UFC 154: St-Pierre vs Condit
Montreal, Canada
17 Nov 2012
Featherweight
VS
48%
Hominick
52%
Garza
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
MH
Mark Hominick
"The Machine"
20 – 12
5'8"68" reachOrthodox43 yrs4-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 17
PG
Pablo Garza
"The Scarecrow"
12 – 4
Well-Rounded42 yrsOrthodox73" reach6'1"
CFR 18

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Garza

This is a genuine toss-up — Hominick at 48% vs Garza at 52% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Garza has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Hominick
Garza
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'8"
Height
+6'1"
68"
Reach
+73"
43
Age
+42
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Hominick
Garza
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
16.8
18.2
44.0
Performance Avg
47.8
45
Quality of Victory
46
45
Momentum Score
53
Hominick
Garza
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.3
1.3
44%
Strike Accuracy
45%
4.2
Striking Style Score (/10)
4.3
1 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
3
Head
15
1
Body
5
0
Leg
2
RangeRange
4Distance6
0Clinch1
0Ground15
Hominick
Garza
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.3
3.5
Grappling Style Score (/10)
3.5
2.4
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.4
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Hominick
Garza
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
72
74
Moderate
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
2
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
7/32 fights
Chin rating based on
6/16 fights
Hominick
Garza
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
45
53
4-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R5
W · KO · R1
Last 5
L · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
W · Sub · R1
Hominick
Garza
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
67%
67%
1
KO / TKO Wins
1
1
Submission Wins
1
1
Decision Wins
1

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Hominick
Garza
Striking4.2 / 4.3Volume3.5 / 3.7Grappling3.5 / 3.5Wrestling2.4 / 2.4Submission3.3 / 3.3Pressure6.0 / 6.2
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.2
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.3
3.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.5
2.4
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.4
3.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
3.3
6.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.2
3.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.7
Hominick
Strike Zones
Garza
Hominick
Attacking
3HEAD1BODY0LEGS4 landed
Absorbing
15HEAD5BODY2LEGS22 absorbed
Garza
Attacking
15HEAD5BODY2LEGS22 landed
Absorbing
3HEAD1BODY0LEGS4 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Hominick targets the head (75% of attacks) — Garza absorbs 75% of strikes there
🎯Garza targets the head (68% of attacks) — Hominick absorbs 68% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Hominick
RND
Garza
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Hominick · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.8
0105.2W4.5W5.0W6.0L2.0L5.5L5.5L2006-032011-012011-122012-11
WinLossTrend

Garza · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.3
0105.0W5.0W4.1L5.5L4.5W1.5L2010-122011-042011-112012-052012-112013-04
WinLossTrend

Hominick · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Pablo GarzaRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 154: St-Pierre vs Condit · 2012-11
L · Dec · R3
Eddie YaginRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 145: Jones vs Evans · 2012-04
L · KO · R1
Chan Sung JungRating 2
KO/TKO
UFC 140: Jones vs Machida · 2011-12
L · Dec · R5
Jose AldoRating 6
Decision
UFC 129: St-Pierre vs Shields · 2011-04
W · KO · R1
George RoopRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Fight for the Troops 2 · 2011-01

Garza · Last 5

L · Sub · R1
Diego BrandaoRating 1.5
Submission
UFC on FUEL TV: Mousasi vs Latifi · 2013-04
W · Dec · R3
Mark HominickRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 154: St-Pierre vs Condit · 2012-11
L · Dec · R3
Dennis BermudezRating 5.5
Decision
UFC on FOX: Diaz vs Miller · 2012-05
L · Sub · R2
Dustin PoirierRating 4.1
Submission
UFC on FOX: Velasquez vs Dos Santos · 2011-11
W · Sub · R1
Yves JabouinRating 5
Submission
UFC 129: St-Pierre vs Shields · 2011-04

News & Media

Mark Hominick · Pablo Garza
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