METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC on FOX: Machida vs Rockhold
Newark, USA
18 Apr 2015
Welterweight
VS
31%
Sullivan
69%
Means
Win Probability
Submission
Round 3 · 3:41
★ Official Result
Tim MeanswinsSubmissionR3 · 3:41
def. George Sullivan · UFC on FOX: Machida vs Rockhold
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Means
→
Actual result
Means wins
Submission · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Means holds a meaningful edge at 69% per the CFR ratings — but Sullivan has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 20 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Risk flags
Sullivan's chin rating of 42 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Means has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
SullivanMeans
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Sullivan
Means
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"
Height
+6'2"
73"
Reach
+75"
45
Age
+42
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Sullivan
Means
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
16.1
36.5
38.1
Performance Avg
45.2
35
Quality of Victory
41
79
Momentum Score
40
Sullivan
Means
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
4.2
/ 10
5.0
/ 10
3.6
Style: Pressure
5.3
6.2
Style: Volume
4.8
1 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
6 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
4
Head
5
1
Body
3
0
Leg
3
RangeRange
4Distance9
1Clinch0
0Ground2
Sullivan
Means
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.6
/ 10
2.2
/ 10
1.1
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.5
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
1.3
0
Submission wins
2
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Sullivan
Means
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
42
0
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
1
KO/TKO Losses
2
3
Sub Losses
6
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
7/24 fights
Chin rating based on
30/50 fights
Sullivan
Means
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
79
40
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Sub · R1
L · Sub · R2
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R3
Last 5
L · Sub · R1
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R3
L · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R3
Sullivan
Means
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
33%
53%
1
KO / TKO Wins
6
0
Submission Wins
2
2
Decision Wins
7
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Sullivan
Means
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.2
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.0
1.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.2
1.1
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.5
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.3
3.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.3
6.2
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.8
SullivanMeans
Strike Zones
Sullivan
Attacking
5 landedAbsorbing
11 absorbedMeans
Attacking
11 landedAbsorbing
5 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Sullivan targets the head (80% of attacks) — Means absorbs 80% of strikes there
🎯Means targets the head (45% of attacks) — Sullivan absorbs 45% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Sullivan
RND
Means
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Sullivan · Last 5
L · Sub · R1
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