METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Gane
Las Vegas, USA
27 Feb 2021
Light Heavyweight
VS
63%
Jacoby
37%
Grishin
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Dustin JacobywinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Maxim Grishin · UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Gane
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Jacoby
→
Actual result
Jacoby wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Jacoby holds a meaningful edge at 63% per the CFR ratings — but Grishin has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 25 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Risk flags
Jacoby's chin rating of 36 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
JacobyGrishin
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Jacoby
Grishin
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'3"
Height
6'3"
76"
Reach
+78"
38+
Age
42
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Jacoby
Grishin
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
59.6
34.9
52.3
Performance Avg
40.0
48
Quality of Victory
40
91
Momentum Score
48
Jacoby
Grishin
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
8.2
/ 10
5.8
/ 10
6.7
Style: Pressure
4.7
3.6
Style: Volume
4.8
7 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
1 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
15
Head
12
2
Body
2
9
Leg
13
RangeRange
26Distance27
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Jacoby
Grishin
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.7
/ 10
1.2
/ 10
0.5
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.8
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Jacoby
Grishin
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
36
94
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
2
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.5 stoppage
KO round context
—
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
18/31 fights
Chin rating based on
5/42 fights
Jacoby
Grishin
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
91
48
L · KO · R2
W · KO · R2
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R3
L · KO · R1
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
Jacoby
Grishin
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
70%
50%
7
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
0
3
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Jacoby
Grishin
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
8.2
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.8
0.7
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.2
0.5
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.8
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
6.7
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.7
3.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.8
JacobyGrishin
Strike Zones
Jacoby
Attacking
26 landedAbsorbing
27 absorbedGrishin
Attacking
27 landedAbsorbing
26 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Jacoby targets the head (58% of attacks) — Grishin absorbs 58% of strikes there
🎯Grishin targets the legs (48% of attacks) — Jacoby absorbs 48% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Jacoby
RND
Grishin
0/0R00/0
0/0R20/0
Jacoby · Last 5
L · KO · R2
Muhammad SaidovKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Guskov · 2026-07
W · KO · R2
Julius WalkerKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Bautista vs. Oliveira · 2026-02
W · KO · R1
Bruno LopesKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Blanchfield vs. Barber · 2025-05
W · KO · R3
Vitor PetrinoKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Buckley · 2024-12
L · KO · R1
Dominick ReyesKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Imavov · 2024-06
Grishin · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Philipe LinsDecision
UFC Fight Night: Kara-France vs. Albazi · 2023-06
W · Dec · R3
William KnightDecision
UFC 271: Adesanya vs. Whittaker 2 · 2022-02
L · Dec · R3
Dustin JacobyDecision
UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Gane · 2021-02
W · KO · R2
Gadzhimurad AntigulovKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Ortega vs. The Korean Zombie · 2020-10
L · Dec · R3
Marcin TyburaDecision
UFC 251: Usman vs. Masvidal · 2020-07
