METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night 3
Las Vegas, USA
16 Jan 2006
Light Heavyweight
VS
54%
Bonnar
46%
Irvin
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 4:30
★ Official Result
Stephan BonnarwinsSubmissionR1 · 4:30
def. James Irvin · UFC Fight Night 3
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Bonnar
→
Actual result
Bonnar wins
Submission · R1
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Bonnar at 54% vs Irvin at 46% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Irvin has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 10 points.
Irvin has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Bonnar's chin rating of 66 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Irvin has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
BonnarIrvin
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Bonnar
Irvin
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'4"+
Height
6'2"
79"+
Reach
75"
49
Age
+47
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Bonnar
Irvin
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
16.5
14.3
45.2
Performance Avg
46.0
40
Quality of Victory
50
48
Momentum Score
26
Bonnar
Irvin
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.0
1.3
43%
Strike Accuracy
48%
3.6
Striking Style Score (/10)
8.3
2 KOs
KO Finishes
3 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
2
Head
1
0
Body
3
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
0Distance2
0Clinch3
2Ground0
Bonnar
Irvin
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
0.4
3.2
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.0
2.2
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Bonnar
Irvin
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
66
0
Moderate
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
1
KO/TKO Losses
4
0
Sub Losses
2
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
15/24 fights
Chin rating based on
10/27 fights
Bonnar
Irvin
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
48
26
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
L · R3
Last 5
L · Sub · R1
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
W · R1
Bonnar
Irvin
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
75%
2
KO / TKO Wins
3
2
Submission Wins
0
4
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Bonnar
Irvin
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.6
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
8.3
3.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
2.2
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
2.5
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.1
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.5
5.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.8
BonnarIrvin
Strike Zones
Bonnar
Attacking
2 landedAbsorbing
5 absorbedIrvin
Attacking
5 landedAbsorbing
2 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Bonnar targets the head (100% of attacks) — Irvin absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Irvin targets the body (60% of attacks) — Bonnar absorbs 60% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Bonnar
RND
Irvin
0/0R00/0
Bonnar · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.0WinLossTrend
Irvin · QOF Timeline
Avg: 2.8WinLossTrend
Bonnar · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Anderson SilvaRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC 153: Silva vs Bonnar · 2012-10
W · Dec · R3
Kyle KingsburyRating 4.5Decision
UFC 139: Shogun vs Henderson · 2011-11
W · Dec · R3
Igor PokrajacRating 4.5Decision
The Ultimate Fighter: Team GSP vs Team Koscheck Finale · 2010-12
W · KO · R2
Krzysztof SoszynskiRating 5.2KO/TKO
UFC 116: Lesnar vs Carwin · 2010-07
L · R3
Krzysztof SoszynskiRating 5.5UFC 110: Nogueira vs Velasquez · 2010-02
Irvin · Last 5
L · Sub · R1
Igor PokrajacRating 1.5Submission
UFC Live: Jones vs Matyushenko · 2010-08
L · KO · R1
Alessio SakaraRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC Live: Vera vs Jones · 2010-03
L · KO · R1
Anderson SilvaRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC: Silva vs Irvin · 2008-07
W · KO · R1
Houston AlexanderRating 5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Florian vs Lauzon · 2008-04
W · R1
Luiz CaneRating 4UFC 79: Nemesis · 2007-12