METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Ngannou vs. Velasquez
Phoenix, USA
17 Feb 2019
Women's Flyweight
VS
40%
Evans-Smith
60%
Lee
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Andrea LeewinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Ashlee Evans-Smith · UFC Fight Night: Ngannou vs. Velasquez
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Lee
→
Actual result
Lee wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Lee holds a meaningful edge at 60% per the CFR ratings — but Evans-Smith has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 13 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Risk flags
Evans-Smith's chin rating of 68 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
Evans-SmithLee
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Evans-Smith
Lee
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'8"+
Height
5'6"
67"
Reach
+69"
39
Age
+37
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Evans-Smith
Lee
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
26.0
38.8
33.3
Performance Avg
35.8
33
Quality of Victory
36
26
Momentum Score
53
Evans-Smith
Lee
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
4.0
/ 10
2.7
/ 10
3.3
Style: Pressure
3.9
6.0
Style: Volume
5.5
1 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
1 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
11
Head
13
5
Body
11
1
Leg
8
RangeRange
14Distance30
3Clinch2
0Ground0
Evans-Smith
Lee
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.6
/ 10
3.0
/ 10
1.1
Wrestling Style (/10)
2.1
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
2.0
0
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Evans-Smith
Lee
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
68
82
Never stopped
Verdict
Never stopped
0
KO/TKO Losses
0
2
Sub Losses
0
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
9/12 fights
Chin rating based on
14/24 fights
Evans-Smith
Lee
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
26
53
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
6-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Evans-Smith
Lee
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
33%
40%
1
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
1
2
Decision Wins
3
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Evans-Smith
Lee
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
2.7
1.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.0
1.1
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.1
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.0
3.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.9
6.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.5
Evans-SmithLee
Strike Zones
Evans-Smith
Attacking
17 landedAbsorbing
32 absorbedLee
Attacking
32 landedAbsorbing
17 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Evans-Smith targets the head (65% of attacks) — Lee absorbs 65% of strikes there
🎯Lee targets the head (41% of attacks) — Evans-Smith absorbs 41% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Evans-Smith
RND
Lee
0/0R00/0
Evans-Smith · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
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UFC Fight Night: Smith vs. Clark · 2020-11
L · Dec · R3
Andrea LeeDecision
UFC Fight Night: Ngannou vs. Velasquez · 2019-02
W · Dec · R3
Bec RawlingsDecision
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L · Sub · R1
Sarah MorasSubmission
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Lee · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
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L · Dec · R3
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