METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Swanson vs. Ortega
Fresno, USA
9 Dec 2017
Bantamweight
VS
27%
Morales
73%
Lopez
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Benito LopezwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Albert Morales · UFC Fight Night: Swanson vs. Ortega
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Lopez
→
Actual result
Lopez wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Lopez is a strong favourite at 73% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 14 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Lopez has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Morales's chin rating of 62 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
MoralesLopez
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Morales
Lopez
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"
Height
+5'10"
72"
Reach
+73"
35
Age
+32
Orthodox
Stance
Switch
Morales
Lopez
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
8.1
22.0
23.0
Performance Avg
35.0
25
Quality of Victory
25
15
Momentum Score
61
Morales
Lopez
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.4
2.2
34%
Strike Accuracy
48%
0.4
Striking Style Score (/10)
1.0
0 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
17
Head
22
6
Body
5
11
Leg
6
RangeRange
33Distance31
1Clinch2
0Ground0
Morales
Lopez
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.4
/ 10
2.4
/ 10
1.7
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.7
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Morales
Lopez
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
62
76
Moderate
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
2
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
4 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
6/11 fights
Chin rating based on
4/12 fights
Morales
Lopez
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
15
61
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
Last 5
L · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
Morales
Lopez
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
0%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
1
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Morales
Lopez
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.4
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.0
2.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
1.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
0.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
1.5
8.4
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
9.0
MoralesLopez
Strike Zones
Morales
Attacking
34 landedAbsorbing
33 absorbedLopez
Attacking
33 landedAbsorbing
34 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Morales targets the head (50% of attacks) — Lopez absorbs 50% of strikes there
🎯Lopez targets the head (67% of attacks) — Morales absorbs 67% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Morales
RND
Lopez
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Morales · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.2WinLossTrend
Lopez · QOF Timeline
Avg: 3.3WinLossTrend
Morales · Last 5
L · Sub · R2
Manny BermudezRating 2.8Submission
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Stephens · 2018-02
L · Dec · R3
Benito LopezRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Swanson vs. Ortega · 2017-12
L · Dec · R3
Brett JohnsRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Nelson vs. Ponzinibbio · 2017-07
W · Dec · R3
Andre SoukhamthathRating 4.5Decision
UFC 209: Woodley vs. Thompson 2 · 2017-03
L · KO · R2
Thomas AlmeidaRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Bader vs. Nogueira · 2016-11
Lopez · Last 4
L · Sub · R1
Mario BautistaRating 2.6Submission
UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. Lemos · 2022-11
W · Dec · R3
Vince MoralesRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: De Randamie vs. Ladd · 2019-07
L · Sub · R1
Manny BermudezRating 1.5Submission
UFC Fight Night: Ngannou vs. Velasquez · 2019-02
W · Dec · R3
Albert MoralesRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Swanson vs. Ortega · 2017-12