UFC Fight Night: Jacare vs. Hermansson
Sunrise, USA
27 Apr 2019
Light Heavyweight
VS
51%
Teixeira
49%
Cutelaba
Win Probability
Submission
Round 2 · 3:37
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Teixeira
This is a genuine toss-up — Teixeira at 51% vs Cutelaba at 49% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Striking split: Cutelaba throws more volume but Teixeira connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Teixeira's chin rating of 36 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Cutelaba has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Teixeira
Cutelaba
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'2"+
Height
6'1"
76"+
Reach
75"
46
Age
+32
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Teixeira
Cutelaba
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
42.8
40.5
58.4
Performance Avg
47.1
51
Quality of Victory
47
59
Momentum Score
26
Teixeira
Cutelaba
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.1
1.7
52%
Strike Accuracy
45%
4.5
Striking Style Score (/10)
5.4
5 KOs
KO Finishes
4 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
19
Head
25
1
Body
6
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
11Distance21
4Clinch10
5Ground0
Teixeira
Cutelaba
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
4.0
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.6
2.8
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.8
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Teixeira
Cutelaba
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
36
0
KO risk
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
2
KO/TKO Losses
3
1
Sub Losses
4
Avg R3.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.3 stoppage
10 fights ago
Last KO loss
7 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
23/42 fights
Chin rating based on
21/31 fights
Teixeira
Cutelaba
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
59
26
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Dec · R5
L · Sub · R5
W · Sub · R2
W · Sub · R3
W · KO · R5
Last 5
Upcoming
W · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
Teixeira
Cutelaba
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
75%
67%
5
KO / TKO Wins
4
7
Submission Wins
2
4
Decision Wins
3
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Teixeira
Cutelaba
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.4
4.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.6
2.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.8
4.4
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.2
7.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.1
2.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.6
TeixeiraCutelaba
Strike Zones
Teixeira
Attacking
20 landedAbsorbing
31 absorbedCutelaba
Attacking
31 landedAbsorbing
20 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Teixeira targets the head (95% of attacks) — Cutelaba absorbs 95% of strikes there
🎯Cutelaba targets the head (81% of attacks) — Teixeira absorbs 81% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Teixeira
RND
Cutelaba
0/0R00/0
Teixeira · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.2WinLossTrend
Cutelaba · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.6WinLossTrend
Teixeira · Last 5
L · Dec · R5
Jamahal HillRating 6.8Decision
UFC 283: Teixeira vs. Hill · 2023-01
L · Sub · R5
Jiri ProchazkaRating 5.7Submission
UFC 275: Teixeira vs. Prochazka · 2022-06
W · Sub · R2
Jan BlachowiczRating 5.7Submission
UFC 267: Blachowicz vs. Teixeira · 2021-10
W · Sub · R3
Thiago SantosRating 5.2Submission
UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Teixeira · 2020-11
W · KO · R5
Anthony SmithRating 6.7KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Smith vs. Teixeira · 2020-05
Cutelaba · Last 5
Upcoming
Navajo StirlingUFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Horiguchi · 2026-06
W · Sub · R1
Oumar SyRating 6Submission
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Vallejos · 2026-03
L · Dec · R3
Modestas BukauskasRating 6.3Decision
UFC 315: Muhammad vs. Della Maddalena · 2025-05
W · Sub · R1
Ibo AslanRating 5.9Submission
UFC Fight Night: Cejudo vs. Song · 2025-02
W · Dec · R3
Ivan ErslanRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Saint Denis · 2024-09
