METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Jacare vs. Hermansson
Sunrise, USA
27 Apr 2019
Bantamweight
VS
25%
Lineker
75%
Sandhagen
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Cory SandhagenwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. John Lineker · UFC Fight Night: Jacare vs. Hermansson
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Sandhagen
→
Actual result
Sandhagen wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Sandhagen is a strong favourite at 75% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 42 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Striking split: Lineker throws more volume but Sandhagen connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
LinekerSandhagen
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Lineker
Sandhagen
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'3"
Height
+5'11"
67"
Reach
+70"
36
Age
+34
Orthodox
Stance
Switch
Lineker
Sandhagen
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
21.8
64.2
56.0
Performance Avg
53.8
43
Quality of Victory
44
83
Momentum Score
100
Lineker
Sandhagen
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.4
1.3
42%
Strike Accuracy
44%
6.5
Striking Style Score (/10)
5.9
6 KOs
KO Finishes
5 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
28
Head
34
16
Body
3
5
Leg
11
RangeRange
48Distance48
1Clinch0
0Ground0
Lineker
Sandhagen
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
1.7
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.6
1.2
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.1
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Lineker
Sandhagen
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
82
80
Never stopped
Verdict
Never stopped
0
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
1
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
16/40 fights
Chin rating based on
17/24 fights
Lineker
Sandhagen
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
83
100
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R5
Last 5
Upcoming
L · Dec · R5
W · KO · R2
L · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
Lineker
Sandhagen
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
58%
55%
6
KO / TKO Wins
5
1
Submission Wins
1
5
Decision Wins
5
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Lineker
Sandhagen
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.9
1.7
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.6
1.2
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.1
0.8
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.9
6.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.9
4.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.3
LinekerSandhagen
Strike Zones
Lineker
Attacking
49 landedAbsorbing
48 absorbedSandhagen
Attacking
48 landedAbsorbing
49 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Lineker targets the head (57% of attacks) — Sandhagen absorbs 57% of strikes there
🎯Sandhagen targets the head (71% of attacks) — Lineker absorbs 71% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Lineker
RND
Sandhagen
0/0R00/0
Lineker · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.1WinLossTrend
Sandhagen · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.5WinLossTrend
Lineker · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Cory SandhagenRating 7Decision
UFC Fight Night: Jacare vs. Hermansson · 2019-04
W · KO · R3
Brian KelleherRating 5.8KO/TKO
UFC 224: Nunes vs. Pennington · 2018-05
W · Dec · R3
Marlon VeraRating 5.3Decision
UFC Fight Night: Brunson vs. Machida · 2017-10
L · Dec · R3
TJ DillashawRating 5.6Decision
UFC 207: Nunes vs. Rousey · 2016-12
W · Dec · R5
John DodsonRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lineker vs. Dodson · 2016-10
Sandhagen · Last 5
Upcoming
Mario BautistaUFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2 · 2026-07
L · Dec · R5
Merab DvalishviliRating 6.8Decision
UFC 320: Ankalaev vs. Pereira 2 · 2025-10
W · KO · R2
Deiveson FigueiredoRating 6.2KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Figueiredo · 2025-05
L · Dec · R5
Umar NurmagomedovRating 6.8Decision
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Nurmagomedov · 2024-08
W · Dec · R5
Rob FontRating 5.7Decision
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Font · 2023-08