METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Holland
Orlando, USA
3 Dec 2022
Featherweight
VS
50%
Elkins
50%
Pearce
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Jonathan PearcewinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Darren Elkins · UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Holland
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Elkins
→
Actual result
Pearce wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Elkins at 50% vs Pearce at 50% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Risk flags
Elkins's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Pearce has a chin rating of 52 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
ElkinsPearce
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Elkins
Pearce
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'10"
Height
+6'0"
71"
Reach
71"
42
Age
+34
Orthodox
Stance
Switch
Elkins
Pearce
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
44.3
44.8
45.5
Performance Avg
47.4
35
Quality of Victory
42
66
Momentum Score
56
Elkins
Pearce
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.3
/ 10
5.1
/ 10
4.4
Style: Pressure
5.9
6.3
Style: Volume
4.3
4 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
2 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
24
Head
27
6
Body
4
1
Leg
5
RangeRange
29Distance32
2Clinch2
0Ground2
Elkins
Pearce
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.8
/ 10
2.6
/ 10
1.9
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.8
1.6
Submission Style (/10)
2.0
3
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Elkins
Pearce
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
52
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
KO risk
5
KO/TKO Losses
1
1
Sub Losses
2
Avg R1.4 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
8 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
31/41 fights
Chin rating based on
9/21 fights
Elkins
Pearce
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
66
56
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
Elkins
Pearce
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
37%
60%
4
KO / TKO Wins
2
3
Submission Wins
1
12
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Elkins
Pearce
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.1
2.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.6
1.9
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.8
1.6
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.0
4.4
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.9
6.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.3
ElkinsPearce
Strike Zones
Elkins
Attacking
31 landedAbsorbing
36 absorbedPearce
Attacking
36 landedAbsorbing
31 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Elkins targets the head (77% of attacks) — Pearce absorbs 77% of strikes there
🎯Pearce targets the head (75% of attacks) — Elkins absorbs 75% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Elkins
RND
Pearce
0/0R00/0
Elkins · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Yadier del ValleKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Gamrot vs. Salkilld · 2026-08
L · KO · R1
Julian ErosaKO/TKO
UFC 314: Volkanovski vs. Lopes · 2025-04
W · Dec · R3
Daniel PinedaDecision
UFC Fight Night: Hernandez vs. Pereira · 2024-10
W · Sub · R3
TJ BrownSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Yusuff vs. Barboza · 2023-10
L · Dec · R3
Jonathan PearceDecision
UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Holland · 2022-12
Pearce · Last 5
L · Sub · R1
Pat SabatiniSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Royval vs. Taira · 2024-10
L · Dec · R3
David OnamaDecision
UFC Fight Night: Nicolau vs. Perez · 2024-04
L · Sub · R2
Joanderson BritoSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Craig · 2023-11
W · Dec · R3
Darren ElkinsDecision
UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Holland · 2022-12
W · KO · R2
Makwan AmirkhaniKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Aspinall · 2022-07