
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Mendes
Lamas
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
10
28
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
KO risk
4
KO/TKO Losses
3
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.5 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
14/23 fights
Chin rating based on
17/28 fights
Mendes
Lamas
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
98
L · KO · R2
W · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R2
W · KO · R1
Last 5
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
Mendes
Lamas
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
67%
64%
6
KO / TKO Wins
4
0
Submission Wins
3
3
Decision Wins
4
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Mendes
Lamas
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
8.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.9
0.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.0
0.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.1
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.7
6.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.4
4.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.2
MendesLamas
Strike Zones
Mendes
Attacking
27 landedAbsorbing
8 absorbedLamas
Attacking
8 landedAbsorbing
27 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Mendes targets the head (89% of attacks) — Lamas absorbs 89% of strikes there
🎯Lamas targets the legs (75% of attacks) — Mendes absorbs 75% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Mendes
RND
Lamas
0/0R00/0
0/0R20/0
Mendes · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.5WinLossTrend
Lamas · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.7WinLossTrend
Mendes · Last 5
L · KO · R2
Alexander VolkanovskiRating 4.2KO/TKO
UFC 232: Jones vs. Gustafsson 2 · 2018-12
W · KO · R1
Myles JuryRating 5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Dos Santos vs. Ivanov · 2018-07
L · KO · R1
Frankie EdgarRating 1.5KO/TKO
The Ultimate Fighter: Team McGregor vs. Team Faber Finale · 2015-12
L · KO · R2
Conor McGregorRating 4.1KO/TKO
UFC 189: Mendes vs McGregor · 2015-07
W · KO · R1
Ricardo LamasRating 5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Mendes vs Lamas · 2015-04
Lamas · Last 5
W · Dec · R3
Bill AlgeoRating 4.7Decision
UFC Fight Night: Smith vs. Rakic · 2020-08
L · KO · R1
Calvin KattarRating 2KO/TKO
UFC 238: Cejudo vs. Moraes · 2019-06
W · KO · R3
Darren ElkinsRating 6KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Magny vs. Ponzinibbio · 2018-11
L · Dec · R3
Mirsad BekticRating 5.5Decision
UFC 225: Whittaker vs. Romero 2 · 2018-06
L · KO · R1
Josh EmmettRating 1.6KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Lawler vs. Dos Anjos · 2017-12