UFC on FUEL TV: Silva vs. Stann
Saitama, Japan
2 Mar 2013
Bantamweight
VS
42%
Caceres
58%
Kang
Win Probability
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Kang
This is a genuine toss-up — Caceres at 42% vs Kang at 58% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 14 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Caceres has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Caceres's chin rating of 4 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Caceres
Kang
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'10"+
Height
5'9"
73"
Reach
73"
37+
Age
38
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Caceres
Kang
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
39.7
53.8
42.2
Performance Avg
47.6
34
Quality of Victory
38
76
Momentum Score
96
Caceres
Kang
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.7
1.4
50%
Strike Accuracy
46%
1.7
Striking Style Score (/10)
1.2
1 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
12
Head
5
5
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
4Distance2
0Clinch0
13Ground3
Caceres
Kang
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
0.2
3.5
Grappling Style Score (/10)
5.2
2.5
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
3.6
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Caceres
Kang
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
4
90
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
5
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
18 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
30/36 fights
Chin rating based on
14/30 fights
Caceres
Kang
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
76
96
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Caceres
Kang
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
31%
50%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
4
Submission Wins
4
11
Decision Wins
4
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Caceres
Kang
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.2
3.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
5.2
2.5
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.6
2.5
Submission
Submission attack frequency
5.0
3.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.3
6.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.2
CaceresKang
Strike Zones
Caceres
Attacking
17 landedAbsorbing
5 absorbedKang
Attacking
5 landedAbsorbing
17 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Caceres targets the head (71% of attacks) — Kang absorbs 71% of strikes there
🎯Kang targets the head (100% of attacks) — Caceres absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Caceres
RND
Kang
0/0R00/0
Caceres · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.7WinLossTrend
Kang · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.3WinLossTrend
Caceres · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Sean WoodsonRating 6.6Decision
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Kang · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Muin GafurovRating 5.5Decision
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