UFC 232: Jones vs. Gustafsson 2
Los Angeles, USA
29 Dec 2018
Lightweight
VS
38%
Penn
62%
Hall
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 2:46
BP
BJ Penn
"The Prodigy"
16 – 14
5'9"70" reachOrthodox47 yrs7-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 22
RH
Ryan Hall
"The Wizard"
9 – 2
Well-Rounded41 yrsSouthpaw70" reach5'10"
CFR 36

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Hall

Hall holds a meaningful edge at 62% per the CFR ratings — but Penn has real paths to victory.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 14 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Penn has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 17 points.

Hall has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Penn's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Penn
Hall
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"
Height
+5'10"
70"
Reach
70"
47
Age
+41
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Penn
Hall
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
22.2
36.0
56.9
Performance Avg
60.8
63
Quality of Victory
46
100
Momentum Score
99
Penn
Hall
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.0
1.1
51%
Strike Accuracy
53%
6.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
1.7
6 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
1
Head
0
1
Body
1
1
Leg
5
RangeRange
2Distance6
0Clinch0
1Ground0
Penn
Hall
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.2
2.9
Grappling Style Score (/10)
3.5
2.0
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.5
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Penn
Hall
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
78
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
Moderate
4
KO/TKO Losses
1
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R3.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
3 fights ago
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
27/30 fights
Chin rating based on
6/11 fights
Penn
Hall
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
99
7-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R3
Last 5
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
Penn
Hall
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
83%
20%
6
KO / TKO Wins
0
4
Submission Wins
1
2
Decision Wins
4

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Penn
Hall
Striking6.0 / 1.7Volume1.6 / 8.1Grappling2.9 / 3.5Wrestling2.0 / 2.5Submission3.3 / 2.0Pressure7.3 / 3.9
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.7
2.9
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.5
2.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.5
3.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.0
7.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.9
1.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.1
Penn
Strike Zones
Hall
Penn
Attacking
1HEAD1BODY1LEGS3 landed
Absorbing
0HEAD1BODY5LEGS6 absorbed
Hall
Attacking
0HEAD1BODY5LEGS6 landed
Absorbing
1HEAD1BODY1LEGS3 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Penn targets the head (33% of attacks) — Hall absorbs 33% of strikes there
🎯Hall targets the legs (83% of attacks) — Penn absorbs 83% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Penn
RND
Hall
0/0R00/0

Penn · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.8
0105.0W5.0W5.0W5.5L5.2W4.5W5.0W5.5L2.8L5.2W5.1W5.2W3.4L5.4W4.5W5.5L5.5L5.0W5.5L5.5L2.8L3.7L5.5L1.5L6.0L2001-052006-032009-122017-012019-05
WinLossTrend

Hall · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.6
0104.5W4.5W5.0W5.0W3.9L4.5W2015-122016-122018-122019-072021-072021-12
WinLossTrend

Penn · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Clay GuidaRating 6
Decision
UFC 237: Namajunas vs. Andrade · 2019-05
L · Sub · R1
Ryan HallRating 1.5
Submission
UFC 232: Jones vs. Gustafsson 2 · 2018-12
L · Dec · R3
Dennis SiverRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Chiesa vs. Lee · 2017-06
L · KO · R2
Yair RodriguezRating 3.7
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. Penn · 2017-01
L · KO · R3
Frankie EdgarRating 2.8
KO/TKO
The Ultimate Fighter: Team Edgar vs. Team Penn Finale · 2014-07

Hall · Last 5

W · Dec · R3
Darrick MinnerRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 269: Oliveira vs. Poirier · 2021-12
L · KO · R1
Ilia TopuriaRating 3.9
KO/TKO
UFC 264: Poirier vs. McGregor 3 · 2021-07
W · Dec · R3
Darren ElkinsRating 5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: De Randamie vs. Ladd · 2019-07
W · Sub · R1
BJ PennRating 5
Submission
UFC 232: Jones vs. Gustafsson 2 · 2018-12
W · Dec · R3
Gray MaynardRating 4.5
Decision
The Ultimate Fighter: Tournament of Champions Finale · 2016-12

News & Media

BJ Penn · Ryan Hall
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