UFC 150: Henderson vs Edgar II
Denver, USA
11 Aug 2012
Bantamweight
VS
54%
Pague
46%
Camus
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Pague
This is a genuine toss-up — Pague at 54% vs Camus at 46% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Pague has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 29 points.
Striking split: Camus throws more volume but Pague connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Pague's chin rating of 50 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Pague
Camus
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"+
Height
5'6"
74"+
Reach
66"
38+
Age
41
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Pague
Camus
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
14.6
12.5
39.1
Performance Avg
32.1
54
Quality of Victory
25
20
Momentum Score
45
Pague
Camus
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.5
1.0
52%
Strike Accuracy
43%
0.3
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.9
0 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
4
Head
10
0
Body
0
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
1Distance0
0Clinch0
3Ground11
Pague
Camus
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.3
Sub Attempts / fight
0.3
8.0
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.4
5.6
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.7
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Pague
Camus
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
50
82
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
2
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.5 stoppage
KO round context
—
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
6/23 fights
Chin rating based on
8/24 fights
Pague
Camus
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
20
45
4-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Upcoming
Pague
Camus
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
0%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
1
Submission Wins
0
0
Decision Wins
3
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Pague
Camus
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.9
8.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
5.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
10.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
7.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
1.3
0.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.9
PagueCamus
Strike Zones
Pague
Attacking
4 landedAbsorbing
11 absorbedCamus
Attacking
11 landedAbsorbing
4 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Pague targets the head (100% of attacks) — Camus absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Camus targets the head (91% of attacks) — Pague absorbs 91% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Pague
RND
Camus
0/0R00/0
Pague · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.5WinLossTrend
Camus · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.4WinLossTrend
Pague · Last 5
L · KO · R2
Kyoji HoriguchiRating 4.2KO/TKO
UFC 166: Velasquez vs Dos Santos 3 · 2013-10
L · Dec · R3
Yves JabouinRating 5.5Decision
UFC 161: Evans vs Henderson · 2013-06
L · Dec · R3
Chico CamusRating 5.5Decision
UFC 150: Henderson vs Edgar II · 2012-08
L · Dec · R3
Ken StoneRating 5.5Decision
UFC on FX: Maynard vs Guida · 2012-06
W · Sub · R1
Jared PapazianRating 5Submission
UFC on FX: Johnson vs McCall · 2012-06
Camus · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Kyoji HoriguchiRating 7Decision
UFC Fight Night: Barnett vs Nelson · 2015-09
L · Dec · R3
Henry CejudoRating 7Decision
UFC 188: Velasquez vs Werdum · 2015-06
W · Dec · R3
Brad PickettRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Edgar vs Swanson · 2014-11
L · Dec · R3
Chris HoldsworthRating 5.5Decision
UFC 173: Barao vs Dillashaw · 2014-05
Upcoming
Yaotzin MezaUFC on FOX: Henderson vs Thomson · 2014-01