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UFC 319: Du Plessis vs. Chimaev
Chicago, USA
16 Aug 2025
Lightweight
VS
44%
Barboza
56%
Klose
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 Β· 5:00
Edson
Edson Barboza
"Junior"
24 – 14
5'11"75" reachOrthodox40 yrs3-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 45
Drakkar
Drakkar Klose
16 – 3
Well-Rounded38 yrsOrthodox70" reach5'9"
CFR 56
β˜… Official Result
Drakkar KlosewinsDecisionR3 Β· 5:00
def. Edson Barboza Β· UFC 319: Du Plessis vs. Chimaev

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis Β· prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Klose
β†’
Actual result
Klose wins
Decision Β· R3
Pre-fight analysis

This is a genuine toss-up β€” Barboza at 44% vs Klose at 56% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 11 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Klose has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Barboza's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Klose has a chin rating of 54 β€” a potential KO vulnerability.

This Fight β€” Statistics

Actual stats from this bout
BarbozaKlose
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
β€”
Strike Accuracy
β€”
Barboza
Klose
Physical Matchup
Height Β· Reach Β· Age Β· Stance
5'11"+
Height
5'9"
75"+
Reach
70"
40
Age
+38
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Barboza
Klose
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
44.9
56.0
46.3
Performance Avg
49.7
40
Quality of Victory
32
60
Momentum Score
99
Barboza
Klose
Striking
Career averages Β· see This Fight stats above
1.3
1.5
46%
Strike Accuracy
51%
6.1
Striking Style Score (/10)
3.5
9 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
15
Head
8
9
Body
2
5
Leg
3
RangeRange
25Distance11
4Clinch2
0Ground0
Barboza
Klose
Grappling
Career averages Β· see This Fight stats above
β€”
β€”
0.0
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
1.2
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.9
0.8
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.3
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Barboza
Klose
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
54
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
4
KO/TKO Losses
2
2
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.5 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.5 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
β€”
Strikes absorbed / min
β€”
32/38 fights
Chin rating based on
13/19 fights
Barboza
Klose
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance β€” most recent weighted 30%
60
99
3-fight πŸ“‰ slide
Current form
L Β· KO Β· R1
L Β· Dec Β· R3
L Β· Dec Β· R5
W Β· Dec Β· R5
W Β· KO Β· R1
Last 5
W Β· Dec Β· R3
L Β· KO Β· R1
W Β· Dec Β· R3
W Β· KO Β· R1
W Β· Dec Β· R3
Barboza
Klose
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
20%
9
KO / TKO Wins
2
0
Submission Wins
0
9
Decision Wins
8

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar β€” 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Barboza
Klose
Striking6.1 / 3.5Volume5.1 / 7.9Grappling1.2 / 1.9Wrestling0.8 / 1.3Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure5.2 / 3.7
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.1
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.5
1.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.9
0.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.3
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.2
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.7
5.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
7.9
Barboza
Strike Zones
Klose
Barboza
Attacking
15HEAD9BODY5LEGS29 landed
Absorbing
8HEAD2BODY3LEGS13 absorbed
Klose
Attacking
8HEAD2BODY3LEGS13 landed
Absorbing
15HEAD9BODY5LEGS29 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Barboza targets the head (52% of attacks) β€” Klose absorbs 52% of strikes there
🎯Klose targets the head (62% of attacks) β€” Barboza absorbs 62% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight Β· per-round breakdown

Barboza
RND
Klose
0/0R00/0

Barboza Β· QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.9
0105.5W4.5W4.5W5.5W1.5L5.0W5.2W4.5W1.5L5.0W5.2W5.6L4.5W3.3L4.5W4.5W6.2W5.5L5.5L6.4W3.1L5.5L6.2L4.6W5.5W3.7L6.5L6.2W5.3W7.0L6.5L2.7L2010-112014-042017-032021-052025-12
WinLossTrend

Klose Β· QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.8
0104.5W4.6W5.5L5.0W5.2W4.7W3.7L5.2W5.3W5.7W5.1W2.8L5.0W2017-012018-122022-072025-08
WinLossTrend

Barboza Β· Last 5

L Β· KO Β· R1
Jalin TurnerRating 2.7
KO/TKO
UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs. Yan 2 Β· 2025-12
L Β· Dec Β· R3
Drakkar KloseRating 6.5
Decision
UFC 319: Du Plessis vs. Chimaev Β· 2025-08
L Β· Dec Β· R5
Lerone MurphyRating 7
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Murphy Β· 2024-05
W Β· Dec Β· R5
Sodiq YusuffRating 5.3
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Yusuff vs. Barboza Β· 2023-10
W Β· KO Β· R1
Billy QuarantilloRating 6.2
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Allen Β· 2023-04

Klose Β· Last 5

W Β· Dec Β· R3
Edson BarbozaRating 5
Decision
UFC 319: Du Plessis vs. Chimaev Β· 2025-08
L Β· KO Β· R1
Joel AlvarezRating 2.8
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Buckley Β· 2024-12
W Β· Dec Β· R3
Joaquim SilvaRating 5.1
Decision
UFC 301: Pantoja vs. Erceg Β· 2024-05
W Β· KO Β· R1
Joe SoleckiRating 5.7
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Dariush vs. Tsarukyan Β· 2023-12
W Β· Dec Β· R3
Rafa GarciaRating 5.3
Decision
UFC 277: Pena vs. Nunes 2 Β· 2022-07

News & Media

Edson Barboza Β· Drakkar Klose
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