METRICS GUIDE

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All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Song
Las Vegas, USA
17 Sept 2022
Bantamweight
VS
43%
Gravely
57%
Basharat
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
TG
Tony Gravely
239
5'5"69" reachOrthodox34 yrs2-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 33
Javid
Javid Basharat
"The Snow Leopard"
152
Well-Rounded31 yrsOrthodox69" reach5'9"
CFR 44
★ Official Result
Javid BasharatwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Tony Gravely · UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Song

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Basharat
Actual result
Basharat wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis

This is a genuine toss-up — Gravely at 43% vs Basharat at 57% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 10 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Gravely has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 16 points.

Risk flags

Gravely's chin rating of 62 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout
GravelyBasharat
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
Strike Accuracy
Gravely
Basharat
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'5"
Height
+5'9"
69"
Reach
69"
34
Age
+31
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Gravely
Basharat
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
33.2
43.5
44.8
Performance Avg
41.7
41
Quality of Victory
25
35
Momentum Score
60
Gravely
Basharat
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
6.0
/ 10
1.3
/ 10
5.0
Style: Pressure
2.0
5.0
Style: Volume
9.3
2 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
7
Head
29
0
Body
12
6
Leg
1
RangeRange
12Distance41
1Clinch1
0Ground0
Gravely
Basharat
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.2
/ 10
2.4
/ 10
0.8
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.7
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Gravely
Basharat
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
62
76
Moderate
Verdict
Moderate
1
KO/TKO Losses
1
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
4 fights ago
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
Strikes absorbed / min
8/32 fights
Chin rating based on
7/17 fights
Gravely
Basharat
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
35
60
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
Last 5
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
Upcoming
W · Dec · R3
Gravely
Basharat
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
0%
2
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
2
Decision Wins
4

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Gravely
Basharat
Striking6.0 / 1.3Volume5.0 / 9.3Grappling1.2 / 2.4Wrestling0.8 / 1.7Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure5.0 / 2.0
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.3
1.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
0.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
2.0
5.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
9.3
Gravely
Strike Zones
Basharat
Gravely
Attacking
7HEAD0BODY6LEGS13 landed
Absorbing
29HEAD12BODY1LEGS42 absorbed
Basharat
Attacking
29HEAD12BODY1LEGS42 landed
Absorbing
7HEAD0BODY6LEGS13 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Gravely targets the head (54% of attacks) — Basharat absorbs 54% of strikes there
🎯Basharat targets the head (69% of attacks) — Gravely absorbs 69% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Gravely
RND
Basharat
0/0R00/0

Gravely · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Victor Henry
Decision
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L · Dec · R3
Javid Basharat
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Song · 2022-09
W · KO · R1
Johnny Munoz
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Rozenstruik · 2022-06
W · Dec · R3
Saimon Oliveira
Decision
UFC 270: Ngannou vs. Gane · 2022-01
L · KO · R2
Nate Maness
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Smith vs. Spann · 2021-09

Basharat · Last 5

W · Dec · R3
Gianni Vazquez
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Bautista vs. Oliveira · 2026-02
L · KO · R1
Ricky Simon
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Cejudo vs. Song · 2025-02
L · Dec · R3
Aiemann Zahabi
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Gaziev · 2024-03
Upcoming
Victor Henry
UFC 294: Makhachev vs. Volkanovski 2 · 2023-10
W · Dec · R3
Mateus Mendonca
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Imavov · 2023-01

News & Media

Tony Gravely · Javid Basharat
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