UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Vieira
Las Vegas, USA
21 May 2022
Women's Strawweight
VS
38%
Reed
62%
Hughes
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 3 · 3:52
Elise
Elise Reed
8 – 5
5'3"63" reachOrthodox33 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 30
Sam
Sam Hughes
"Sampage"
11 – 7
Well-Rounded33 yrsOrthodox64" reach5'5"
CFR 50

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Hughes

Hughes holds a meaningful edge at 62% per the CFR ratings — but Reed has real paths to victory.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 19 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Striking split: Hughes throws more volume but Reed connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Risk flags

Reed's chin rating of 10 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Reed
Hughes
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'3"
Height
+5'5"
63"
Reach
+64"
33
Age
33
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Reed
Hughes
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
30.3
49.8
32.8
Performance Avg
40.0
25
Quality of Victory
33
45
Momentum Score
76
Reed
Hughes
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.3
1.8
54%
Strike Accuracy
48%
0.9
Striking Style Score (/10)
2.7
0 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
0
Head
14
0
Body
1
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
0Distance1
0Clinch0
0Ground14
Reed
Hughes
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
2.4
/ 10
2.9
/ 10
1.7
Wrestling Style (/10)
2.0
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
1.7
0
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Reed
Hughes
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
10
88
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
3
KO/TKO Losses
0
2
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
9/13 fights
Chin rating based on
12/18 fights
Reed
Hughes
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
45
76
L · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Reed
Hughes
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
33%
0
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
1
4
Decision Wins
4

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Reed
Hughes
Striking0.9 / 2.7Volume8.9 / 6.3Grappling2.4 / 2.9Wrestling1.7 / 2.0Submission0.0 / 1.7Pressure1.3 / 3.8
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.9
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
2.7
2.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.9
1.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.7
1.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.8
8.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.3
Reed
Strike Zones
Hughes
Reed
Attacking
0HEAD0BODY0LEGS0 landed
Absorbing
14HEAD1BODY0LEGS15 absorbed
Hughes
Attacking
14HEAD1BODY0LEGS15 landed
Absorbing
0HEAD0BODY0LEGS0 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Hughes targets the head (93% of attacks) — Reed absorbs 93% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Reed
RND
Hughes
0/0R00/0

Reed · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.0
0101.5L5.0W4.7L4.5W3.7L4.5W3.2L4.6W4.0L2021-072022-092023-092025-05
WinLossTrend

Hughes · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.7
0104.7L6.4L5.5L4.5W5.5W6.3L6.3W5.8L5.2W5.9W5.8W6.3L2020-122022-042023-042025-032026-03
WinLossTrend

Reed · Last 5

L · KO · R2
Denise GomesRating 4
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Morales · 2025-05
W · Dec · R3
Jessica PenneRating 4.6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Hernandez vs. Pereira · 2024-10
L · Sub · R2
Loopy GodinezRating 3.2
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs. Shevchenko 2 · 2023-09
W · Dec · R3
Jinh Yu FreyRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Kara-France vs. Albazi · 2023-06
L · Sub · R2
Loma LookboonmeeRating 3.7
Submission
UFC 284: Makhachev vs. Volkanovski · 2023-02

Hughes · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Piera RodriguezRating 6.3
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Vallejos · 2026-03
W · Sub · R2
Shauna BannonRating 5.8
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Imavov vs. Borralho · 2025-09
W · Dec · R3
Stephanie LucianoRating 5.9
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Dolidze 2 · 2025-03
W · Dec · R3
Viktoriia DudakovaRating 5.2
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Nurmagomedov · 2024-08
L · Dec · R3
Yazmin JaureguiRating 5.8
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Royval 2 · 2024-02

News & Media

Elise Reed · Sam Hughes
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