METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
★ Championship Bout · Ultimate Fighter Brazil 2 Welterweight Tournament
UFC on FUEL TV: Nogueira vs. Werdum
Fortaleza, Brazil
8 Jun 2013
Ultimate Fighter Brazil 2 Welterweight Tournament
VS
18%
Macario
82%
Santos
Win Probability
Submission
Round 2 · 4:43
★ Official Result
Leonardo SantoswinsSubmissionR2 · 4:43
def. William Macario · UFC on FUEL TV: Nogueira vs. Werdum
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Santos
→
Actual result
Santos wins
Submission · R2
Pre-fight analysis
Santos is a strong favourite at 82% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 28 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Santos has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 24 points.
Macario has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Macario's chin rating of 44 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Santos has a chin rating of 64 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
MacarioSantos
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Macario
Santos
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"
Height
+6'0"
75"
Reach
75"
35+
Age
46
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Macario
Santos
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
8.1
36.1
25.0
Performance Avg
57.5
25
Quality of Victory
49
17
Momentum Score
100
Macario
Santos
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.0
1.1
56%
Strike Accuracy
49%
0.5
Striking Style Score (/10)
4.3
0 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
10
Head
14
3
Body
4
1
Leg
1
RangeRange
9Distance14
4Clinch2
1Ground3
Macario
Santos
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.4
/ 10
3.3
/ 10
1.7
Wrestling Style (/10)
2.3
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
2.9
0
Submission wins
2
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Macario
Santos
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
44
64
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
Moderate
2
KO/TKO Losses
1
1
Sub Losses
1
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R3.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
2 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
4/12 fights
Chin rating based on
11/25 fights
Macario
Santos
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
17
100
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
L · KO · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
Macario
Santos
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
57%
0
KO / TKO Wins
2
0
Submission Wins
2
1
Decision Wins
3
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Macario
Santos
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.3
2.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.3
1.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.3
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.9
0.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.1
8.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.8
MacarioSantos
Strike Zones
Macario
Attacking
14 landedAbsorbing
19 absorbedSantos
Attacking
19 landedAbsorbing
14 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Macario targets the head (71% of attacks) — Santos absorbs 71% of strikes there
🎯Santos targets the head (74% of attacks) — Macario absorbs 74% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Macario
RND
Santos
0/0R00/0
Macario · QOF Timeline
Avg: 3.3WinLossTrend
Santos · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.8WinLossTrend
Macario · Last 4
L · KO · R1
Matt DwyerRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Bigfoot vs Mir · 2015-02
L · KO · R3
Neil MagnyRating 4.6KO/TKO
UFC 179: Aldo vs Mendes 2 · 2014-10
W · Dec · R3
Bobby VoelkerRating 4.5Decision
UFC 168: Weidman vs Silva 2 · 2013-12
L · Sub · R2
Leonardo SantosRating 2.8Submission
UFC on FUEL TV: Nogueira vs. Werdum · 2013-06
Santos · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Jared GordonRating 5.9Decision
UFC 278: Usman vs. Edwards · 2022-08
L · Sub · R2
Clay GuidaRating 3.2Submission
UFC Fight Night: Font vs. Aldo · 2021-12
L · KO · R3
Grant DawsonRating 5.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Brunson vs. Holland · 2021-03
W · Dec · R3
Roman BogatovRating 4.5Decision
UFC 251: Usman vs. Masvidal · 2020-07
W · KO · R1
Stevie RayRating 5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Gustafsson vs. Smith · 2019-06