UFC on FOX: Velasquez vs Dos Santos
Anaheim, USA
12 Nov 2011
Welterweight
VS
64%
Johnson
36%
Harvison
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 1:34
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Johnson
Johnson holds a meaningful edge at 64% per the CFR ratings — but Harvison has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 8 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Johnson has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 30 points.
Striking split: Johnson throws more volume but Harvison connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Johnson's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Harvison has a chin rating of 66 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Johnson
Harvison
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"
Height
6'1"
75"+
Reach
74"
43+
Age
45
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Johnson
Harvison
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
17.8
10.0
48.7
Performance Avg
28.3
55
Quality of Victory
25
59
Momentum Score
27
Johnson
Harvison
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.3
1.1
44%
Strike Accuracy
48%
5.8
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.7
2 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
6
Head
2
0
Body
0
0
Leg
4
RangeRange
5Distance6
0Clinch0
1Ground0
Johnson
Harvison
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.6
Sub Attempts / fight
—
4.0
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.4
2.8
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.7
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Johnson
Harvison
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
66
KO risk
Verdict
Moderate
3
KO/TKO Losses
1
3
Sub Losses
1
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
10/30 fights
Chin rating based on
3/19 fights
Johnson
Harvison
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
59
27
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Sub · R1
L · KO · R2
L · Sub · R2
W · KO · R1
L · KO · R2
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R3
Johnson
Harvison
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
0%
2
KO / TKO Wins
0
2
Submission Wins
0
0
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Johnson
Harvison
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.7
4.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
2.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
5.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
8.2
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
1.0
0.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.7
JohnsonHarvison
Strike Zones
Johnson
Attacking
6 landedAbsorbing
6 absorbedHarvison
Attacking
6 landedAbsorbing
6 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Johnson targets the head (100% of attacks) — Harvison absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Harvison targets the legs (67% of attacks) — Johnson absorbs 67% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Johnson
RND
Harvison
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Johnson · QOF Timeline
Avg: 3.6WinLossTrend
Harvison · QOF Timeline
Avg: 2.9WinLossTrend
Johnson · Last 5
L · Sub · R1
Gunnar NelsonRating 2.6Submission
UFC on FUEL TV: Struve vs Miocic · 2012-09
L · KO · R2
Mike SwickRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC on FOX: Shogun vs Vera · 2012-08
L · Sub · R2
John MaguireRating 2.8Submission
UFC on FUEL TV: Gustafsson vs Silva · 2012-04
W · KO · R1
Clay HarvisonRating 5KO/TKO
UFC on FOX: Velasquez vs Dos Santos · 2011-11
L · KO · R2
Amir SadollahRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Nogueira vs Davis · 2011-03
Harvison · Last 3
L · KO · R1
DaMarques JohnsonRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC on FOX: Velasquez vs Dos Santos · 2011-11
L · Sub · R2
Seth BaczynskiRating 2.8Submission
UFC Fight Night: Shields vs Ellenberger · 2011-09
W · Dec · R3
Justin EdwardsRating 4.5Decision
The Ultimate Fighter: Team Lesnar vs Team dos Santos Finale · 2011-06