UFC 118: Edgar vs Penn 2
Boston, USA
28 Aug 2010
Heavyweight
VS
89%
Couture
11%
Toney
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 3:19
RC
Randy Couture
"The Natural"
19 – 11
6'1"75" reachOrthodox62 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 21
JT
James Toney
"Lights Out"
0 – 1
Well-Rounded57 yrsOrthodox5'9"
CFR 3

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Couture

Couture is a strong favourite at 89% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 18 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Couture has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 60 points.

Risk flags

Couture's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Couture
Toney
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"+
Height
5'9"
75"
Reach
62
Age
+57
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Couture
Toney
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
20.6
2.5
62.4
Performance Avg
0.0
60
Quality of Victory
0
72
Momentum Score
0
Couture
Toney
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.9
—
61%
Strike Accuracy
—
5.1
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.0
6 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
7
Head
0
1
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
0Distance0
0Clinch0
8Ground0
Couture
Toney
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
2.8
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.0
1.9
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Couture
Toney
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
88
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
Never stopped
6
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R2.3 stoppage
KO round context
—
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
24/30 fights
Chin rating based on
1 fights
Couture
Toney
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
72
0
L · KO · R2
W · Sub · R1
W · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Sub · R1
Couture
Toney
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
63%
0%
6
KO / TKO Wins
0
4
Submission Wins
0
6
Decision Wins
0

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Couture
Toney
Striking5.1 / 0.0Volume3.8 / 0.0Grappling2.8 / 0.0Wrestling1.9 / 0.0Submission2.5 / 0.0Pressure6.4 / 0.0
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.1
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
2.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
1.9
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
2.5
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
6.4
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
3.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
Couture
Strike Zones
Toney
Couture
Attacking
7HEAD1BODY0LEGS8 landed
Absorbing
0HEAD0BODY0LEGS0 absorbed
Toney
Attacking
0HEAD0BODY0LEGS0 landed
Absorbing
7HEAD1BODY0LEGS8 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Couture targets the head (88% of attacks) — Toney absorbs 88% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Couture
RND
Toney
0/0R00/0

Couture · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.3
0105.0W5.0W5.0W4.5W5.2W4.5W5.2W2.1L4.0L5.2W4.5W4.0L4.2W1.5L5.5W2.1L4.5W5.2W2.1L5.5L4.5W5.2W5.0W2.8L1997-052001-112004-082008-112011-04
WinLossTrend

Couture · Last 5

L · KO · R2
Lyoto MachidaRating 2.8
KO/TKO
UFC 129: St-Pierre vs Shields · 2011-04
W · Sub · R1
James ToneyRating 5
Submission
UFC 118: Edgar vs Penn 2 · 2010-08
W · Sub · R2
Mark ColemanRating 5.2
Submission
UFC 109: Relentless · 2010-02
W · Dec · R3
Brandon VeraRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 105: Couture vs Vera · 2009-11
L · Dec · R3
Antonio Rodrigo NogueiraRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 102: Couture vs Nogueira · 2009-08

Toney · Last 1

L · Sub · R1
Randy CoutureRating 1.5
Submission
UFC 118: Edgar vs Penn 2 · 2010-08

News & Media

Randy Couture · James Toney
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