UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Brady
Las Vegas, USA
7 Sept 2024
Women's Flyweight
VS
44%
Andrade
56%
Silva
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Silva
This is a genuine toss-up — Andrade at 44% vs Silva at 56% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 15 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Andrade has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 12 points.
Andrade has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Andrade's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Andrade
Silva
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'1"
Height
+5'4"
62"
Reach
+65"
34
Age
+29
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Andrade
Silva
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
51.0
65.7
49.4
Performance Avg
59.5
45
Quality of Victory
33
79
Momentum Score
100
Andrade
Silva
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
3.1
2.0
52%
Strike Accuracy
48%
4.7
Striking Style Score (/10)
4.5
6 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
8
Head
33
5
Body
11
2
Leg
3
RangeRange
15Distance42
0Clinch3
0Ground2
Andrade
Silva
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
2.5
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.8
1.8
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.3
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Andrade
Silva
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
100
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
4
KO/TKO Losses
0
5
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.5 stoppage
KO round context
—
6 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
30/41 fights
Chin rating based on
8/25 fights
Andrade
Silva
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
79
100
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
8-fight 🔥 win streak
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
Last 5
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Andrade
Silva
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
53%
25%
6
KO / TKO Wins
2
3
Submission Wins
0
8
Decision Wins
6
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Andrade
Silva
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.5
2.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.8
1.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.3
1.8
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.4
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.8
4.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.0
AndradeSilva
Strike Zones
Andrade
Attacking
15 landedAbsorbing
47 absorbedSilva
Attacking
47 landedAbsorbing
15 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Andrade targets the head (53% of attacks) — Silva absorbs 53% of strikes there
🎯Silva targets the head (70% of attacks) — Andrade absorbs 70% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Andrade
RND
Silva
0/0R00/0
Andrade · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.7WinLossTrend
Silva · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.4WinLossTrend
Andrade · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Loopy GodinezRating 6Decision
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L · Sub · R1
Jasmine JasudaviciusRating 2.4Submission
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L · Dec · R3
Natalia SilvaRating 7Decision
UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Brady · 2024-09
W · Dec · R3
Marina RodriguezRating 5.2Decision
UFC 300: Pereira vs. Hill · 2024-04
W · KO · R2
Mackenzie DernRating 6.5KO/TKO
UFC 295: Prochazka vs. Pereira · 2023-11
Silva · Last 5
W · Dec · R3
Rose NamajunasRating 5.9Decision
UFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett · 2026-01
W · Dec · R3
Alexa GrassoRating 5.7Decision
UFC 315: Muhammad vs. Della Maddalena · 2025-05
W · Dec · R3
Jessica AndradeRating 5.3Decision
UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Brady · 2024-09
W · Dec · R3
Viviane AraujoRating 5.2Decision
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W · Dec · R3
Andrea LeeRating 4.9Decision
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