The Ultimate Fighter: Team Edgar vs. Team Penn Finale
Las Vegas, USA
6 Jul 2014
Featherweight
VS
53%
Edgar
47%
Penn
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 3 · 4:16
FE
Frankie Edgar
"The Answer"
23 – 11
5'6"68" reachOrthodox44 yrs3-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 25
BP
BJ Penn
"The Prodigy"
16 – 14
Well-Rounded7-fight slide47 yrsOrthodox70" reach5'9"
CFR 22

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Edgar

This is a genuine toss-up — Edgar at 53% vs Penn at 47% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Penn has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 24 points.

Striking split: Edgar throws more volume but Penn connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Risk flags

Edgar's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Penn has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Edgar
Penn
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'6"
Height
+5'9"
68"
Reach
+70"
44+
Age
47
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Edgar
Penn
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
25.4
22.2
48.0
Performance Avg
56.9
39
Quality of Victory
63
68
Momentum Score
100
Edgar
Penn
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.3
1.0
45%
Strike Accuracy
51%
3.5
Striking Style Score (/10)
6.0
4 KOs
KO Finishes
6 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
35
Head
6
1
Body
0
1
Leg
0
RangeRange
10Distance6
0Clinch0
27Ground0
Edgar
Penn
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.0
Sub Attempts / fight
—
2.4
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.9
1.6
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Edgar
Penn
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
0
3 consec. KOs
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
5
KO/TKO Losses
4
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.4 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R3.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
3 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
30/34 fights
Chin rating based on
27/30 fights
Edgar
Penn
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
68
100
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
7-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R3
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R5
L · KO · R1
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R3
Edgar
Penn
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
33%
83%
4
KO / TKO Wins
6
2
Submission Wins
4
12
Decision Wins
2

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Edgar
Penn
Striking3.5 / 6.0Volume6.1 / 1.6Grappling2.4 / 2.9Wrestling1.6 / 2.0Submission1.1 / 3.3Pressure4.2 / 7.3
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
6.0
2.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.9
1.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.0
1.1
Submission
Submission attack frequency
3.3
4.2
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.3
6.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
1.6
Edgar
Strike Zones
Penn
Edgar
Attacking
35HEAD1BODY1LEGS37 landed
Absorbing
6HEAD0BODY0LEGS6 absorbed
Penn
Attacking
6HEAD0BODY0LEGS6 landed
Absorbing
35HEAD1BODY1LEGS37 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Edgar targets the head (95% of attacks) — Penn absorbs 95% of strikes there
🎯Penn targets the head (100% of attacks) — Edgar absorbs 100% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Edgar
RND
Penn
0/0R00/0

Edgar · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.8
0104.5W5.0W4.5W5.5L4.5W4.5W5.2W4.5W4.5W5.4W5.5L5.5L6.0L5.9W5.2W6.0W4.5W5.0W6.0L5.0W5.8W2.9L5.0W6.6L2.0L5.0W3.0L4.8L2.0L2007-022010-082015-052019-122022-11
WinLossTrend

Penn · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.8
0105.0W5.0W5.0W5.5L5.2W4.5W5.0W5.5L2.8L5.2W5.1W5.2W3.4L5.4W4.5W5.5L5.5L5.0W5.5L5.5L2.8L3.7L5.5L1.5L6.0L2001-052006-032009-122017-012019-05
WinLossTrend

Edgar · Last 5

L · KO · R1
Chris GutierrezRating 2
KO/TKO
UFC 281: Adesanya vs. Pereira · 2022-11
L · KO · R3
Marlon VeraRating 4.8
KO/TKO
UFC 268: Usman vs. Covington 2 · 2021-11
L · KO · R1
Cory SandhagenRating 3
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Volkov · 2021-02
W · Dec · R5
Pedro MunhozRating 5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Munhoz vs. Edgar · 2020-08
L · KO · R1
Chan Sung JungRating 2
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Edgar vs. The Korean Zombie · 2019-12

Penn · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Clay GuidaRating 6
Decision
UFC 237: Namajunas vs. Andrade · 2019-05
L · Sub · R1
Ryan HallRating 1.5
Submission
UFC 232: Jones vs. Gustafsson 2 · 2018-12
L · Dec · R3
Dennis SiverRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Chiesa vs. Lee · 2017-06
L · KO · R2
Yair RodriguezRating 3.7
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. Penn · 2017-01
L · KO · R3
Frankie EdgarRating 2.8
KO/TKO
The Ultimate Fighter: Team Edgar vs. Team Penn Finale · 2014-07

News & Media

Frankie Edgar · BJ Penn
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