UFC Fight Night: Jacare vs. Hermansson
Sunrise, USA
27 Apr 2019
Bantamweight
VS
25%
Lineker
75%
Sandhagen
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
JL
John Lineker
"Hands of Stone"
31 – 9
5'3"67" reachOrthodox35 yrsStriker
CFR 22
Cory
Cory Sandhagen
18 – 6
Well-Rounded34 yrsSwitch70" reach5'11"
CFR 64

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Sandhagen

Sandhagen is a strong favourite at 75% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 42 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Striking split: Lineker throws more volume but Sandhagen connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Lineker
Sandhagen
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'3"
Height
+5'11"
67"
Reach
+70"
35
Age
+34
Orthodox
Stance
Switch
Lineker
Sandhagen
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
21.8
64.2
56.0
Performance Avg
53.8
43
Quality of Victory
44
83
Momentum Score
100
Lineker
Sandhagen
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.4
1.3
42%
Strike Accuracy
44%
6.5
Striking Style Score (/10)
5.9
6 KOs
KO Finishes
5 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
28
Head
34
16
Body
3
5
Leg
11
RangeRange
48Distance48
1Clinch0
0Ground0
Lineker
Sandhagen
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
1.7
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.6
1.2
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.1
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Lineker
Sandhagen
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
82
80
Never stopped
Verdict
Never stopped
0
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
1
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
16/40 fights
Chin rating based on
17/24 fights
Lineker
Sandhagen
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
83
100
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R5
Last 5
Upcoming
L · Dec · R5
W · KO · R2
L · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
Lineker
Sandhagen
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
58%
55%
6
KO / TKO Wins
5
1
Submission Wins
1
5
Decision Wins
5

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Lineker
Sandhagen
Striking6.5 / 5.9Volume4.8 / 4.3Grappling1.7 / 1.6Wrestling1.2 / 1.1Submission0.8 / 0.9Pressure6.3 / 5.9
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.9
1.7
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.6
1.2
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.1
0.8
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.9
6.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.9
4.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.3
Lineker
Strike Zones
Sandhagen
Lineker
Attacking
28HEAD16BODY5LEGS49 landed
Absorbing
34HEAD3BODY11LEGS48 absorbed
Sandhagen
Attacking
34HEAD3BODY11LEGS48 landed
Absorbing
28HEAD16BODY5LEGS49 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Lineker targets the head (57% of attacks) — Sandhagen absorbs 57% of strikes there
🎯Sandhagen targets the head (71% of attacks) — Lineker absorbs 71% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Lineker
RND
Sandhagen
0/0R00/0

Lineker · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.1
0102.8L4.5W5.2W5.2W5.0W5.5L5.5W4.5W5.0W5.7W5.0W4.5W5.6L5.3W5.8W7.0L2012-052013-102015-092016-122019-04
WinLossTrend

Sandhagen · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.5
0105.2W5.2W6.1W4.5W4.5W2.5L5.1W5.0W5.6L7.0L5.7W5.3W5.7W6.8L6.2W6.8L2018-012019-082021-072023-082025-10
WinLossTrend

Lineker · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Cory SandhagenRating 7
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Jacare vs. Hermansson · 2019-04
W · KO · R3
Brian KelleherRating 5.8
KO/TKO
UFC 224: Nunes vs. Pennington · 2018-05
W · Dec · R3
Marlon VeraRating 5.3
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Brunson vs. Machida · 2017-10
L · Dec · R3
TJ DillashawRating 5.6
Decision
UFC 207: Nunes vs. Rousey · 2016-12
W · Dec · R5
John DodsonRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lineker vs. Dodson · 2016-10

Sandhagen · Last 5

Upcoming
Mario Bautista
UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2 · 2026-07
L · Dec · R5
Merab DvalishviliRating 6.8
Decision
UFC 320: Ankalaev vs. Pereira 2 · 2025-10
W · KO · R2
Deiveson FigueiredoRating 6.2
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Figueiredo · 2025-05
L · Dec · R5
Umar NurmagomedovRating 6.8
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Nurmagomedov · 2024-08
W · Dec · R5
Rob FontRating 5.7
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Font · 2023-08

News & Media

John Lineker · Cory Sandhagen
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