UFC 321: Aspinall vs. Gane
Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates
25 Oct 2025
Featherweight
VS
44%
Wood
56%
Delgado
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Nathaniel
Nathaniel Wood
"The Last Kingsman"
23 – 6
5'6"69" reachOrthodox33 yrs4-fight win streakWell-Rounded
CFR 51
Jose
Jose Delgado
11 – 2
Striker28 yrsSwitch74" reach5'11"
CFR 66

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Delgado

This is a genuine toss-up — Wood at 44% vs Delgado at 56% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 15 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Delgado has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 17 points.

Delgado has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Wood
Delgado
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'6"
Height
+5'11"
69"
Reach
+74"
33
Age
+28
Orthodox
Stance
Switch
Wood
Delgado
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
50.6
65.5
50.2
Performance Avg
59.0
31
Quality of Victory
48
60
Momentum Score
78
Wood
Delgado
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.9
3.1
55%
Strike Accuracy
61%
1.6
Striking Style Score (/10)
8.2
0 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
23
Head
24
4
Body
12
12
Leg
1
RangeRange
36Distance33
2Clinch4
1Ground0
Wood
Delgado
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
3.9
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.8
2.8
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.6
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Wood
Delgado
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
74
98
Moderate
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R3.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
10 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
14/29 fights
Chin rating based on
4/13 fights
Wood
Delgado
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
60
78
4-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
Wood
Delgado
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
27%
67%
0
KO / TKO Wins
2
3
Submission Wins
0
8
Decision Wins
1

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Wood
Delgado
Striking1.6 / 8.2Volume7.4 / 4.2Grappling3.9 / 0.8Wrestling2.8 / 0.6Submission2.7 / 0.0Pressure4.3 / 6.9
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.6
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
8.2
3.9
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.8
2.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.6
2.7
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.9
7.4
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.2
Wood
Strike Zones
Delgado
Wood
Attacking
23HEAD4BODY12LEGS39 landed
Absorbing
24HEAD12BODY1LEGS37 absorbed
Delgado
Attacking
24HEAD12BODY1LEGS37 landed
Absorbing
23HEAD4BODY12LEGS39 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Wood targets the head (59% of attacks) — Delgado absorbs 59% of strikes there
🎯Delgado targets the head (65% of attacks) — Wood absorbs 65% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Wood
RND
Delgado
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Wood · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.3
0105.2W5.5W5.2W4.0L5.3W5.5L4.5W5.3W5.2W6.7L5.4W5.7W6.0W4.5W2018-062020-072023-072025-102026-03
WinLossTrend

Delgado · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.6
0105.0W6.1W6.3L5.2W2025-022025-062025-102026-03
WinLossTrend

Wood · Last 5

W · Dec · R3
Losene KeitaRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Evloev vs. Murphy · 2026-03
W · Dec · R3
Jose DelgadoRating 6
Decision
UFC 321: Aspinall vs. Gane · 2025-10
W · Dec · R3
Morgan CharriereRating 5.7
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Edwards vs. Brady · 2025-03
W · Dec · R3
Daniel PinedaRating 5.4
Decision
UFC 304: Edwards vs. Muhammad 2 · 2024-07
L · Dec · R3
Muhammad NaimovRating 6.7
Decision
UFC 294: Makhachev vs. Volkanovski 2 · 2023-10

Delgado · Last 4

W · Dec · R3
Andre FiliRating 5.2
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Vallejos · 2026-03
L · Dec · R3
Nathaniel WoodRating 6.3
Decision
UFC 321: Aspinall vs. Gane · 2025-10
W · KO · R1
Hyder AmilRating 6.1
KO/TKO
UFC 317: Topuria vs. Oliveira · 2025-06
W · KO · R1
Connor MatthewsRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Rodrigues · 2025-02

News & Media

Nathaniel Wood · Jose Delgado
← Back to fights