UFC Fight Night: Waterson vs. Hill
Las Vegas, USA
12 Sept 2020
Catch Weight
VS
17%
Weaver
83%
Turner
Win Probability
Submission
Round 2 · 4:20
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Turner
Turner is a strong favourite at 83% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 48 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Turner has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 26 points.
Striking split: Turner throws more volume but Weaver connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Turner has a chin rating of 38 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Weaver
Turner
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"
Height
+6'3"
73"
Reach
+77"
34
Age
+31
Southpaw
Stance
Southpaw
Weaver
Turner
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
12.2
59.7
31.3
Performance Avg
56.4
30
Quality of Victory
56
43
Momentum Score
65
Weaver
Turner
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.1
3.1
60%
Strike Accuracy
51%
0.7
Striking Style Score (/10)
7.4
0 KOs
KO Finishes
5 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
11
Head
21
9
Body
9
7
Leg
1
RangeRange
22Distance21
5Clinch4
0Ground6
Weaver
Turner
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
0.0
/ 10
3.0
/ 10
0.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
2.1
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
3.8
0
Submission wins
3
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Weaver
Turner
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
76
38
Never stopped
Verdict
KO risk
0
KO/TKO Losses
2
2
Sub Losses
1
—
KO round context
Avg R1.5 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
2 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
3/21 fights
Chin rating based on
14/24 fights
Weaver
Turner
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
43
65
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Sub · R2
L · Sub · R2
W · R1
Last 5
W · KO · R1
L · Sub · R1
L · KO · R2
W · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
Weaver
Turner
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
100%
0
KO / TKO Wins
5
0
Submission Wins
3
1
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Weaver
Turner
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
7.4
0.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.0
0.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.1
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
3.8
1.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.7
0.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
1.1
WeaverTurner
Strike Zones
Weaver
Attacking
27 landedAbsorbing
31 absorbedTurner
Attacking
31 landedAbsorbing
27 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Weaver targets the head (41% of attacks) — Turner absorbs 41% of strikes there
🎯Turner targets the head (68% of attacks) — Weaver absorbs 68% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Weaver
RND
Turner
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Weaver · QOF Timeline
Avg: 3.7WinLossTrend
Turner · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.2WinLossTrend
Weaver · Last 3
L · Sub · R2
Jalin TurnerRating 4Submission
UFC Fight Night: Waterson vs. Hill · 2020-09
L · Sub · R2
Roosevelt RobertsRating 3Submission
UFC Fight Night: Woodley vs. Burns · 2020-05
W · R1
Kazula VargasRating 4UFC Fight Night: Anderson vs. Blachowicz · 2020-02
Turner · Last 5
W · KO · R1
Edson BarbozaRating 5.5KO/TKO
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L · Sub · R1
Ignacio BahamondesRating 2.8Submission
UFC 313: Pereira vs. Ankalaev · 2025-03
L · KO · R2
Renato MoicanoRating 3.5KO/TKO
UFC 300: Pereira vs. Hill · 2024-04
W · KO · R1
King GreenRating 5.7KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Dariush vs. Tsarukyan · 2023-12
L · Dec · R3
Dan HookerRating 6.4Decision
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