UFC Fight Night: Cejudo vs. Song
Seattle, USA
22 Feb 2025
Bantamweight
VS
53%
Simon
47%
Basharat
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 3:58
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Simon
This is a genuine toss-up — Simon at 53% vs Basharat at 47% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Simon has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 13 points.
Basharat has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Simon's chin rating of 48 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Simon
Basharat
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'6"
Height
+5'9"
69"
Reach
69"
33
Age
+30
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Simon
Basharat
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
48.8
43.5
48.0
Performance Avg
41.7
38
Quality of Victory
25
56
Momentum Score
60
Simon
Basharat
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.0
1.9
41%
Strike Accuracy
51%
3.3
Striking Style Score (/10)
1.3
2 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
9
Head
12
1
Body
7
1
Leg
1
RangeRange
9Distance20
1Clinch0
1Ground0
Simon
Basharat
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
3.6
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.4
2.5
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.7
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Simon
Basharat
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
48
76
KO risk
Verdict
Moderate
2
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R3.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
6 fights ago
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
17/29 fights
Chin rating based on
7/17 fights
Simon
Basharat
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
56
60
Upcoming
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
Upcoming
W · Dec · R3
Simon
Basharat
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
0%
2
KO / TKO Wins
0
3
Submission Wins
0
5
Decision Wins
4
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Simon
Basharat
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.3
3.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
2.5
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
3.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.4
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
2.0
5.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
9.3
SimonBasharat
Strike Zones
Simon
Attacking
11 landedAbsorbing
20 absorbedBasharat
Attacking
20 landedAbsorbing
11 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Simon targets the head (82% of attacks) — Basharat absorbs 82% of strikes there
🎯Basharat targets the head (60% of attacks) — Simon absorbs 60% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Simon
RND
Basharat
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Simon · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.4WinLossTrend
Basharat · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.5WinLossTrend
Simon · Last 5
Upcoming
Adrian YanezDecision
UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Pyfer · 2026-03
L · Dec · R3
Raoni BarcelosRating 6.3Decision
UFC Fight Night: Bonfim vs. Brown · 2025-11
W · Dec · R3
Cameron SmothermanRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Usman vs. Buckley · 2025-06
W · KO · R1
Javid BasharatRating 5.4KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Cejudo vs. Song · 2025-02
L · Dec · R3
Vinicius OliveiraRating 6.5Decision
UFC 303: Pereira vs. Prochazka 2 · 2024-06
Basharat · Last 5
W · Dec · R3
Gianni VazquezRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Bautista vs. Oliveira · 2026-02
L · KO · R1
Ricky SimonRating 2.2KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Cejudo vs. Song · 2025-02
L · Dec · R3
Aiemann ZahabiRating 6.6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Gaziev · 2024-03
Upcoming
Victor HenryUFC 294: Makhachev vs. Volkanovski 2 · 2023-10
W · Dec · R3
Mateus MendoncaRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Imavov · 2023-01