UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Craig
Las Vegas, USA
18 Nov 2023
Women's Strawweight
VS
49%
Pinheiro
51%
Ribas
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 3 · 3:53
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Ribas
This is a genuine toss-up — Pinheiro at 49% vs Ribas at 51% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Ribas has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Pinheiro's chin rating of 62 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Ribas has a chin rating of 18 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Pinheiro
Ribas
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'2"
Height
+5'4"
62"
Reach
+66"
33
Age
+32
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Pinheiro
Ribas
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
35.6
37.5
33.1
Performance Avg
43.3
27
Quality of Victory
36
49
Momentum Score
28
Pinheiro
Ribas
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.1
2.0
41%
Strike Accuracy
45%
0.9
Striking Style Score (/10)
2.5
0 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
8
Head
22
3
Body
4
1
Leg
3
RangeRange
9Distance25
3Clinch1
0Ground3
Pinheiro
Ribas
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.2
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
1.6
Grappling Style Score (/10)
3.7
1.1
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.6
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Pinheiro
Ribas
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
62
18
Moderate
Verdict
KO risk
1
KO/TKO Losses
3
1
Sub Losses
1
Avg R3.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
3 fights ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
7/16 fights
Chin rating based on
13/20 fights
Pinheiro
Ribas
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
49
28
4-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
L · KO · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R2
L · Sub · R3
L · Dec · R5
W · KO · R3
L · KO · R2
Pinheiro
Ribas
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
43%
0
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
2
3
Decision Wins
4
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Pinheiro
Ribas
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.9
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
2.5
1.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.7
1.1
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.6
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.9
1.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.6
6.2
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.7
PinheiroRibas
Strike Zones
Pinheiro
Attacking
12 landedAbsorbing
29 absorbedRibas
Attacking
29 landedAbsorbing
12 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Pinheiro targets the head (67% of attacks) — Ribas absorbs 67% of strikes there
🎯Ribas targets the head (76% of attacks) — Pinheiro absorbs 76% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Pinheiro
RND
Ribas
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Pinheiro · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.8WinLossTrend
Ribas · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.9WinLossTrend
Pinheiro · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Tecia PenningtonRating 6.2Decision
UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Morales · 2025-05
L · Dec · R3
Gillian RobertsonRating 6.7Decision
UFC Fight Night: Magny vs. Prates · 2024-11
L · Sub · R2
Angela HillRating 2.8Submission
UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Murphy · 2024-05
L · KO · R3
Amanda RibasRating 4.1KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Craig · 2023-11
W · Dec · R3
Michelle Waterson-GomezRating 4.5Decision
UFC 287: Pereira vs. Adesanya 2 · 2023-04
Ribas · Last 5
L · KO · R2
Tabatha RicciRating 3.4KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. De Ridder · 2025-07
L · Sub · R3
Mackenzie DernRating 4Submission
UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Ribas 2 · 2025-01
L · Dec · R5
Rose NamajunasRating 6.9Decision
UFC Fight Night: Ribas vs. Namajunas · 2024-03
W · KO · R3
Luana PinheiroRating 5.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Craig · 2023-11
L · KO · R2
Maycee BarberRating 3.7KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Topuria · 2023-06

