UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Daukaus
Las Vegas, USA
18 Dec 2021
Middleweight
VS
38%
Stoltzfus
62%
Meerschaert
Win Probability
Submission
Round 3 · 2:58
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Meerschaert
Meerschaert holds a meaningful edge at 62% per the CFR ratings — but Stoltzfus has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 22 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Striking split: Meerschaert throws more volume but Stoltzfus connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Stoltzfus's chin rating of 26 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Meerschaert has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Stoltzfus
Meerschaert
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"
Height
+6'1"
75"
Reach
+77"
34+
Age
38
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Stoltzfus
Meerschaert
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
34.6
56.7
38.9
Performance Avg
48.2
45
Quality of Victory
50
10
Momentum Score
91
Stoltzfus
Meerschaert
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.2
1.2
46%
Strike Accuracy
45%
3.9
Striking Style Score (/10)
1.8
1 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
2
Head
2
0
Body
1
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
1Distance2
0Clinch1
1Ground0
Stoltzfus
Meerschaert
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
0.3
3.5
Grappling Style Score (/10)
7.3
2.4
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
5.1
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Stoltzfus
Meerschaert
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
26
0
KO risk
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
2
KO/TKO Losses
5
2
Sub Losses
3
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.2 stoppage
3 fights ago
Last KO loss
2 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
10/24 fights
Chin rating based on
26/59 fights
Stoltzfus
Meerschaert
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
10
91
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
5-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
W · Sub · R2
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R3
Stoltzfus
Meerschaert
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
67%
100%
1
KO / TKO Wins
1
1
Submission Wins
11
1
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Stoltzfus
Meerschaert
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.9
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.8
3.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
7.3
2.4
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
5.1
3.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
9.2
5.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.4
3.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.9
StoltzfusMeerschaert
Strike Zones
Stoltzfus
Attacking
2 landedAbsorbing
3 absorbedMeerschaert
Attacking
3 landedAbsorbing
2 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Stoltzfus targets the head (100% of attacks) — Meerschaert absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Meerschaert targets the head (67% of attacks) — Stoltzfus absorbs 67% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Stoltzfus
RND
Meerschaert
0/0R00/0
Stoltzfus · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.1WinLossTrend
Meerschaert · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.9WinLossTrend
Stoltzfus · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Kelvin GastelumRating 5.8Decision
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Meerschaert · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Jacob MalkounRating 6.5Decision
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