UFC 240: Holloway vs. Edgar
Edmonton, Canada
27 Jul 2019
Flyweight
VS
52%
Pantoja
48%
Figueiredo
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Alexandre
Alexandre Pantoja
"The Cannibal"
30 – 6
5'5"67" reachOrthodox36 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 61
Deiveson
Deiveson Figueiredo
"Deus da Guerra"
25 – 6
Well-Rounded38 yrsOrthodox68" reach5'5"
CFR 56

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Pantoja

This is a genuine toss-up — Pantoja at 52% vs Figueiredo at 48% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Striking split: Pantoja throws more volume but Figueiredo connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Risk flags

Figueiredo has a chin rating of 58 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Pantoja
Figueiredo
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'5"
Height
5'5"
67"
Reach
+68"
36+
Age
38
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Pantoja
Figueiredo
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
60.7
56.4
60.2
Performance Avg
57.9
49
Quality of Victory
50
65
Momentum Score
55
Pantoja
Figueiredo
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.3
0.9
49%
Strike Accuracy
54%
3.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
4.3
2 KOs
KO Finishes
4 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
15
Head
21
4
Body
6
1
Leg
0
RangeRange
14Distance16
6Clinch8
0Ground3
Pantoja
Figueiredo
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
4.5
Grappling Style Score (/10)
3.3
3.1
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.3
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Pantoja
Figueiredo
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
72
58
Moderate
Verdict
KO risk
1
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
3 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
18/36 fights
Chin rating based on
22/31 fights
Pantoja
Figueiredo
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
65
55
L · KO · R1
W · Sub · R3
W · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
Last 5
Upcoming
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R5
Pantoja
Figueiredo
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
57%
57%
2
KO / TKO Wins
4
6
Submission Wins
4
6
Decision Wins
6

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Pantoja
Figueiredo
Striking3.0 / 4.3Volume5.0 / 4.8Grappling4.5 / 3.3Wrestling3.1 / 2.3Submission4.3 / 2.9Pressure6.3 / 6.1
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.3
4.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.3
3.1
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.3
4.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.9
6.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.1
5.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.8
Pantoja
Strike Zones
Figueiredo
Pantoja
Attacking
15HEAD4BODY1LEGS20 landed
Absorbing
21HEAD6BODY0LEGS27 absorbed
Figueiredo
Attacking
21HEAD6BODY0LEGS27 landed
Absorbing
15HEAD4BODY1LEGS20 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Pantoja targets the head (75% of attacks) — Figueiredo absorbs 75% of strikes there
🎯Figueiredo targets the head (78% of attacks) — Pantoja absorbs 78% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Pantoja
RND
Figueiredo
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Pantoja · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.4
0104.5W5.5W5.5L5.4W5.0W5.0W6.6L5.2W5.5L6.2W6.0W6.3W5.4W5.3W5.1W5.1W6.1W3.1L2017-012019-042021-082024-122025-12
WinLossTrend

Figueiredo · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.5
0105.2W4.5W7.3W5.2W5.5L5.8W5.1W5.1W5.0W6.3W3.6L5.4W5.6L5.7W6.3W5.3W7.0L3.6L5.4W6.8L2017-062019-072021-062024-082026-01
WinLossTrend

Pantoja · Last 5

L · KO · R1
Joshua VanRating 3.1
KO/TKO
UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs. Yan 2 · 2025-12
W · Sub · R3
Kai Kara-FranceRating 6.1
Submission
UFC 317: Topuria vs. Oliveira · 2025-06
W · Sub · R2
Kai AsakuraRating 5.1
Submission
UFC 310: Pantoja vs. Asakura · 2024-12
W · Dec · R5
Steve ErcegRating 5.1
Decision
UFC 301: Pantoja vs. Erceg · 2024-05
W · Dec · R5
Brandon RoyvalRating 5.3
Decision
UFC 296: Edwards vs. Covington · 2023-12

Figueiredo · Last 5

Upcoming
Song Yadong
UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Figueiredo · 2026-05
L · Dec · R3
Umar NurmagomedovRating 6.8
Decision
UFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett · 2026-01
W · Dec · R3
Montel JacksonRating 5.4
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Oliveira vs. Gamrot · 2025-10
L · KO · R2
Cory SandhagenRating 3.6
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Figueiredo · 2025-05
L · Dec · R5
Petr YanRating 7
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Yan vs. Figueiredo · 2024-11

News & Media

Alexandre Pantoja · Deiveson Figueiredo
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