UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Magomedov
Las Vegas, USA
1 Jul 2023
Heavyweight
VS
65%
Romanov
35%
Ivanov
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Romanov
Romanov holds a meaningful edge at 65% per the CFR ratings — but Ivanov has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 23 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Romanov has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 16 points.
Romanov has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Romanov's chin rating of 64 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Romanov
Ivanov
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'2"+
Height
5'11"
75"+
Reach
73"
35+
Age
39
Southpaw
Stance
Southpaw
Romanov
Ivanov
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
50.5
27.2
52.6
Performance Avg
30.0
41
Quality of Victory
25
70
Momentum Score
50
Romanov
Ivanov
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.0
1.0
52%
Strike Accuracy
41%
2.8
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.8
1 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
35
Head
20
4
Body
2
7
Leg
0
RangeRange
40Distance22
2Clinch0
4Ground0
Romanov
Ivanov
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
4.5
/ 10
2.4
/ 10
3.1
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.7
4.3
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
3
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Romanov
Ivanov
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
64
90
Moderate
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
3 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
10/21 fights
Chin rating based on
8/25 fights
Romanov
Ivanov
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
70
50
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Romanov
Ivanov
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
57%
0%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
3
Submission Wins
0
3
Decision Wins
3
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Romanov
Ivanov
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.8
4.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
3.1
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
4.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
6.1
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
1.1
4.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.8
RomanovIvanov
Strike Zones
Romanov
Attacking
46 landedAbsorbing
22 absorbedIvanov
Attacking
22 landedAbsorbing
46 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Romanov targets the head (76% of attacks) — Ivanov absorbs 76% of strikes there
🎯Ivanov targets the head (91% of attacks) — Romanov absorbs 91% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Romanov
RND
Ivanov
0/0R00/0
Romanov · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.7WinLossTrend
Ivanov · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.6WinLossTrend
Romanov · Last 5
W · Dec · R3
Rodrigo NascimentoRating 4.8Decision
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Albazi · 2024-11
L · Sub · R1
Jailton AlmeidaRating 3.3Submission
UFC 302: Makhachev vs. Poirier · 2024-06
W · Dec · R3
Blagoy IvanovRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Magomedov · 2023-07
L · KO · R1
Alexander VolkovRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Yan vs. Dvalishvili · 2023-03
L · Dec · R3
Marcin TyburaRating 5.9Decision
UFC 278: Usman vs. Edwards · 2022-08
Ivanov · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Alexandr RomanovRating 6.3Decision
UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Magomedov · 2023-07
L · Dec · R3
Marcin TyburaRating 5.9Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Spivac · 2023-02
W · Dec · R3
Marcos Rogerio de LimaRating 5.1Decision
UFC 274: Oliveira vs. Gaethje · 2022-05
L · Dec · R3
Augusto SakaiRating 5.7Decision
UFC Fight Night: Woodley vs. Burns · 2020-05
L · Dec · R3
Derrick LewisRating 6.7Decision
UFC 244: Masvidal vs. Diaz · 2019-11