UFC Fight Night: Weidman vs. Gastelum
Uniondale, USA
22 Jul 2017
Featherweight
VS
42%
Bochniak
58%
Kennedy
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Kennedy
This is a genuine toss-up — Bochniak at 42% vs Kennedy at 58% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Striking split: Bochniak throws more volume but Kennedy connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Bochniak
Kennedy
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'7"
Height
+5'11"
70"
Reach
+71"
39
Age
+33
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Bochniak
Kennedy
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
12.0
16.8
26.4
Performance Avg
45.0
25
Quality of Victory
25
50
Momentum Score
72
Bochniak
Kennedy
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.1
0.9
30%
Strike Accuracy
47%
0.6
Striking Style Score (/10)
1.5
0 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
11
Head
15
2
Body
3
6
Leg
2
RangeRange
19Distance10
0Clinch0
0Ground10
Bochniak
Kennedy
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
2.4
/ 10
2.4
/ 10
1.7
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.7
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Bochniak
Kennedy
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
90
78
Never stopped
Verdict
Moderate
0
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
0
—
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
7/13 fights
Chin rating based on
4/12 fights
Bochniak
Kennedy
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
50
72
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Bochniak
Kennedy
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
0%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
2
Decision Wins
3
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Bochniak
Kennedy
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.6
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.5
2.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
1.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
0.9
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
2.3
8.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
9.5
BochniakKennedy
Strike Zones
Bochniak
Attacking
19 landedAbsorbing
20 absorbedKennedy
Attacking
20 landedAbsorbing
19 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Bochniak targets the head (58% of attacks) — Kennedy absorbs 58% of strikes there
🎯Kennedy targets the head (75% of attacks) — Bochniak absorbs 75% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Bochniak
RND
Kennedy
0/0R00/0
Bochniak · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.4WinLossTrend
Kennedy · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.4WinLossTrend
Bochniak · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Sean WoodsonRating 6.6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Reyes vs. Weidman · 2019-10
L · Dec · R3
Hakeem DawoduRating 5.6Decision
UFC 231: Holloway vs. Ortega · 2018-12
L · Dec · R3
Zabit MagomedsharipovRating 5.5Decision
UFC 223: Khabib vs. Iaquinta · 2018-04
W · Dec · R3
Brandon DavisRating 4.5Decision
UFC 220: Miocic vs. Ngannou · 2018-01
L · Dec · R3
Jeremy KennedyRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Weidman vs. Gastelum · 2017-07
Kennedy · Last 4
L · KO · R2
Alexander VolkanovskiRating 4.2KO/TKO
UFC 221: Romero vs. Rockhold · 2018-02
W · Dec · R3
Kyle BochniakRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Weidman vs. Gastelum · 2017-07
W · Dec · R3
Rony JasonRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Belfort vs. Gastelum · 2017-03
W · Dec · R3
Alex RicciRating 4.5Decision
UFC on FOX: Maia vs. Condit · 2016-08