UFC 192: Cormier vs Gustafsson
Houston, USA
3 Oct 2015
Women's Bantamweight
VS
20%
Eye
80%
Pena
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Pena
Pena is a strong favourite at 80% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 50 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Pena has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 27 points.
Pena has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Eye's chin rating of 60 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Pena has a chin rating of 62 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Eye
Pena
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'6"
Height
5'6"
66"
Reach
+69"
39
Age
+36
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Eye
Pena
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
16.0
65.6
28.6
Performance Avg
58.0
26
Quality of Victory
52
30
Momentum Score
100
Eye
Pena
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.3
1.7
41%
Strike Accuracy
50%
0.7
Striking Style Score (/10)
3.8
0 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
3
Head
4
0
Body
3
1
Leg
1
RangeRange
4Distance4
0Clinch0
0Ground4
Eye
Pena
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
1.9
/ 10
3.2
/ 10
1.3
Wrestling Style (/10)
2.2
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
2.5
0
Submission wins
2
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Eye
Pena
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
60
62
Moderate
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
3
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
5 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
16/26 fights
Chin rating based on
12/19 fights
Eye
Pena
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
30
100
4-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R5
L · Dec · R5
W · Sub · R2
W · Sub · R3
Eye
Pena
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
50%
0
KO / TKO Wins
2
0
Submission Wins
2
5
Decision Wins
4
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Eye
Pena
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.8
1.9
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.2
1.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.2
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.5
1.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.5
7.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.3
EyePena
Strike Zones
Eye
Attacking
4 landedAbsorbing
8 absorbedPena
Attacking
8 landedAbsorbing
4 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Eye targets the head (75% of attacks) — Pena absorbs 75% of strikes there
🎯Pena targets the head (50% of attacks) — Eye absorbs 50% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Eye
RND
Pena
0/0R00/0
Eye · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.3WinLossTrend
Pena · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.0WinLossTrend
Eye · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Maycee BarberRating 6.5Decision
UFC 276: Adesanya vs. Cannonier · 2022-07
L · Dec · R3
Jennifer MaiaRating 5.5Decision
UFC 264: Poirier vs. McGregor 3 · 2021-07
L · Dec · R3
Joanne WoodRating 5.7Decision
UFC 257: Poirier vs. McGregor · 2021-01
L · Dec · R5
Cynthia CalvilloRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Eye vs. Calvillo · 2020-06
W · Dec · R3
Viviane AraujoRating 5.2Decision
UFC 245: Usman vs. Covington · 2019-12
Pena · Last 5
L · Sub · R2
Kayla HarrisonRating 4.3Submission
UFC 316: Dvalishvili vs. O'Malley 2 · 2025-06
W · Dec · R5
Raquel PenningtonRating 5.1Decision
UFC 307: Pereira vs. Rountree Jr. · 2024-10
L · Dec · R5
Amanda NunesRating 6.7Decision
UFC 277: Pena vs. Nunes 2 · 2022-07
W · Sub · R2
Amanda NunesRating 6.3Submission
UFC 269: Oliveira vs. Poirier · 2021-12
W · Sub · R3
Sara McMannRating 5.5Submission
UFC 257: Poirier vs. McGregor · 2021-01