UFC on FX: Guillard vs Miller
Nashville, USA
20 Jan 2012
Welterweight
VS
36%
Brenneman
64%
Roberts
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
CB
Charlie Brenneman
"The Spaniard"
19 – 8
5'10"70" reachOrthodox45 yrs5-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 10
DR
Daniel Roberts
"Ninja"
15 – 7
Well-Rounded3-fight slide45 yrsSouthpaw74" reach5'10"
CFR 17

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Roberts

Roberts holds a meaningful edge at 64% per the CFR ratings — but Brenneman has real paths to victory.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 7 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Roberts has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 19 points.

Brenneman has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Brenneman's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Brenneman
Roberts
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'10"
Height
5'10"
70"
Reach
+74"
45
Age
45
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Brenneman
Roberts
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
9.7
17.0
29.5
Performance Avg
43.7
25
Quality of Victory
44
45
Momentum Score
49
Brenneman
Roberts
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.5
0.4
49%
Strike Accuracy
20%
0.7
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.9
0 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
2
Head
0
11
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
1Distance0
0Clinch0
12Ground0
Brenneman
Roberts
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.2
Sub Attempts / fight
0.2
2.4
Grappling Style Score (/10)
6.1
1.7
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
4.3
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Brenneman
Roberts
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
72
KO risk
Verdict
Moderate
4
KO/TKO Losses
1
3
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.5 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
6 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
11/27 fights
Chin rating based on
7/22 fights
Brenneman
Roberts
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
45
49
5-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · Sub · R1
L · KO · R2
L · Sub · R1
L · KO · R1
L · Sub · R1
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
W · Sub · R1
Brenneman
Roberts
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
67%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
2
4
Decision Wins
1

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Brenneman
Roberts
Striking0.7 / 0.9Volume8.7 / 3.5Grappling2.4 / 6.1Wrestling1.7 / 4.3Submission0.0 / 6.7Pressure1.1 / 6.0
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.9
2.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
6.1
1.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
4.3
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
6.7
1.1
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.0
8.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.5
Brenneman
Strike Zones
Roberts
Brenneman
Attacking
2HEAD11BODY0LEGS13 landed
Absorbing
0HEAD0BODY0LEGS0 absorbed
Roberts
Attacking
0HEAD0BODY0LEGS0 landed
Absorbing
2HEAD11BODY0LEGS13 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Brenneman targets the body (85% of attacks) — Roberts absorbs 85% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Brenneman
RND
Roberts
0/0R00/0

Brenneman · QOF Timeline

Avg: 2.9
0104.5W2.8L4.5W4.5W1.5L4.5W1.5L1.5L2.5L2.8L1.5L2010-032011-062012-062014-042014-11
WinLossTrend

Roberts · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.6
0101.5L4.5W5.0W5.0W5.5L5.5L5.5L2010-032010-102011-042012-01
WinLossTrend

Brenneman · Last 5

L · Sub · R1
Leandro SilvaRating 1.5
Submission
UFC Fight Night 56: Shogun vs Saint Preux · 2014-11
L · KO · R2
Danny CastilloRating 2.8
KO/TKO
UFC 172: Jones vs Teixeira · 2014-04
L · Sub · R1
Beneil DariushRating 2.5
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Rockhold vs Philippou · 2014-01
L · KO · R1
Kyle NokeRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC 152: Jones vs Belfort · 2012-09
L · Sub · R1
Erick SilvaRating 1.5
Submission
UFC on FX: Johnson vs McCall · 2012-06

Roberts · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Charlie BrennemanRating 5.5
Decision
UFC on FX: Guillard vs Miller · 2012-01
L · Dec · R3
Rich AttonitoRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Live: Kongo vs Barry · 2011-06
L · Dec · R3
Claude PatrickRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 129: St-Pierre vs Shields · 2011-04
W · Sub · R1
Greg SotoRating 5
Submission
UFC 125: Resolution · 2011-01
W · Sub · R1
Mike GuymonRating 5
Submission
UFC 121: Lesnar vs Velasquez · 2010-10

News & Media

Charlie Brenneman · Daniel Roberts
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