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All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Song
Las Vegas, USA
17 Sept 2022
Bantamweight
VS
43%
Gravely
57%
Basharat
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
TG
Tony Gravely
239
5'5"69" reachOrthodox34 yrs2-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 33
Javid
Javid Basharat
"The Snow Leopard"
152
Well-Rounded30 yrsOrthodox69" reach5'9"
CFR 44
★ Official Result
Javid BasharatwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Tony Gravely · UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Song

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Basharat
Actual result
Basharat wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis

This is a genuine toss-up — Gravely at 43% vs Basharat at 57% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 10 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Gravely has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 16 points.

Basharat has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Gravely's chin rating of 62 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout
GravelyBasharat
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
Strike Accuracy
Gravely
Basharat
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'5"
Height
+5'9"
69"
Reach
69"
34
Age
+30
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Gravely
Basharat
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
33.2
43.5
44.8
Performance Avg
41.7
41
Quality of Victory
25
35
Momentum Score
60
Gravely
Basharat
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.3
1.9
44%
Strike Accuracy
51%
6.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
1.3
2 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
7
Head
29
0
Body
12
6
Leg
1
RangeRange
12Distance41
1Clinch1
0Ground0
Gravely
Basharat
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.2
/ 10
2.4
/ 10
0.8
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.7
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Gravely
Basharat
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
62
76
Moderate
Verdict
Moderate
1
KO/TKO Losses
1
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
4 fights ago
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
Strikes absorbed / min
8/32 fights
Chin rating based on
7/17 fights
Gravely
Basharat
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
35
60
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
Last 5
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
Upcoming
W · Dec · R3
Gravely
Basharat
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
0%
2
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
2
Decision Wins
4

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Gravely
Basharat
Striking6.0 / 1.3Volume5.0 / 9.3Grappling1.2 / 2.4Wrestling0.8 / 1.7Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure5.0 / 2.0
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.3
1.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
0.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
2.0
5.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
9.3
Gravely
Strike Zones
Basharat
Gravely
Attacking
7HEAD0BODY6LEGS13 landed
Absorbing
29HEAD12BODY1LEGS42 absorbed
Basharat
Attacking
29HEAD12BODY1LEGS42 landed
Absorbing
7HEAD0BODY6LEGS13 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Gravely targets the head (54% of attacks) — Basharat absorbs 54% of strikes there
🎯Basharat targets the head (69% of attacks) — Gravely absorbs 69% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Gravely
RND
Basharat
0/0R00/0

Gravely · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.9
0104.0L4.5W5.2W3.9L4.5W5.0W5.9L6.4L2020-012021-042022-012022-092023-03
WinLossTrend

Basharat · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.5
0104.5W4.5W4.5W6.6L2.2L4.5W2022-032022-092023-012024-032025-022026-02
WinLossTrend

Gravely · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Victor HenryRating 6.4
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Yan vs. Dvalishvili · 2023-03
L · Dec · R3
Javid BasharatRating 5.9
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Song · 2022-09
W · KO · R1
Johnny MunozRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Rozenstruik · 2022-06
W · Dec · R3
Saimon OliveiraRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 270: Ngannou vs. Gane · 2022-01
L · KO · R2
Nate ManessRating 3.9
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Smith vs. Spann · 2021-09

Basharat · Last 5

W · Dec · R3
Gianni VazquezRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Bautista vs. Oliveira · 2026-02
L · KO · R1
Ricky SimonRating 2.2
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Cejudo vs. Song · 2025-02
L · Dec · R3
Aiemann ZahabiRating 6.6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Gaziev · 2024-03
Upcoming
Victor Henry
UFC 294: Makhachev vs. Volkanovski 2 · 2023-10
W · Dec · R3
Mateus MendoncaRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Imavov · 2023-01

News & Media

Tony Gravely · Javid Basharat
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