★ Championship Bout · Ultimate Fighter Brazil 3 Middleweight Tournament
UFC Fight Night: Miocic vs Maldonado
Sao Paulo, Brazil
31 May 2014
Ultimate Fighter Brazil 3 Middleweight Tournament
VS
6%
Junior
94%
Alves
Win Probability
Submission
Round 3 · 0:25
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Alves
Alves is a strong favourite at 94% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 37 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Alves has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 49 points.
Alves has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Alves has a chin rating of 14 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Junior
Alves
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"+
Height
5'11"
75"+
Reach
72"
37
Age
+35
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Junior
Alves
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
2.4
39.1
0.0
Performance Avg
49.3
0
Quality of Victory
49
0
Momentum Score
30
Junior
Alves
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.3
1.3
32%
Strike Accuracy
49%
0.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
3.5
0 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
0
Head
1
0
Body
0
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
0Distance2
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Junior
Alves
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
0.0
/ 10
3.6
/ 10
0.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
2.5
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
3.8
0
Submission wins
3
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Junior
Alves
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
84
14
Never stopped
Verdict
KO risk
0
KO/TKO Losses
3
1
Sub Losses
1
—
KO round context
Avg R1.7 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
3/21 fights
Chin rating based on
16/23 fights
Junior
Alves
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
0
30
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
4-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
W · KO · R1
Junior
Alves
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
63%
0
KO / TKO Wins
2
0
Submission Wins
3
0
Decision Wins
3
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Junior
Alves
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.5
0.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.6
0.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.5
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
3.8
0.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.9
0.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.0
JuniorAlves
Strike Zones
Junior
Attacking
0 landedAbsorbing
2 absorbedAlves
Attacking
2 landedAbsorbing
0 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Alves targets the head (50% of attacks) — Junior absorbs 50% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Junior
RND
Alves
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Junior · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.2WinLossTrend
Alves · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.9WinLossTrend
Junior · Last 3
L · Dec · R3
Court McGeeRating 5.7Decision
UFC 194: Aldo vs McGregor · 2015-12
L · Dec · R3
Tim MeansRating 5.6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Machida vs Dollaway · 2014-12
L · Sub · R3
Warlley AlvesRating 4.2Submission
UFC Fight Night: Miocic vs Maldonado · 2014-05
Alves · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Abus MagomedovRating 6.3Decision
UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Murphy · 2024-05
L · KO · R1
Ikram AliskerovRating 3.2KO/TKO
UFC 294: Makhachev vs. Volkanovski 2 · 2023-10
L · Dec · R3
Nicolas DalbyRating 5.8Decision
UFC 283: Teixeira vs. Hill · 2023-01
L · KO · R2
Jeremiah WellsRating 4.1KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Volkov · 2021-06
W · KO · R1
Mounir LazzezRating 5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Chiesa vs. Magny · 2021-01