METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
★ Championship Bout · Ultimate Fighter Brazil 2 Welterweight Tournament
UFC on FUEL TV: Nogueira vs. Werdum
Fortaleza, Brazil
8 Jun 2013
Ultimate Fighter Brazil 2 Welterweight Tournament
VS
18%
Macario
82%
Santos
Win Probability
Submission
Round 2 · 4:43
★ Official Result
Leonardo SantoswinsSubmissionR2 · 4:43
def. William Macario · UFC on FUEL TV: Nogueira vs. Werdum
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Santos
→
Actual result
Santos wins
Submission · R2
Pre-fight analysis
Santos is a strong favourite at 82% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 28 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Santos has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 24 points.
Risk flags
Macario's chin rating of 44 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Santos has a chin rating of 64 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
MacarioSantos
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Macario
Santos
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"
Height
+6'0"
75"
Reach
75"
35+
Age
46
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Macario
Santos
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
8.1
36.1
25.0
Performance Avg
57.5
25
Quality of Victory
49
17
Momentum Score
100
Macario
Santos
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.5
/ 10
4.3
/ 10
0.8
Style: Pressure
6.1
8.5
Style: Volume
4.8
0 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
2 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
10
Head
14
3
Body
4
1
Leg
1
RangeRange
9Distance14
4Clinch2
1Ground3
Macario
Santos
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.4
/ 10
3.3
/ 10
1.7
Wrestling Style (/10)
2.3
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
2.9
0
Submission wins
2
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Macario
Santos
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
44
64
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
Moderate
2
KO/TKO Losses
1
1
Sub Losses
1
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R3.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
2 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
4/12 fights
Chin rating based on
11/25 fights
Macario
Santos
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
17
100
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
L · KO · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
Macario
Santos
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
57%
0
KO / TKO Wins
2
0
Submission Wins
2
1
Decision Wins
3
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Macario
Santos
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.3
2.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.3
1.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.3
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.9
0.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.1
8.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.8
MacarioSantos
Strike Zones
Macario
Attacking
14 landedAbsorbing
19 absorbedSantos
Attacking
19 landedAbsorbing
14 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Macario targets the head (71% of attacks) — Santos absorbs 71% of strikes there
🎯Santos targets the head (74% of attacks) — Macario absorbs 74% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Macario
RND
Santos
0/0R00/0
Macario · Last 4
L · KO · R1
Matt DwyerKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Bigfoot vs Mir · 2015-02
L · KO · R3
Neil MagnyKO/TKO
UFC 179: Aldo vs Mendes 2 · 2014-10
W · Dec · R3
Bobby VoelkerDecision
UFC 168: Weidman vs Silva 2 · 2013-12
L · Sub · R2
Leonardo SantosSubmission
UFC on FUEL TV: Nogueira vs. Werdum · 2013-06
Santos · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Jared GordonDecision
UFC 278: Usman vs. Edwards · 2022-08
L · Sub · R2
Clay GuidaSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Font vs. Aldo · 2021-12
L · KO · R3
Grant DawsonKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Brunson vs. Holland · 2021-03
W · Dec · R3
Roman BogatovDecision
UFC 251: Usman vs. Masvidal · 2020-07
W · KO · R1
Stevie RayKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Gustafsson vs. Smith · 2019-06