UFC Fight Night: Swanson vs. Ortega
Fresno, USA
9 Dec 2017
Bantamweight
VS
27%
Morales
73%
Lopez
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
AM
Albert Morales
"The Warrior"
7 – 4
5'9"72" reachOrthodox35 yrs3-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 8
BL
Benito Lopez
"Golden Boy"
10 – 2
Well-Rounded32 yrsSwitch73" reach5'10"
CFR 22

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Lopez

Lopez is a strong favourite at 73% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 14 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Lopez has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Morales's chin rating of 62 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Morales
Lopez
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"
Height
+5'10"
72"
Reach
+73"
35
Age
+32
Orthodox
Stance
Switch
Morales
Lopez
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
8.1
22.0
23.0
Performance Avg
35.0
25
Quality of Victory
25
15
Momentum Score
61
Morales
Lopez
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.4
2.2
34%
Strike Accuracy
48%
0.4
Striking Style Score (/10)
1.0
0 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
17
Head
22
6
Body
5
11
Leg
6
RangeRange
33Distance31
1Clinch2
0Ground0
Morales
Lopez
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
2.4
/ 10
2.4
/ 10
1.7
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.7
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Morales
Lopez
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
62
76
Moderate
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
2
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
4 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
6/11 fights
Chin rating based on
4/12 fights
Morales
Lopez
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
15
61
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
Last 5
L · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
Morales
Lopez
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
0%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
1
Decision Wins
2

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Morales
Lopez
Striking0.4 / 1.0Volume8.4 / 9.0Grappling2.4 / 2.4Wrestling1.7 / 1.7Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure0.6 / 1.5
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.4
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.0
2.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
1.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
0.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
1.5
8.4
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
9.0
Morales
Strike Zones
Lopez
Morales
Attacking
17HEAD6BODY11LEGS34 landed
Absorbing
22HEAD5BODY6LEGS33 absorbed
Lopez
Attacking
22HEAD5BODY6LEGS33 landed
Absorbing
17HEAD6BODY11LEGS34 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Morales targets the head (50% of attacks) — Lopez absorbs 50% of strikes there
🎯Lopez targets the head (67% of attacks) — Morales absorbs 67% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Morales
RND
Lopez
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Morales · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.2
0102.8L4.5W5.5L5.5L2.8L2016-112017-032017-072017-122018-02
WinLossTrend

Lopez · QOF Timeline

Avg: 3.3
0104.5W1.5L4.5W2.6L2017-122019-022019-072022-11
WinLossTrend

Morales · Last 5

L · Sub · R2
Manny BermudezRating 2.8
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Stephens · 2018-02
L · Dec · R3
Benito LopezRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Swanson vs. Ortega · 2017-12
L · Dec · R3
Brett JohnsRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Nelson vs. Ponzinibbio · 2017-07
W · Dec · R3
Andre SoukhamthathRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 209: Woodley vs. Thompson 2 · 2017-03
L · KO · R2
Thomas AlmeidaRating 2.8
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Bader vs. Nogueira · 2016-11

Lopez · Last 4

L · Sub · R1
Mario BautistaRating 2.6
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. Lemos · 2022-11
W · Dec · R3
Vince MoralesRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: De Randamie vs. Ladd · 2019-07
L · Sub · R1
Manny BermudezRating 1.5
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Ngannou vs. Velasquez · 2019-02
W · Dec · R3
Albert MoralesRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Swanson vs. Ortega · 2017-12

News & Media

Albert Morales · Benito Lopez
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