Dustin Stoltzfus vs Gerald Meerschaert — UFC Fight Analysis & Result

METRICS GUIDE

Every stat on this page, explained

All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Daukaus

Las Vegas, USA

18 Dec 2021

Middleweight

40%

Stoltzfus

60%

Meerschaert

Win Probability

Submission

Round 3 · 2:58

Dustin Stoltzfus

16 – 8

6'0"75" reachOrthodox34 yrsWell-Rounded

CFR 37

Gerald Meerschaert

"GM3"

37 – 22

Submission Hunter5-fight slide38 yrsSouthpaw77" reach6'1"

CFR 57

★ Official Result

Gerald MeerschaertwinsSubmissionR3 · 2:58

def. Dustin Stoltzfus · UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Daukaus

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result

We predicted

Meerschaert

→

Actual result

Meerschaert wins

Submission · R3

Pre-fight analysis

Meerschaert holds a meaningful edge at 60% per the CFR ratings — but Stoltzfus has real paths to victory.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 20 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Risk flags

Stoltzfus's chin rating of 26 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Meerschaert has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout

StoltzfusMeerschaert

Sig. Strikes

0.0

Strikes / min (SLpM)

0.0

—

Strike Accuracy

—

Stoltzfus

Meerschaert

Physical Matchup

Height · Reach · Age · Stance

6'0"

Height

+6'1"

75"

Reach

+77"

34+

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Southpaw

Stoltzfus

Meerschaert

Composite Fighter Rating

Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability

37.1

56.7

42.1

Performance Avg

48.2

Quality of Victory

Momentum Score

Stoltzfus

Meerschaert

Striking

Career averages · see This Fight stats above

3.2

/ 10

1.8

/ 10

6.3

Style: Pressure

8.4

2.7

Style: Volume

0.9

1 KO wins

Finish Rate (strikes)

1 KO wins

Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped

Strike targetStrike target

Head

Body

Leg

RangeRange

1Distance2

0Clinch1

1Ground0

Stoltzfus

Meerschaert

Grappling

Career averages · see This Fight stats above

4.6

/ 10

7.3

/ 10

3.2

Wrestling Style (/10)

5.1

5.0

Submission Style (/10)

9.2

Submission wins

Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped

Stoltzfus

Meerschaert

Durability / Chin

Resilience against knockouts and stoppages

KO risk

Verdict

2 consec. KOs

KO/TKO Losses

Sub Losses

Avg R1.0 stoppage

KO round context

Avg R1.2 stoppage

4 fights ago

Last KO loss

2 fights ago

—

Strikes absorbed / min

—

11/24 fights

Chin rating based on

26/59 fights

Stoltzfus

Meerschaert

Form & Momentum

Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%

Current form

5-fight 📉 slide

W · Sub · R2

L · Dec · R3

W · KO · R1

L · KO · R1

Last 5

L · Dec · R3

L · Sub · R1

L · KO · R1

L · Dec · R3

L · Sub · R3

Stoltzfus

Meerschaert

Finish Rate

Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission

75%

100%

KO / TKO Wins

Submission Wins

Decision Wins

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Stoltzfus

Meerschaert

Fighter 1

Fighter 2

3.2

Striking

KO power & stand-up volume

1.8

4.6

Grappling

Ground control & clinch

7.3

3.2

Wrestling

Takedown threat & defence

5.1

5.0

Submission

Submission attack frequency

9.2

6.3

Pressure

Clinch/ground work rate

8.4

2.7

Volume

Decision-pace fighting

0.9

Stoltzfus

Strike Zones

Meerschaert

Stoltzfus

Attacking

2 landed

Absorbing

3 absorbed

Meerschaert

Attacking

3 landed

Absorbing

2 absorbed

Targeting Overlap

🎯Stoltzfus targets the head (100% of attacks) — Meerschaert absorbs 100% of strikes there

🎯Meerschaert targets the head (67% of attacks) — Stoltzfus absorbs 67% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Stoltzfus

RND

Meerschaert

0/0R00/0

Stoltzfus · Last 5

W · Sub · R2

Mansur Abdul-Malik

Submission

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L · Dec · R3

Kelvin Gastelum

Decision

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L · Dec · R3

Nursulton Ruziboev

Decision

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W · KO · R1

Marc-Andre Barriault

KO/TKO

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L · KO · R1

Brunno Ferreira

KO/TKO

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Meerschaert · Last 5

L · Dec · R3

Jacob Malkoun

Decision

UFC Fight Night: Della Maddalena vs. Prates · 2026-05

L · Sub · R1

Kyle Daukaus

Submission

UFC 322: Della Maddalena vs. Makhachev · 2025-11

L · KO · R1

Michal Oleksiejczuk

KO/TKO

UFC 319: Du Plessis vs. Chimaev · 2025-08

L · Dec · R3

Brad Tavares

Decision

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L · Sub · R3

Reinier de Ridder

Submission

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News & Media

Dustin Stoltzfus · Gerald Meerschaert

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