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UFC Fight Night: Maia vs LaFlare
Rio de Janeiro, Brazil
21 Mar 2015
Welterweight
VS
68%
Maia
32%
LaFlare
Win Probability
Decision
Round 5 Β· 5:00
DM
Demian Maia
28 – 11
6'1"72" reachSouthpaw48 yrs2-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 32
RL
Ryan LaFlare
14 – 3
Well-Rounded42 yrsSouthpaw74" reach6'1"
CFR 15
β˜… Official Result
Demian MaiawinsDecisionR5 Β· 5:00
def. Ryan LaFlare Β· UFC Fight Night: Maia vs LaFlare

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis Β· prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Maia
β†’
Actual result
Maia wins
Decision Β· R5
Pre-fight analysis

Maia holds a meaningful edge at 68% per the CFR ratings β€” but LaFlare has real paths to victory.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 18 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Maia has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition β€” a QoV edge of 15 points.

LaFlare has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Maia's chin rating of 38 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

LaFlare has a chin rating of 54 β€” a potential KO vulnerability.

This Fight β€” Statistics

Actual stats from this bout
MaiaLaFlare
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
β€”
Strike Accuracy
β€”
Maia
LaFlare
Physical Matchup
Height Β· Reach Β· Age Β· Stance
6'1"
Height
6'1"
72"
Reach
+74"
48
Age
+42
Southpaw
Stance
Southpaw
Maia
LaFlare
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
32.4
14.9
50.8
Performance Avg
43.0
40
Quality of Victory
25
100
Momentum Score
60
Maia
LaFlare
Striking
Career averages Β· see This Fight stats above
0.5
1.0
41%
Strike Accuracy
42%
1.8
Striking Style Score (/10)
1.4
1 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
4
Head
6
1
Body
5
0
Leg
5
RangeRange
4Distance15
0Clinch0
1Ground1
Maia
LaFlare
Grappling
Career averages Β· see This Fight stats above
β€”
β€”
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
0.2
5.1
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.4
3.6
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.7
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Maia
LaFlare
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
38
54
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
2
KO/TKO Losses
2
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.5 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
β€”
Strikes absorbed / min
β€”
33/39 fights
Chin rating based on
10/17 fights
Maia
LaFlare
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance β€” most recent weighted 30%
100
60
2-fight πŸ“‰ slide
Current form
L Β· Dec Β· R3
L Β· KO Β· R1
W Β· Sub Β· R3
W Β· Dec Β· R3
W Β· Sub Β· R1
Last 5
L Β· KO Β· R3
W Β· Dec Β· R3
L Β· KO Β· R2
W Β· Dec Β· R3
W Β· Dec Β· R3
Maia
LaFlare
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
55%
0%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
11
Submission Wins
0
10
Decision Wins
7

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar β€” 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Maia
LaFlare
Striking1.8 / 1.4Volume5.0 / 9.4Grappling5.1 / 2.4Wrestling3.6 / 1.7Submission5.0 / 0.0Pressure5.8 / 2.1
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.4
5.1
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
3.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
5.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
2.1
5.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
9.4
Maia
Strike Zones
LaFlare
Maia
Attacking
4HEAD1BODY0LEGS5 landed
Absorbing
6HEAD5BODY5LEGS16 absorbed
LaFlare
Attacking
6HEAD5BODY5LEGS16 landed
Absorbing
4HEAD1BODY0LEGS5 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Maia targets the head (80% of attacks) β€” LaFlare absorbs 80% of strikes there
🎯LaFlare targets the head (38% of attacks) β€” Maia absorbs 38% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight Β· per-round breakdown

Maia
RND
LaFlare
0/0R00/0

Maia Β· QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.0
0105.0W5.4W5.5W5.0W5.0W1.5L4.5W5.5L4.5W4.5W5.5L4.5W6.3L5.0W5.0W4.5W5.5L5.5L4.5W4.5W5.9W5.6W5.9W5.0W4.5W5.5L6.8L6.6L5.0W4.5W5.2W1.7L6.6L2007-102010-122014-052018-052021-06
WinLossTrend

LaFlare Β· QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.5
0104.5W5.0W4.7W4.5W5.5L4.5W4.5W2.8L4.5W4.0L2013-042014-042017-022018-10
WinLossTrend

Maia Β· Last 5

L Β· Dec Β· R3
Belal MuhammadRating 6.6
Decision
UFC 263: Adesanya vs. Vettori 2 Β· 2021-06
L Β· KO Β· R1
Gilbert BurnsRating 1.7
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Lee vs. Oliveira Β· 2020-03
W Β· Sub Β· R3
Ben AskrenRating 5.2
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Maia vs. Askren Β· 2019-10
W Β· Dec Β· R3
Anthony Rocco MartinRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Ngannou vs. Dos Santos Β· 2019-06
W Β· Sub Β· R1
Lyman GoodRating 5
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Assuncao vs. Moraes 2 Β· 2019-02

LaFlare Β· Last 5

L Β· KO Β· R3
Anthony Rocco MartinRating 4
KO/TKO
UFC 229: Khabib vs. McGregor Β· 2018-10
W Β· Dec Β· R3
Alex GarciaRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Lee Β· 2018-04
L Β· KO Β· R2
Alex OliveiraRating 2.8
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Weidman vs. Gastelum Β· 2017-07
W Β· Dec Β· R3
Roan CarneiroRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 208: Holm vs. De Randamie Β· 2017-02
W Β· Dec Β· R3
Mike PierceRating 4.5
Decision
The Ultimate Fighter: Team McGregor vs. Team Faber Finale Β· 2015-12

News & Media

Demian Maia Β· Ryan LaFlare
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