UFC 197: Jones vs Saint Preux
Las Vegas, USA
23 Apr 2016
Welterweight
VS
67%
Roberts
33%
Steele
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
DR
Danny Roberts
"Hot Chocolate"
18 – 8
6'1"74" reachSouthpaw38 yrs3-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 32
DS
Dominique Steele
"Non-Stop Action-Packed"
14 – 9
Knockout Artist3-fight slide38 yrsOrthodox74" reach5'10"
CFR 15

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Roberts

Roberts holds a meaningful edge at 67% per the CFR ratings — but Steele has real paths to victory.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 16 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Striking split: Roberts throws more volume but Steele connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Risk flags

Roberts's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Roberts
Steele
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"+
Height
5'10"
74"
Reach
74"
38
Age
38
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Roberts
Steele
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
31.8
15.4
45.6
Performance Avg
38.0
43
Quality of Victory
50
45
Momentum Score
26
Roberts
Steele
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.6
0.6
38%
Strike Accuracy
44%
5.3
Striking Style Score (/10)
10.0
3 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
14
Head
7
6
Body
1
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
8Distance6
2Clinch2
10Ground0
Roberts
Steele
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
2.2
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
1.5
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
1.4
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
1
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Roberts
Steele
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
72
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
Moderate
5
KO/TKO Losses
1
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.6 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
4 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
14/26 fights
Chin rating based on
5/23 fights
Roberts
Steele
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
45
26
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R3
L · KO · R1
Roberts
Steele
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
57%
100%
3
KO / TKO Wins
1
1
Submission Wins
0
3
Decision Wins
0

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Roberts
Steele
Striking5.3 / 10.0Volume4.4 / 0.4Grappling2.2 / 0.0Wrestling1.5 / 0.0Submission1.4 / 0.0Pressure5.5 / 7.6
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
10.0
2.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
1.5
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
1.4
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.6
4.4
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.4
Roberts
Strike Zones
Steele
Roberts
Attacking
14HEAD6BODY0LEGS20 landed
Absorbing
7HEAD1BODY0LEGS8 absorbed
Steele
Attacking
7HEAD1BODY0LEGS8 landed
Absorbing
14HEAD6BODY0LEGS20 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Roberts targets the head (70% of attacks) — Steele absorbs 70% of strikes there
🎯Steele targets the head (88% of attacks) — Roberts absorbs 88% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Roberts
RND
Steele
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Roberts · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.1
0105.0W4.5W4.0L5.2W1.5L5.0W4.5W4.0L2.1L5.2W4.5W5.5L3.0L4.0L2015-122017-122019-052022-112023-07
WinLossTrend

Steele · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.8
0101.9L5.5W5.5L5.7L5.5L2015-072015-112016-042016-082017-06
WinLossTrend

Roberts · Last 5

L · KO · R2
Jonny ParsonsRating 4
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Aspinall vs. Tybura · 2023-07
L · KO · R1
Jack Della MaddalenaRating 3
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Nzechukwu vs. Cutelaba · 2022-11
L · Dec · R3
Francisco TrinaldoRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 274: Oliveira vs. Gaethje · 2022-05
W · Dec · R3
Ramazan EmeevRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Ladd vs. Dumont · 2021-10
W · KO · R2
Zelim ImadaevRating 5.2
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Zabit vs. Kattar · 2019-11

Steele · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Luke JumeauRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Hunt · 2017-06
L · Dec · R3
Court McGeeRating 5.7
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. Caceres · 2016-08
L · Dec · R3
Danny RobertsRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 197: Jones vs Saint Preux · 2016-04
W · KO · R3
Dong Hyun MaRating 5.5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Henderson vs Masvidal · 2015-11
L · KO · R1
Zak CummingsRating 1.9
KO/TKO
UFC on FOX: Dillashaw vs. Barao II · 2015-07

News & Media

Danny Roberts · Dominique Steele
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