METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC on FX: Guillard vs Miller
Nashville, USA
20 Jan 2012
Welterweight
VS
36%
Brenneman
64%
Roberts
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Charlie BrennemanwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Daniel Roberts · UFC on FX: Guillard vs Miller
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Roberts
→
Actual result
Brenneman wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Roberts holds a meaningful edge at 64% per the CFR ratings — but Brenneman has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 7 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Roberts has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 19 points.
Risk flags
Brenneman's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
BrennemanRoberts
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Brenneman
Roberts
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'10"
Height
5'10"
70"
Reach
+74"
45+
Age
46
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Brenneman
Roberts
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
9.7
17.0
29.5
Performance Avg
43.7
25
Quality of Victory
44
45
Momentum Score
49
Brenneman
Roberts
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.7
/ 10
0.9
/ 10
1.1
Style: Pressure
6.0
8.7
Style: Volume
3.5
0 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
2
Head
0
11
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
1Distance0
0Clinch0
12Ground0
Brenneman
Roberts
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.4
/ 10
6.1
/ 10
1.7
Wrestling Style (/10)
4.3
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
6.7
0
Submission wins
2
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Brenneman
Roberts
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
72
KO risk
Verdict
Moderate
4
KO/TKO Losses
1
3
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.5 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
6 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
11/27 fights
Chin rating based on
7/22 fights
Brenneman
Roberts
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
45
49
5-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · Sub · R1
L · KO · R2
L · Sub · R1
L · KO · R1
L · Sub · R1
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
W · Sub · R1
Brenneman
Roberts
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
67%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
2
4
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Brenneman
Roberts
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.9
2.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
6.1
1.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
4.3
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
6.7
1.1
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.0
8.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.5
BrennemanRoberts
Strike Zones
Brenneman
Attacking
13 landedAbsorbing
0 absorbedRoberts
Attacking
0 landedAbsorbing
13 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Brenneman targets the body (85% of attacks) — Roberts absorbs 85% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Brenneman
RND
Roberts
0/0R00/0
Brenneman · Last 5
L · Sub · R1
Leandro SilvaSubmission
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Danny CastilloKO/TKO
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L · Sub · R1
Beneil DariushSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Rockhold vs Philippou · 2014-01
L · KO · R1
Kyle NokeKO/TKO
UFC 152: Jones vs Belfort · 2012-09
L · Sub · R1
Erick SilvaSubmission
UFC on FX: Johnson vs McCall · 2012-06
Roberts · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Charlie BrennemanDecision
UFC on FX: Guillard vs Miller · 2012-01
L · Dec · R3
Rich AttonitoDecision
UFC Live: Kongo vs Barry · 2011-06
L · Dec · R3
Claude PatrickDecision
UFC 129: St-Pierre vs Shields · 2011-04
W · Sub · R1
Greg SotoSubmission
UFC 125: Resolution · 2011-01
W · Sub · R1
Mike GuymonSubmission
UFC 121: Lesnar vs Velasquez · 2010-10