UFC 143: Diaz vs Condit
Las Vegas, USA
4 Feb 2012
Welterweight
VS
81%
Brown
19%
Cope
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 1:19
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Brown
Brown is a strong favourite at 81% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 33 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Brown has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 27 points.
Brown has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Brown's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Cope has a chin rating of 56 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Brown
Cope
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"
Height
6'0"
75"+
Reach
72"
45
Age
+43
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Brown
Cope
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
42.5
9.8
54.0
Performance Avg
28.3
52
Quality of Victory
25
78
Momentum Score
27
Brown
Cope
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.5
1.4
60%
Strike Accuracy
31%
8.8
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.7
13 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
12
Head
2
4
Body
1
1
Leg
3
RangeRange
13Distance6
0Clinch0
4Ground0
Brown
Cope
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
1.2
/ 10
2.4
/ 10
0.8
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.7
1.2
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
2
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Brown
Cope
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
56
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
3
KO/TKO Losses
2
5
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.5 stoppage
4 fights ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
30/45 fights
Chin rating based on
3/12 fights
Brown
Cope
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
78
27
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
W · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
Last 5
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
Brown
Cope
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
88%
0%
13
KO / TKO Wins
0
2
Submission Wins
0
2
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Brown
Cope
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
8.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.7
1.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
0.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
1.2
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
7.9
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
1.0
2.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.7
BrownCope
Strike Zones
Brown
Attacking
17 landedAbsorbing
6 absorbedCope
Attacking
6 landedAbsorbing
17 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Brown targets the head (71% of attacks) — Cope absorbs 71% of strikes there
🎯Cope targets the legs (50% of attacks) — Brown absorbs 50% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Brown
RND
Cope
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Brown · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.6WinLossTrend
Cope · QOF Timeline
Avg: 3.0WinLossTrend
Brown · Last 5
W · KO · R1
Court McGeeRating 5.2KO/TKO
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L · Dec · R3
Bryan BarberenaRating 5.9Decision
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Daukaus · 2022-03
W · KO · R2
Dhiego LimaRating 5.2KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Jung vs. Ige · 2021-06
L · Dec · R3
Carlos ConditRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Kattar · 2021-01
L · KO · R2
Miguel BaezaRating 3.3KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Harris · 2020-05
Cope · Last 3
L · KO · R2
Matt BrownRating 3.1KO/TKO
UFC 143: Diaz vs Condit · 2012-02
L · KO · R1
Che MillsRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC 138: Leben vs Munoz · 2011-11
W · Dec · R3
Chuck O'NeilRating 4.5Decision
The Ultimate Fighter: Team Lesnar vs Team dos Santos Finale · 2011-06