METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Brunson vs. Machida
Sao Paulo, Brazil
28 Oct 2017
Lightweight
VS
42%
Trinaldo
58%
Miller
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Francisco TrinaldowinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Jim Miller · UFC Fight Night: Brunson vs. Machida
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Miller
→
Actual result
Trinaldo wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Trinaldo at 42% vs Miller at 58% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 12 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Miller has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 10 points.
Risk flags
Trinaldo's chin rating of 64 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Miller has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
TrinaldoMiller
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Trinaldo
Miller
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"+
Height
5'8"
70"
Reach
+71"
48
Age
+43
Southpaw
Stance
Southpaw
Trinaldo
Miller
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
31.7
43.5
48.6
Performance Avg
51.5
35
Quality of Victory
45
100
Momentum Score
28
Trinaldo
Miller
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.6
/ 10
3.4
/ 10
4.4
Style: Pressure
6.8
6.3
Style: Volume
3.5
4 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
6 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
16
Head
1
6
Body
3
2
Leg
3
RangeRange
14Distance4
5Clinch3
5Ground0
Trinaldo
Miller
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.4
/ 10
4.7
/ 10
1.6
Wrestling Style (/10)
3.3
1.1
Submission Style (/10)
5.0
2
Submission wins
14
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Trinaldo
Miller
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
64
0
Never stopped
Verdict
KO risk
0
KO/TKO Losses
2
2
Sub Losses
3
—
KO round context
Avg R1.5 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
18 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
26/37 fights
Chin rating based on
47/58 fights
Trinaldo
Miller
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
28
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R3
Last 5
W · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R3
Trinaldo
Miller
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
33%
71%
4
KO / TKO Wins
6
2
Submission Wins
14
12
Decision Wins
8
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Trinaldo
Miller
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.6
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.4
2.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
4.7
1.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.3
1.1
Submission
Submission attack frequency
5.0
4.4
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.8
6.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.5
TrinaldoMiller
Strike Zones
Trinaldo
Attacking
24 landedAbsorbing
7 absorbedMiller
Attacking
7 landedAbsorbing
24 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Trinaldo targets the head (67% of attacks) — Miller absorbs 67% of strikes there
🎯Miller targets the body (43% of attacks) — Trinaldo absorbs 43% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Trinaldo
RND
Miller
0/0R00/0
Trinaldo · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Randy BrownDecision
UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Yan · 2022-10
W · Dec · R3
Danny RobertsDecision
UFC 274: Oliveira vs. Gaethje · 2022-05
W · Dec · R3
Dwight GrantDecision
UFC Fight Night: Costa vs. Vettori · 2021-10
L · Dec · R3
Muslim SalikhovDecision
UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Sakai · 2021-06
W · KO · R3
Jai HerbertKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Till · 2020-07
Miller · Last 5
W · Sub · R1
Jared GordonSubmission
UFC 328: Chimaev vs. Strickland · 2026-05
L · Dec · R3
Chase HooperDecision
UFC 314: Volkanovski vs. Lopes · 2025-04
W · Sub · R1
Damon JacksonSubmission
UFC 309: Jones vs. Miocic · 2024-11
L · Dec · R3
King GreenDecision
UFC 300: Pereira vs. Hill · 2024-04
W · Sub · R3
Gabriel BenitezSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Walker 2 · 2024-01