METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
★ Championship Bout · Welterweight
UFC 258: Usman vs. Burns
Las Vegas, USA
13 Feb 2021
Welterweight
VS
59%
Usman
41%
Burns
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 3 · 0:34
★ Official Result
Kamaru UsmanwinsKO/TKOR3 · 0:34
def. Gilbert Burns · UFC 258: Usman vs. Burns
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Usman
→
Actual result
Usman wins
KO/TKO · R3
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Usman at 59% vs Burns at 41% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 18 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Striking split: Burns throws more volume but Usman connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Burns has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
UsmanBurns
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Usman
Burns
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"+
Height
5'10"
76"+
Reach
71"
39+
Age
40
Switch
Stance
Orthodox
Usman
Burns
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
57.4
39.8
61.2
Performance Avg
48.1
46
Quality of Victory
40
55
Momentum Score
28
Usman
Burns
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.1
1.1
54%
Strike Accuracy
49%
4.2
Striking Style Score (/10)
3.2
4 KOs
KO Finishes
3 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
13
Head
0
0
Body
1
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
2Distance2
0Clinch0
11Ground0
Usman
Burns
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.1
/ 10
3.8
/ 10
1.5
Wrestling Style (/10)
2.6
0.6
Submission Style (/10)
3.3
1
Submission wins
5
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Usman
Burns
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
74
0
Moderate
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
1
KO/TKO Losses
5
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R5.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.2 stoppage
3 fights ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
19/25 fights
Chin rating based on
25/32 fights
Usman
Burns
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
55
28
Current form
5-fight 📉 slide
W · Dec · R5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R5
L · KO · R5
W · Dec · R5
Last 5
L · KO · R3
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R5
L · KO · R3
L · Dec · R5
Usman
Burns
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
31%
53%
4
KO / TKO Wins
3
1
Submission Wins
5
11
Decision Wins
7
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Usman
Burns
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.2
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.2
2.1
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.8
1.5
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.6
0.6
Submission
Submission attack frequency
3.3
4.7
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.5
7.2
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.9
UsmanBurns
Strike Zones
Usman
Attacking
13 landedAbsorbing
2 absorbedBurns
Attacking
2 landedAbsorbing
13 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Usman targets the head (100% of attacks) — Burns absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Burns targets the body (50% of attacks) — Usman absorbs 50% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Usman
RND
Burns
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Usman · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.3WinLossTrend
Burns · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.1WinLossTrend
Usman · Last 5
W · Dec · R5
Joaquin BuckleyRating 5.7Decision
UFC Fight Night: Usman vs. Buckley · 2025-06
L · Dec · R3
Khamzat ChimaevRating 7.4Decision
UFC 294: Makhachev vs. Volkanovski 2 · 2023-10
L · Dec · R5
Leon EdwardsRating 6.6Decision
UFC 286: Edwards vs. Usman 3 · 2023-03
L · KO · R5
Leon EdwardsRating 5.1KO/TKO
UFC 278: Usman vs. Edwards · 2022-08
W · Dec · R5
Colby CovingtonRating 5.8Decision
UFC 268: Usman vs. Covington 2 · 2021-11
Burns · Last 5
L · KO · R3
Mike MalottRating 4.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Malott · 2026-04
L · KO · R1
Michael MoralesRating 3.6KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Morales · 2025-05
L · Dec · R5
Sean BradyRating 6.6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Brady · 2024-09
L · KO · R3
Jack Della MaddalenaRating 5.5KO/TKO
UFC 299: O'Malley vs. Vera 2 · 2024-03
L · Dec · R5
Belal MuhammadRating 6.6Decision
UFC 288: Sterling vs. Cejudo · 2023-05