METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Arlovski vs. Barnett
Hamburg, Germany
3 Sept 2016
Women's Bantamweight
VS
39%
Evans-Smith
61%
Hardy
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 3 · 2:46
★ Official Result
Ashlee Evans-SmithwinsKO/TKOR3 · 2:46
def. Veronica Hardy · UFC Fight Night: Arlovski vs. Barnett
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Hardy
→
Actual result
Evans-Smith wins
KO/TKO · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Hardy holds a meaningful edge at 61% per the CFR ratings — but Evans-Smith has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 15 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Risk flags
Evans-Smith's chin rating of 68 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Hardy has a chin rating of 60 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
Evans-SmithHardy
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Evans-Smith
Hardy
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'8"+
Height
5'4"
67"+
Reach
64"
39
Age
+30
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Evans-Smith
Hardy
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
26.0
41.4
33.3
Performance Avg
38.5
33
Quality of Victory
31
26
Momentum Score
55
Evans-Smith
Hardy
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
4.0
/ 10
1.0
/ 10
3.3
Style: Pressure
2.9
6.0
Style: Volume
7.4
1 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
20
Head
1
7
Body
2
1
Leg
0
RangeRange
4Distance3
1Clinch0
23Ground0
Evans-Smith
Hardy
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.6
/ 10
3.5
/ 10
1.1
Wrestling Style (/10)
2.5
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
2.0
0
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Evans-Smith
Hardy
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
68
60
Never stopped
Verdict
Moderate
0
KO/TKO Losses
1
2
Sub Losses
1
—
KO round context
Avg R3.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
9 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
9/12 fights
Chin rating based on
10/15 fights
Evans-Smith
Hardy
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
26
55
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
Last 5
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Evans-Smith
Hardy
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
33%
20%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
1
2
Decision Wins
4
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Evans-Smith
Hardy
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.0
1.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.5
1.1
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.5
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.0
3.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
2.9
6.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
7.4
Evans-SmithHardy
Strike Zones
Evans-Smith
Attacking
28 landedAbsorbing
3 absorbedHardy
Attacking
3 landedAbsorbing
28 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Evans-Smith targets the head (71% of attacks) — Hardy absorbs 71% of strikes there
🎯Hardy targets the body (67% of attacks) — Evans-Smith absorbs 67% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Evans-Smith
RND
Hardy
0/0R00/0
Evans-Smith · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
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Hardy · Last 5
W · Dec · R3
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