UFC Fight Night: Thomas vs Florian
Las Vegas, USA
19 Sept 2007
Lightweight
VS
56%
Miller
44%
Garcia
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Miller
This is a genuine toss-up — Miller at 56% vs Garcia at 44% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Miller has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Miller's chin rating of 42 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Miller
Garcia
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"+
Height
5'10"
73"+
Reach
68"
42+
Age
46
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Miller
Garcia
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
17.6
13.7
49.0
Performance Avg
32.6
47
Quality of Victory
40
49
Momentum Score
39
Miller
Garcia
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.1
1.1
31%
Strike Accuracy
21%
2.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.4
1 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
8
Head
4
1
Body
1
0
Leg
2
RangeRange
2Distance2
0Clinch0
7Ground5
Miller
Garcia
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
0.4
6.1
Grappling Style Score (/10)
5.2
4.3
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
3.6
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Miller
Garcia
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
42
76
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
2
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.5 stoppage
KO round context
—
14 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
20/32 fights
Chin rating based on
9/31 fights
Miller
Garcia
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
49
39
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
5-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Upcoming
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
Miller
Garcia
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
80%
50%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
7
Submission Wins
1
2
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Miller
Garcia
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.4
6.1
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
5.2
4.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.6
7.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
5.0
7.2
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.2
2.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.4
MillerGarcia
Strike Zones
Miller
Attacking
9 landedAbsorbing
7 absorbedGarcia
Attacking
7 landedAbsorbing
9 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Miller targets the head (89% of attacks) — Garcia absorbs 89% of strikes there
🎯Garcia targets the head (57% of attacks) — Miller absorbs 57% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Miller
RND
Garcia
0/0R00/0
Miller · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.0WinLossTrend
Garcia · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.2WinLossTrend
Miller · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
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Upcoming
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L · Dec · R3
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