UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Chikadze
Las Vegas, USA
28 Aug 2021
Bantamweight
VS
48%
Martinez
52%
Cannetti
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Cannetti
This is a genuine toss-up — Martinez at 48% vs Cannetti at 52% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Cannetti has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 16 points.
Striking split: Martinez throws more volume but Cannetti connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Cannetti has a chin rating of 28 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Martinez
Cannetti
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'10"+
Height
5'6"
70"+
Reach
68"
30+
Age
46
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Martinez
Cannetti
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
31.2
34.3
35.0
Performance Avg
40.6
25
Quality of Victory
41
61
Momentum Score
68
Martinez
Cannetti
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.6
1.5
48%
Strike Accuracy
50%
1.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
3.3
0 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
19
Head
8
12
Body
3
5
Leg
5
RangeRange
29Distance16
3Clinch0
4Ground0
Martinez
Cannetti
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.3
Sub Attempts / fight
—
2.4
Grappling Style Score (/10)
3.2
1.7
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.2
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Martinez
Cannetti
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
96
28
Never stopped
Verdict
KO risk
0
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
4
—
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
4 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
4/14 fights
Chin rating based on
10/18 fights
Martinez
Cannetti
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
61
68
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Sub · R1
W · Sub · R1
W · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
Martinez
Cannetti
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
50%
0
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
1
2
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Martinez
Cannetti
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.3
2.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.2
1.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.2
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.5
1.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.7
9.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.8
MartinezCannetti
Strike Zones
Martinez
Attacking
36 landedAbsorbing
16 absorbedCannetti
Attacking
16 landedAbsorbing
36 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Martinez targets the head (53% of attacks) — Cannetti absorbs 53% of strikes there
🎯Cannetti targets the head (50% of attacks) — Martinez absorbs 50% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Martinez
RND
Cannetti
0/0R00/0
Martinez · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.3WinLossTrend
Cannetti · QOF Timeline
Avg: 3.8WinLossTrend
Martinez · Last 4
L · Dec · R3
Cameron SaaimanRating 6.5Decision
UFC 285: Jones vs. Gane · 2023-03
W · Dec · R3
Brandon DavisRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs. Araujo · 2022-10
L · Dec · R3
Ronnie LawrenceRating 5.8Decision
UFC 271: Adesanya vs. Whittaker 2 · 2022-02
W · Dec · R3
Guido CannettiRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Chikadze · 2021-08
Cannetti · Last 5
L · Sub · R1
Mario BautistaRating 2.6Submission
UFC Fight Night: Yan vs. Dvalishvili · 2023-03
W · Sub · R1
Randy CostaRating 5Submission
UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Yan · 2022-10
W · KO · R1
Kris MoutinhoRating 5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Ankalaev · 2022-03
L · Dec · R3
Mana MartinezRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Chikadze · 2021-08
L · KO · R1
Batgerel DanaaRating 2.1KO/TKO
UFC 248: Adesanya vs. Romero · 2020-03