UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Song
Las Vegas, USA
17 Sept 2022
Bantamweight
VS
43%
Gravely
57%
Basharat
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Basharat
This is a genuine toss-up — Gravely at 43% vs Basharat at 57% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 10 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Gravely has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 16 points.
Basharat has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Gravely's chin rating of 62 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Gravely
Basharat
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'5"
Height
+5'9"
69"
Reach
69"
34
Age
+30
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Gravely
Basharat
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
33.2
43.5
44.8
Performance Avg
41.7
41
Quality of Victory
25
35
Momentum Score
60
Gravely
Basharat
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.3
1.9
44%
Strike Accuracy
51%
6.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
1.3
2 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
7
Head
29
0
Body
12
6
Leg
1
RangeRange
12Distance41
1Clinch1
0Ground0
Gravely
Basharat
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
1.2
/ 10
2.4
/ 10
0.8
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.7
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Gravely
Basharat
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
62
76
Moderate
Verdict
Moderate
1
KO/TKO Losses
1
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
4 fights ago
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
8/32 fights
Chin rating based on
7/17 fights
Gravely
Basharat
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
35
60
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
Last 5
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
Upcoming
W · Dec · R3
Gravely
Basharat
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
0%
2
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
2
Decision Wins
4
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Gravely
Basharat
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.3
1.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
0.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
2.0
5.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
9.3
GravelyBasharat
Strike Zones
Gravely
Attacking
13 landedAbsorbing
42 absorbedBasharat
Attacking
42 landedAbsorbing
13 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Gravely targets the head (54% of attacks) — Basharat absorbs 54% of strikes there
🎯Basharat targets the head (69% of attacks) — Gravely absorbs 69% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Gravely
RND
Basharat
0/0R00/0
Gravely · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.9WinLossTrend
Basharat · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.5WinLossTrend
Gravely · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Victor HenryRating 6.4Decision
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W · Dec · R3
Gianni VazquezRating 4.5Decision
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Upcoming
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