UFC Fight Night: Maia vs LaFlare
Rio de Janeiro, Brazil
21 Mar 2015
Welterweight
VS
68%
Maia
32%
LaFlare
Win Probability
Decision
Round 5 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Maia
Maia holds a meaningful edge at 68% per the CFR ratings — but LaFlare has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 18 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Maia has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 15 points.
LaFlare has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Maia's chin rating of 38 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
LaFlare has a chin rating of 54 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Maia
LaFlare
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"
Height
6'1"
72"
Reach
+74"
48
Age
+42
Southpaw
Stance
Southpaw
Maia
LaFlare
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
32.4
14.9
50.8
Performance Avg
43.0
40
Quality of Victory
25
100
Momentum Score
60
Maia
LaFlare
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.5
1.0
41%
Strike Accuracy
42%
1.8
Striking Style Score (/10)
1.4
1 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
4
Head
6
1
Body
5
0
Leg
5
RangeRange
4Distance15
0Clinch0
1Ground1
Maia
LaFlare
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
0.2
5.1
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.4
3.6
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.7
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Maia
LaFlare
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
38
54
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
2
KO/TKO Losses
2
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.5 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
33/39 fights
Chin rating based on
10/17 fights
Maia
LaFlare
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
60
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · Sub · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
Last 5
L · KO · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Maia
LaFlare
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
55%
0%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
11
Submission Wins
0
10
Decision Wins
7
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Maia
LaFlare
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.4
5.1
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
3.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
5.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
2.1
5.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
9.4
MaiaLaFlare
Strike Zones
Maia
Attacking
5 landedAbsorbing
16 absorbedLaFlare
Attacking
16 landedAbsorbing
5 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Maia targets the head (80% of attacks) — LaFlare absorbs 80% of strikes there
🎯LaFlare targets the head (38% of attacks) — Maia absorbs 38% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Maia
RND
LaFlare
0/0R00/0
Maia · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.0WinLossTrend
LaFlare · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.5WinLossTrend
Maia · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Belal MuhammadRating 6.6Decision
UFC 263: Adesanya vs. Vettori 2 · 2021-06
L · KO · R1
Gilbert BurnsRating 1.7KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Lee vs. Oliveira · 2020-03
W · Sub · R3
Ben AskrenRating 5.2Submission
UFC Fight Night: Maia vs. Askren · 2019-10
W · Dec · R3
Anthony Rocco MartinRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Ngannou vs. Dos Santos · 2019-06
W · Sub · R1
Lyman GoodRating 5Submission
UFC Fight Night: Assuncao vs. Moraes 2 · 2019-02
LaFlare · Last 5
L · KO · R3
Anthony Rocco MartinRating 4KO/TKO
UFC 229: Khabib vs. McGregor · 2018-10
W · Dec · R3
Alex GarciaRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Lee · 2018-04
L · KO · R2
Alex OliveiraRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Weidman vs. Gastelum · 2017-07
W · Dec · R3
Roan CarneiroRating 4.5Decision
UFC 208: Holm vs. De Randamie · 2017-02
W · Dec · R3
Mike PierceRating 4.5Decision
The Ultimate Fighter: Team McGregor vs. Team Faber Finale · 2015-12