UFC 83: Serra vs St-Pierre 2
Montreal, Canada
19 Apr 2008
Welterweight
VS
67%
Goulet
33%
Hironaka
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 2:07
JG
CFR 18
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Goulet
Goulet holds a meaningful edge at 67% per the CFR ratings — but Hironaka has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 9 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Goulet has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 15 points.
Hironaka has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Goulet's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Hironaka has a chin rating of 54 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Goulet
Hironaka
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"+
Height
5'10"
73"+
Reach
70"
46+
Age
49
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Goulet
Hironaka
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
17.6
8.8
41.6
Performance Avg
25.0
40
Quality of Victory
25
100
Momentum Score
22
Goulet
Hironaka
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.5
0.5
40%
Strike Accuracy
43%
3.4
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.5
1 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
7
Head
3
1
Body
0
1
Leg
1
RangeRange
5Distance4
4Clinch0
0Ground0
Goulet
Hironaka
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.3
Sub Attempts / fight
—
2.6
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.4
1.8
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.7
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Goulet
Hironaka
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
54
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
4
KO/TKO Losses
2
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.3 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
9/35 fights
Chin rating based on
4/32 fights
Goulet
Hironaka
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
22
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R2
W · Sub · R1
L · Sub · R1
Last 5
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Goulet
Hironaka
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
0%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
1
Submission Wins
0
2
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Goulet
Hironaka
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.4
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.5
2.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
1.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
2.5
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.8
2.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.5
GouletHironaka
Strike Zones
Goulet
Attacking
9 landedAbsorbing
4 absorbedHironaka
Attacking
4 landedAbsorbing
9 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Goulet targets the head (78% of attacks) — Hironaka absorbs 78% of strikes there
🎯Hironaka targets the head (75% of attacks) — Goulet absorbs 75% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Goulet
RND
Hironaka
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
0/0R20/0
Goulet · QOF Timeline
Avg: 3.1WinLossTrend
Hironaka · QOF Timeline
Avg: 3.9WinLossTrend
Goulet · Last 5
L · KO · R2
Marcus DavisRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC 113: Machida vs Shogun 2 · 2010-05
L · KO · R1
Mike SwickRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night - Fight for the Troops · 2008-12
W · KO · R2
Kuniyoshi HironakaRating 5.2KO/TKO
UFC 83: Serra vs St-Pierre 2 · 2008-04
W · Sub · R1
Paul GeorgieffRating 5Submission
The Ultimate Fighter: Team Hughes vs. Team Serra Finale · 2007-12
L · Sub · R1
Dustin HazelettRating 1.5Submission
UFC Fight Night: Thomas vs Florian · 2007-09
Hironaka · Last 4
L · KO · R2
Jonathan GouletRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC 83: Serra vs St-Pierre 2 · 2008-04
L · KO · R2
Thiago AlvesRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Thomas vs Florian · 2007-09
W · Dec · R3
Forrest PetzRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Stevenson vs Guillard · 2007-04
L · Dec · R3
Jon FitchRating 5.5Decision
UFC 64: Unstoppable · 2006-10