UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Holland
Orlando, USA
3 Dec 2022
Featherweight
VS
50%
Elkins
50%
Pearce
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Darren
Darren Elkins
"The Damage"
29 – 12
5'10"71" reachOrthodox42 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 45
Jonathan
Jonathan Pearce
"JSP"
14 – 7
Well-Rounded3-fight slide34 yrsSwitch71" reach6'0"
CFR 45

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Elkins

This is a genuine toss-up — Elkins at 50% vs Pearce at 50% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Pearce has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Elkins's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Pearce has a chin rating of 52 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Elkins
Pearce
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'10"
Height
+6'0"
71"
Reach
71"
42
Age
+34
Orthodox
Stance
Switch
Elkins
Pearce
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
44.7
44.8
46.3
Performance Avg
47.4
35
Quality of Victory
42
66
Momentum Score
56
Elkins
Pearce
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.3
1.9
38%
Strike Accuracy
51%
3.4
Striking Style Score (/10)
5.1
4 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
24
Head
27
6
Body
4
1
Leg
5
RangeRange
29Distance32
2Clinch2
0Ground2
Elkins
Pearce
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
2.8
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.6
1.9
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.8
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Elkins
Pearce
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
52
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
4
KO/TKO Losses
1
1
Sub Losses
2
Avg R1.5 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
8 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
30/41 fights
Chin rating based on
9/21 fights
Elkins
Pearce
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
66
56
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
Elkins
Pearce
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
37%
60%
4
KO / TKO Wins
2
3
Submission Wins
1
12
Decision Wins
2

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Elkins
Pearce
Striking3.4 / 5.1Volume6.3 / 4.3Grappling2.8 / 2.6Wrestling1.9 / 1.8Submission1.6 / 2.0Pressure4.5 / 5.9
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.4
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.1
2.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.6
1.9
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.8
1.6
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.0
4.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.9
6.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.3
Elkins
Strike Zones
Pearce
Elkins
Attacking
24HEAD6BODY1LEGS31 landed
Absorbing
27HEAD4BODY5LEGS36 absorbed
Pearce
Attacking
27HEAD4BODY5LEGS36 landed
Absorbing
24HEAD6BODY1LEGS31 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Elkins targets the head (77% of attacks) — Pearce absorbs 77% of strikes there
🎯Pearce targets the head (75% of attacks) — Elkins absorbs 75% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Elkins
RND
Pearce
0/0R00/0

Elkins · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.7
0105.0W2.9L4.5W4.5W4.5W4.5W5.0W1.5L4.5W6.0L4.5W5.5L4.5W4.5W4.5W5.5W4.5W5.3W7.0L4.0L5.5L6.2L5.5W5.2W2.0L4.5W6.0L5.5W5.4W1.7L2010-032013-082017-072021-122025-04
WinLossTrend

Pearce · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.5
0101.5L5.4W5.2W5.1W5.3W5.0W4.3L6.3L2.5L2019-102022-022023-112024-10
WinLossTrend

Elkins · Last 5

L · KO · R1
Julian ErosaRating 1.7
KO/TKO
UFC 314: Volkanovski vs. Lopes · 2025-04
W · Dec · R3
Daniel PinedaRating 5.4
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Hernandez vs. Pereira · 2024-10
W · Sub · R3
TJ BrownRating 5.5
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Yusuff vs. Barboza · 2023-10
L · Dec · R3
Jonathan PearceRating 6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Holland · 2022-12
W · Dec · R3
Tristan ConnellyRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Font vs. Vera · 2022-04

Pearce · Last 5

L · Sub · R1
Pat SabatiniRating 2.5
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Royval vs. Taira · 2024-10
L · Dec · R3
David OnamaRating 6.3
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Nicolau vs. Perez · 2024-04
L · Sub · R2
Joanderson BritoRating 4.3
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Craig · 2023-11
W · Dec · R3
Darren ElkinsRating 5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Holland · 2022-12
W · KO · R2
Makwan AmirkhaniRating 5.3
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Aspinall · 2022-07

News & Media

Darren Elkins · Jonathan Pearce
← Back to fights