METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 198: Werdum vs Miocic
Curitiba, Brazil
14 May 2016
Welterweight
VS
52%
Moraes
48%
Chagas
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Moraes
This is a genuine toss-up — Moraes at 52% vs Chagas at 48% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Chagas has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 12 points.
Risk flags
Moraes's chin rating of 30 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Chagas has a chin rating of 66 — a potential KO vulnerability.
DAFABETBet on this fight · Competitive MMA odds
BET NOW ↗
Moraes
Chagas
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"
Height
6'0"
72"
Reach
+75"
44
Age
+33
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Moraes
Chagas
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
19.0
17.3
47.0
Performance Avg
43.0
37
Quality of Victory
50
95
Momentum Score
43
Moraes
Chagas
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.5
/ 10
0.7
/ 10
5.3
Style: Pressure
8.0
5.2
Style: Volume
0.7
1 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
5
Head
2
2
Body
1
0
Leg
2
RangeRange
3Distance3
0Clinch0
4Ground2
Moraes
Chagas
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
4.2
/ 10
8.0
/ 10
2.9
Wrestling Style (/10)
5.6
3.8
Submission Style (/10)
10.0
3
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Moraes
Chagas
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
30
66
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
Moderate
3
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R2.3 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
14/20 fights
Chin rating based on
4/18 fights
Moraes
Chagas
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
95
43
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · KO · R3
L · KO · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R2
W · Sub · R2
L · Sub · R3
Upcoming
Moraes
Chagas
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
100%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
3
Submission Wins
1
4
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Moraes
Chagas
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.7
4.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
8.0
2.9
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
5.6
3.8
Submission
Submission attack frequency
10.0
5.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.0
5.2
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.7
MoraesChagas
Strike Zones
Moraes
Attacking
7 landedAbsorbing
5 absorbedChagas
Attacking
5 landedAbsorbing
7 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Moraes targets the head (71% of attacks) — Chagas absorbs 71% of strikes there
🎯Chagas targets the head (40% of attacks) — Moraes absorbs 40% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Moraes
RND
Chagas
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Moraes · Last 5
L · KO · R3
James KrauseKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Blachowicz vs. Jacare · 2019-11
L · KO · R3
Warlley AlvesKO/TKO
UFC 237: Namajunas vs. Andrade · 2019-05
L · Dec · R3
Anthony Rocco MartinDecision
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Dos Santos · 2019-03
W · Sub · R2
Ben SaundersSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Marreta vs. Anders · 2018-09
W · Dec · R3
Tim MeansDecision
UFC Fight Night: Machida vs. Anders · 2018-02
Chagas · Last 4
L · KO · R2
Siyar BahadurzadaKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Lee · 2018-04
W · Sub · R2
Jim WallheadSubmission
UFC 212: Aldo vs. Holloway · 2017-06
L · Sub · R3
Erick SilvaSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Cyborg vs. Lansberg · 2016-09
Upcoming
Sergio MoraesDecision
UFC 198: Werdum vs Miocic · 2016-05