METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Swanson vs. Ortega
Fresno, USA
9 Dec 2017
Bantamweight
VS
27%
Morales
73%
Lopez
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Benito LopezwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Albert Morales · UFC Fight Night: Swanson vs. Ortega
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Lopez
→
Actual result
Lopez wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Lopez is a strong favourite at 73% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 14 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Risk flags
Morales's chin rating of 62 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
MoralesLopez
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Morales
Lopez
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"
Height
+5'10"
72"
Reach
+73"
35
Age
+32
Orthodox
Stance
Switch
Morales
Lopez
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
8.1
22.0
23.0
Performance Avg
35.0
25
Quality of Victory
25
15
Momentum Score
61
Morales
Lopez
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.4
/ 10
1.0
/ 10
0.6
Style: Pressure
1.5
8.4
Style: Volume
9.0
0 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
17
Head
22
6
Body
5
11
Leg
6
RangeRange
33Distance31
1Clinch2
0Ground0
Morales
Lopez
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.4
/ 10
2.4
/ 10
1.7
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.7
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Morales
Lopez
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
62
76
Moderate
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
2
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
4 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
6/11 fights
Chin rating based on
4/12 fights
Morales
Lopez
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
15
61
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
Last 5
L · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
Morales
Lopez
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
0%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
1
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Morales
Lopez
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.4
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.0
2.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
1.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
0.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
1.5
8.4
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
9.0
MoralesLopez
Strike Zones
Morales
Attacking
34 landedAbsorbing
33 absorbedLopez
Attacking
33 landedAbsorbing
34 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Morales targets the head (50% of attacks) — Lopez absorbs 50% of strikes there
🎯Lopez targets the head (67% of attacks) — Morales absorbs 67% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Morales
RND
Lopez
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Morales · Last 5
L · Sub · R2
Manny BermudezSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Stephens · 2018-02
L · Dec · R3
Benito LopezDecision
UFC Fight Night: Swanson vs. Ortega · 2017-12
L · Dec · R3
Brett JohnsDecision
UFC Fight Night: Nelson vs. Ponzinibbio · 2017-07
W · Dec · R3
Andre SoukhamthathDecision
UFC 209: Woodley vs. Thompson 2 · 2017-03
L · KO · R2
Thomas AlmeidaKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Bader vs. Nogueira · 2016-11
Lopez · Last 4
L · Sub · R1
Mario BautistaSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. Lemos · 2022-11
W · Dec · R3
Vince MoralesDecision
UFC Fight Night: De Randamie vs. Ladd · 2019-07
L · Sub · R1
Manny BermudezSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Ngannou vs. Velasquez · 2019-02
W · Dec · R3
Albert MoralesDecision
UFC Fight Night: Swanson vs. Ortega · 2017-12