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UFC 321: Aspinall vs. Gane
Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates
25 Oct 2025
Featherweight
VS
44%
Wood
56%
Delgado
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Nathaniel
Nathaniel Wood
"The Last Kingsman"
236
5'6"69" reachOrthodox33 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 49
Jose
Jose Delgado
112
Striker2-fight win streak28 yrsSwitch74" reach5'11"
CFR 63
★ Official Result
Nathaniel WoodwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Jose Delgado · UFC 321: Aspinall vs. Gane

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Delgado
Actual result
Wood wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis

This is a genuine toss-up — Wood at 44% vs Delgado at 56% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 13 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Delgado has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 11 points.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout
WoodDelgado
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
Strike Accuracy
Wood
Delgado
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'6"
Height
+5'11"
69"
Reach
+74"
33
Age
+28
Orthodox
Stance
Switch
Wood
Delgado
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
49.3
62.7
48.1
Performance Avg
57.5
31
Quality of Victory
43
60
Momentum Score
78
Wood
Delgado
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.5
/ 10
6.6
/ 10
4.1
Style: Pressure
5.9
7.3
Style: Volume
5.6
0 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
2 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
23
Head
24
4
Body
12
12
Leg
1
RangeRange
36Distance33
2Clinch4
1Ground0
Wood
Delgado
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.9
/ 10
1.2
/ 10
2.8
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.8
2.7
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
3
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Wood
Delgado
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
72
98
Moderate
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R3.0 stoppage
KO round context
11 fights ago
Last KO loss
Strikes absorbed / min
15/29 fights
Chin rating based on
6/13 fights
Wood
Delgado
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
60
78
Current form
2-fight 🔥 win streak
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
Upcoming
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
Wood
Delgado
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
27%
50%
0
KO / TKO Wins
2
3
Submission Wins
0
8
Decision Wins
2

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Wood
Delgado
Striking1.5 / 6.6Volume7.3 / 5.6Grappling3.9 / 1.2Wrestling2.8 / 0.8Submission2.7 / 0.0Pressure4.1 / 5.9
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
6.6
3.9
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.2
2.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.8
2.7
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.1
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.9
7.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.6
Wood
Strike Zones
Delgado
Wood
Attacking
23HEAD4BODY12LEGS39 landed
Absorbing
24HEAD12BODY1LEGS37 absorbed
Delgado
Attacking
24HEAD12BODY1LEGS37 landed
Absorbing
23HEAD4BODY12LEGS39 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Wood targets the head (59% of attacks) — Delgado absorbs 59% of strikes there
🎯Delgado targets the head (65% of attacks) — Wood absorbs 65% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Wood
RND
Delgado
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Wood · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Pavel Andrusca
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Hooker vs. Parnasse · 2026-09
W · Dec · R3
Losene Keita
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Evloev vs. Murphy · 2026-03
W · Dec · R3
Jose Delgado
Decision
UFC 321: Aspinall vs. Gane · 2025-10
W · Dec · R3
Morgan Charriere
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Edwards vs. Brady · 2025-03
W · Dec · R3
Daniel Pineda
Decision
UFC 304: Edwards vs. Muhammad 2 · 2024-07

Delgado · Last 5

Upcoming
Jean Silva
Noche UFC: Silva vs. Delgado · 2026-09
W · Dec · R3
Austin Bashi
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Du Plessis vs. Usman · 2026-07
W · Dec · R3
Andre Fili
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Vallejos · 2026-03
L · Dec · R3
Nathaniel Wood
Decision
UFC 321: Aspinall vs. Gane · 2025-10
W · KO · R1
Hyder Amil
KO/TKO
UFC 317: Topuria vs. Oliveira · 2025-06

News & Media

Nathaniel Wood · Jose Delgado
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