UFC Fight Night: Brunson vs. Machida
Sao Paulo, Brazil
28 Oct 2017
Lightweight
VS
42%
Trinaldo
58%
Miller
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
FT
Francisco Trinaldo
"Massaranduba"
28 – 9
5'9"70" reachSouthpaw47 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 32
Jim
Jim Miller
"A-10"
39 – 19
Well-Rounded42 yrsSouthpaw71" reach5'8"
CFR 44

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Miller

This is a genuine toss-up — Trinaldo at 42% vs Miller at 58% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 12 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Miller has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 10 points.

Trinaldo has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Trinaldo's chin rating of 64 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Miller has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Trinaldo
Miller
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"+
Height
5'8"
70"
Reach
+71"
47
Age
+42
Southpaw
Stance
Southpaw
Trinaldo
Miller
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
31.7
43.5
48.6
Performance Avg
51.5
35
Quality of Victory
45
100
Momentum Score
28
Trinaldo
Miller
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.1
1.0
47%
Strike Accuracy
41%
3.6
Striking Style Score (/10)
3.4
4 KOs
KO Finishes
6 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
16
Head
1
6
Body
3
2
Leg
3
RangeRange
14Distance4
5Clinch3
5Ground0
Trinaldo
Miller
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
0.0
2.4
Grappling Style Score (/10)
4.7
1.6
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
3.3
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Trinaldo
Miller
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
64
0
Never stopped
Verdict
KO risk
0
KO/TKO Losses
2
2
Sub Losses
3
—
KO round context
Avg R1.5 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
18 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
26/37 fights
Chin rating based on
47/58 fights
Trinaldo
Miller
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
28
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R3
Last 5
W · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R3
Trinaldo
Miller
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
33%
71%
4
KO / TKO Wins
6
2
Submission Wins
14
12
Decision Wins
8

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Trinaldo
Miller
Striking3.6 / 3.4Volume6.3 / 3.5Grappling2.4 / 4.7Wrestling1.6 / 3.3Submission1.1 / 5.0Pressure4.4 / 6.8
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.6
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.4
2.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
4.7
1.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.3
1.1
Submission
Submission attack frequency
5.0
4.4
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.8
6.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.5
Trinaldo
Strike Zones
Miller
Trinaldo
Attacking
16HEAD6BODY2LEGS24 landed
Absorbing
1HEAD3BODY3LEGS7 absorbed
Miller
Attacking
1HEAD3BODY3LEGS7 landed
Absorbing
16HEAD6BODY2LEGS24 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Trinaldo targets the head (67% of attacks) — Miller absorbs 67% of strikes there
🎯Miller targets the body (43% of attacks) — Trinaldo absorbs 43% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Trinaldo
RND
Miller
0/0R00/0

Trinaldo · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.0
0105.0W5.5L5.2W5.0W2.8L4.5W6.3L4.5W4.5W4.5W5.0W4.5W4.5W4.5W2.8L4.9W5.5L5.2W6.4L5.2W4.5W6.2W6.5L4.5W4.5W6.4L2012-062014-092017-032020-072022-10
WinLossTrend

Miller · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.0
0105.5W4.5W5.5L4.5W5.2W5.0W4.5W4.5W6.4W5.5W5.5L5.0W2.1L4.5W5.0W5.0W2.1L6.5L4.5W3.5L5.5L5.0W4.5W4.5W6.8L5.5L5.5L2.4L5.0W2.9L5.0W5.5W5.5L5.2W5.7L6.2L5.2W5.9W5.2W6.4L5.0W5.7W6.2L5.3W6.3L5.4W2008-102012-052017-022021-102026-05
WinLossTrend

Trinaldo · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Randy BrownRating 6.4
Decision
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Danny RobertsRating 4.5
Decision
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W · Dec · R3
Dwight GrantRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Costa vs. Vettori · 2021-10
L · Dec · R3
Muslim SalikhovRating 6.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Sakai · 2021-06
W · KO · R3
Jai HerbertRating 6.2
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Till · 2020-07

Miller · Last 5

W · Sub · R1
Jared GordonRating 5.4
Submission
UFC 328: Chimaev vs. Strickland · 2026-05
L · Dec · R3
Chase HooperRating 6.3
Decision
UFC 314: Volkanovski vs. Lopes · 2025-04
W · Sub · R1
Damon JacksonRating 5.3
Submission
UFC 309: Jones vs. Miocic · 2024-11
L · Dec · R3
King GreenRating 6.2
Decision
UFC 300: Pereira vs. Hill · 2024-04
W · Sub · R3
Gabriel BenitezRating 5.7
Submission
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News & Media

Francisco Trinaldo · Jim Miller
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