Ed Herman vs Joe Doerksen — UFC Fight Analysis & Result

METRICS GUIDE

Every stat on this page, explained

All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

UFC 78: Validation

Newark, USA

17 Nov 2007

Middleweight

77%

Herman

23%

Doerksen

Win Probability

KO/TKO

Round 3 · 0:39

Ed Herman

"Short Fuse"

27 – 16

6'1"77" reachOrthodox45 yrs2-fight slideWell-Rounded

CFR 39

Joe Doerksen

"El Dirte"

51 – 16

Submission Hunter2-fight slide48 yrsOrthodox75" reach6'0"

CFR 12

★ Official Result

Ed HermanwinsKO/TKOR3 · 0:39

def. Joe Doerksen · UFC 78: Validation

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result

We predicted

Herman

→

Actual result

Herman wins

KO/TKO · R3

Pre-fight analysis

Herman is a strong favourite at 77% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 27 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Risk flags

Herman's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Doerksen has a chin rating of 16 — a potential KO vulnerability.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout

HermanDoerksen

Sig. Strikes

0.0

Strikes / min (SLpM)

0.0

—

Strike Accuracy

—

Herman

Doerksen

Physical Matchup

Height · Reach · Age · Stance

6'1"+

Height

6'0"

77"+

Reach

75"

45+

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

Herman

Doerksen

Composite Fighter Rating

Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability

38.7

11.7

47.4

Performance Avg

37.2

Quality of Victory

Momentum Score

Herman

Doerksen

Striking

Career averages · see This Fight stats above

4.1

/ 10

0.4

/ 10

6.4

Style: Pressure

7.7

3.5

Style: Volume

0.4

4 KO wins

Finish Rate (strikes)

0 KO wins

Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped

Strike targetStrike target

Head

Body

Leg

RangeRange

3Distance0

0Clinch0

2Ground0

Herman

Doerksen

Grappling

Career averages · see This Fight stats above

3.8

/ 10

8.0

/ 10

2.7

Wrestling Style (/10)

5.6

3.9

Submission Style (/10)

10.0

Submission wins

Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped

Herman

Doerksen

Durability / Chin

Resilience against knockouts and stoppages

KO risk

Verdict

2 consec. KOs

KO/TKO Losses

Sub Losses

Avg R2.0 stoppage

KO round context

Avg R2.3 stoppage

Most recent fight

Last KO loss

3 fights ago

—

Strikes absorbed / min

—

26/43 fights

Chin rating based on

9/67 fights

Herman

Doerksen

Form & Momentum

Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%

2-fight 📉 slide

Current form

2-fight 📉 slide

L · KO · R3

L · Dec · R3

W · Sub · R3

W · Dec · R3

W · KO · R1

Last 5

L · Dec · R3

L · Sub · R1

W · Sub · R2

L · KO · R2

L · KO · R3

Herman

Doerksen

Finish Rate

Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission

69%

100%

KO / TKO Wins

Submission Wins

Decision Wins

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Herman

Doerksen

Fighter 1

Fighter 2

4.1

Striking

KO power & stand-up volume

0.4

3.8

Grappling

Ground control & clinch

8.0

2.7

Wrestling

Takedown threat & defence

5.6

3.9

Submission

Submission attack frequency

10.0

6.4

Pressure

Clinch/ground work rate

7.7

3.5

Volume

Decision-pace fighting

0.4

Herman

Strike Zones

Doerksen

Herman

Attacking

5 landed

Absorbing

0 absorbed

Doerksen

Attacking

0 landed

Absorbing

5 absorbed

Targeting Overlap

🎯Herman targets the head (100% of attacks) — Doerksen absorbs 100% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Herman

RND

Doerksen

0/0R00/0

0/0R10/0

Herman · Last 5

L · KO · R3

Zak Cummings

KO/TKO

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Alonzo Menifield

Decision

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Mike Rodriguez

Submission

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Khadis Ibragimov

Decision

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Patrick Cummins

KO/TKO

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Doerksen · Last 5

L · Dec · R3

Dan Miller

Decision

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L · Sub · R1

CB Dollaway

Submission

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W · Sub · R2

Tom Lawlor

Submission

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L · KO · R2

Jason MacDonald

KO/TKO

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L · KO · R3

Ed Herman

KO/TKO

UFC 78: Validation · 2007-11

News & Media

Ed Herman · Joe Doerksen

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