METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Gane
Las Vegas, USA
27 Feb 2021
Light Heavyweight
VS
64%
Jacoby
36%
Grishin
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Dustin JacobywinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Maxim Grishin · UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Gane
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Jacoby
→
Actual result
Jacoby wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Jacoby holds a meaningful edge at 64% per the CFR ratings — but Grishin has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 27 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Jacoby has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Jacoby's chin rating of 58 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
JacobyGrishin
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Jacoby
Grishin
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'3"
Height
6'3"
76"
Reach
+78"
38+
Age
42
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Jacoby
Grishin
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
62.1
34.9
53.8
Performance Avg
40.0
48
Quality of Victory
40
91
Momentum Score
48
Jacoby
Grishin
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.4
1.2
50%
Strike Accuracy
44%
8.3
Striking Style Score (/10)
5.8
7 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
15
Head
12
2
Body
2
9
Leg
13
RangeRange
26Distance27
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Jacoby
Grishin
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.7
/ 10
1.2
/ 10
0.5
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.8
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Jacoby
Grishin
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
58
94
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
3 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
17/31 fights
Chin rating based on
5/42 fights
Jacoby
Grishin
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
91
48
3-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
W · KO · R2
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R3
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
Jacoby
Grishin
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
70%
50%
7
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
0
3
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Jacoby
Grishin
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
8.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.8
0.7
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.2
0.5
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.8
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
6.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.7
3.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.8
JacobyGrishin
Strike Zones
Jacoby
Attacking
26 landedAbsorbing
27 absorbedGrishin
Attacking
27 landedAbsorbing
26 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Jacoby targets the head (58% of attacks) — Grishin absorbs 58% of strikes there
🎯Grishin targets the legs (48% of attacks) — Jacoby absorbs 48% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Jacoby
RND
Grishin
0/0R00/0
0/0R20/0
Jacoby · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.3WinLossTrend
Grishin · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.7WinLossTrend
Jacoby · Last 5
W · KO · R2
Julius WalkerRating 5.2KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Bautista vs. Oliveira · 2026-02
W · KO · R1
Bruno LopesRating 5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Blanchfield vs. Barber · 2025-05
W · KO · R3
Vitor PetrinoRating 6.6KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Buckley · 2024-12
L · KO · R1
Dominick ReyesRating 2.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Imavov · 2024-06
L · Dec · R3
Alonzo MenifieldRating 6.4Decision
UFC 296: Edwards vs. Covington · 2023-12
Grishin · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Philipe LinsRating 6.2Decision
UFC Fight Night: Kara-France vs. Albazi · 2023-06
W · Dec · R3
William KnightRating 4.5Decision
UFC 271: Adesanya vs. Whittaker 2 · 2022-02
L · Dec · R3
Dustin JacobyRating 6.9Decision
UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Gane · 2021-02
W · KO · R2
Gadzhimurad AntigulovRating 5.2KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Ortega vs. The Korean Zombie · 2020-10
L · Dec · R3
Marcin TyburaRating 5.9Decision
UFC 251: Usman vs. Masvidal · 2020-07