METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
★ Championship Bout · Featherweight
UFC 298: Volkanovski vs. Topuria
Anaheim, USA
17 Feb 2024
Featherweight
VS
45%
Volkanovski
55%
Topuria
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 3:32
CFR 64
★ Official Result
Ilia TopuriawinsKO/TKOR2 · 3:32
def. Alexander Volkanovski · UFC 298: Volkanovski vs. Topuria
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Topuria
→
Actual result
Topuria wins
KO/TKO · R2
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Volkanovski at 45% vs Topuria at 55% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 14 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Topuria has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 18 points.
Risk flags
Volkanovski's chin rating of 54 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
VolkanovskiTopuria
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Volkanovski
Topuria
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'6"
Height
+5'7"
71"+
Reach
69"
37
Age
+29
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Volkanovski
Topuria
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
64.0
78.3
59.8
Performance Avg
73.5
44
Quality of Victory
62
100
Momentum Score
100
Volkanovski
Topuria
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
5.0
/ 10
8.5
/ 10
4.8
Style: Pressure
8.1
7.0
Style: Volume
3.6
5 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
6 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
13
Head
13
4
Body
5
4
Leg
2
RangeRange
20Distance15
1Clinch2
0Ground3
Volkanovski
Topuria
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.6
/ 10
1.4
/ 10
1.1
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.0
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
1.1
0
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Volkanovski
Topuria
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
54
78
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
Moderate
2
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.5 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R4.0 stoppage
3 fights ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
19/32 fights
Chin rating based on
10/17 fights
Volkanovski
Topuria
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
100
2-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
Upcoming
W · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
Last 5
L · KO · R4
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R3
W · KO · R2
W · Dec · R5
Volkanovski
Topuria
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
33%
78%
5
KO / TKO Wins
6
0
Submission Wins
1
10
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Volkanovski
Topuria
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
8.5
1.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.4
1.1
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.1
4.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.1
7.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.6
VolkanovskiTopuria
Strike Zones
Volkanovski
Attacking
21 landedAbsorbing
20 absorbedTopuria
Attacking
20 landedAbsorbing
21 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Volkanovski targets the head (62% of attacks) — Topuria absorbs 62% of strikes there
🎯Topuria targets the head (65% of attacks) — Volkanovski absorbs 65% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Volkanovski
RND
Topuria
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Volkanovski · Last 5
Upcoming
Movsar EvloevUFC 333: Volkanovski vs. Evloev · 2026-10
W · Dec · R5
Diego LopesDecision
UFC 325: Volkanovski vs. Lopes 2 · 2026-01
W · Dec · R5
Diego LopesDecision
UFC 314: Volkanovski vs. Lopes · 2025-04
L · KO · R2
Ilia TopuriaKO/TKO
UFC 298: Volkanovski vs. Topuria · 2024-02
L · KO · R1
Islam MakhachevKO/TKO
UFC 294: Makhachev vs. Volkanovski 2 · 2023-10
Topuria · Last 5
L · KO · R4
Justin GaethjeKO/TKO
UFC Freedom 250 · 2026-06
W · KO · R1
Charles OliveiraKO/TKO
UFC 317: Topuria vs. Oliveira · 2025-06
W · KO · R3
Max HollowayKO/TKO
UFC 308: Topuria vs. Holloway · 2024-10
W · KO · R2
Alexander VolkanovskiKO/TKO
UFC 298: Volkanovski vs. Topuria · 2024-02
W · Dec · R5
Josh EmmettDecision
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Topuria · 2023-06