METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Font
Nashville, USA
5 Aug 2023
Welterweight
VS
58%
Wells
42%
Harris
Win Probability
Submission
Round 3 · 1:50
★ Official Result
Carlston HarriswinsSubmissionR3 · 1:50
def. Jeremiah Wells · UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Font
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Wells
→
Actual result
Harris wins
Submission · R3
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Wells at 58% vs Harris at 42% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 18 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Risk flags
Harris has a chin rating of 32 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
WellsHarris
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Wells
Harris
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"
Height
+6'0"
74"
Reach
+76"
39
Age
39
Switch
Stance
Orthodox
Wells
Harris
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
65.3
47.5
56.4
Performance Avg
47.6
44
Quality of Victory
46
92
Momentum Score
45
Wells
Harris
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
4.8
/ 10
3.5
/ 10
6.9
Style: Pressure
6.8
4.2
Style: Volume
3.0
2 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
1 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
2
Head
1
0
Body
2
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
2Distance4
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Wells
Harris
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.5
/ 10
4.6
/ 10
2.4
Wrestling Style (/10)
3.2
3.3
Submission Style (/10)
5.0
2
Submission wins
2
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Wells
Harris
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
86
32
Never stopped
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
0
KO/TKO Losses
3
1
Sub Losses
0
—
KO round context
Avg R1.7 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
8/17 fights
Chin rating based on
8/26 fights
Wells
Harris
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
92
45
2-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
W · Sub · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R3
L · KO · R1
W · Sub · R3
W · Dec · R3
Wells
Harris
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
67%
75%
2
KO / TKO Wins
1
2
Submission Wins
2
2
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Wells
Harris
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.5
3.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
4.6
2.4
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.2
3.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
5.0
6.9
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.8
4.2
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.0
WellsHarris
Strike Zones
Wells
Attacking
2 landedAbsorbing
4 absorbedHarris
Attacking
4 landedAbsorbing
2 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Wells targets the head (100% of attacks) — Harris absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Harris targets the body (50% of attacks) — Wells absorbs 50% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Wells
RND
Harris
0/0R00/0
Wells · Last 5
W · Sub · R3
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Max GriffinDecision
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L · Sub · R3
Carlston HarrisSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Font · 2023-08
W · Dec · R3
Matthew SemelsbergerDecision
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Harris · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Jake MatthewsDecision
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Khaos WilliamsKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Murphy · 2024-05
W · Sub · R3
Jeremiah WellsSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Font · 2023-08
W · Dec · R3
Jared GoodenDecision
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