METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Brunson vs. Machida
Sao Paulo, Brazil
28 Oct 2017
Lightweight
VS
42%
Trinaldo
58%
Miller
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Francisco TrinaldowinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Jim Miller · UFC Fight Night: Brunson vs. Machida
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Miller
→
Actual result
Trinaldo wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Trinaldo at 42% vs Miller at 58% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 12 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Miller has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 10 points.
Trinaldo has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Trinaldo's chin rating of 64 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Miller has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
TrinaldoMiller
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Trinaldo
Miller
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"+
Height
5'8"
70"
Reach
+71"
47
Age
+42
Southpaw
Stance
Southpaw
Trinaldo
Miller
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
31.7
43.5
48.6
Performance Avg
51.5
35
Quality of Victory
45
100
Momentum Score
28
Trinaldo
Miller
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.1
1.0
47%
Strike Accuracy
41%
3.6
Striking Style Score (/10)
3.4
4 KOs
KO Finishes
6 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
16
Head
1
6
Body
3
2
Leg
3
RangeRange
14Distance4
5Clinch3
5Ground0
Trinaldo
Miller
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
0.0
2.4
Grappling Style Score (/10)
4.7
1.6
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
3.3
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Trinaldo
Miller
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
64
0
Never stopped
Verdict
KO risk
0
KO/TKO Losses
2
2
Sub Losses
3
—
KO round context
Avg R1.5 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
18 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
26/37 fights
Chin rating based on
47/58 fights
Trinaldo
Miller
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
28
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R3
Last 5
W · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R3
Trinaldo
Miller
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
33%
71%
4
KO / TKO Wins
6
2
Submission Wins
14
12
Decision Wins
8
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Trinaldo
Miller
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.6
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.4
2.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
4.7
1.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.3
1.1
Submission
Submission attack frequency
5.0
4.4
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.8
6.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.5
TrinaldoMiller
Strike Zones
Trinaldo
Attacking
24 landedAbsorbing
7 absorbedMiller
Attacking
7 landedAbsorbing
24 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Trinaldo targets the head (67% of attacks) — Miller absorbs 67% of strikes there
🎯Miller targets the body (43% of attacks) — Trinaldo absorbs 43% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Trinaldo
RND
Miller
0/0R00/0
Trinaldo · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.0WinLossTrend
Miller · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.0WinLossTrend
Trinaldo · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Randy BrownRating 6.4Decision
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W · Dec · R3
Danny RobertsRating 4.5Decision
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L · Dec · R3
Muslim SalikhovRating 6.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Sakai · 2021-06
W · KO · R3
Jai HerbertRating 6.2KO/TKO
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Miller · Last 5
W · Sub · R1
Jared GordonRating 5.4Submission
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L · Dec · R3
Chase HooperRating 6.3Decision
UFC 314: Volkanovski vs. Lopes · 2025-04
W · Sub · R1
Damon JacksonRating 5.3Submission
UFC 309: Jones vs. Miocic · 2024-11
L · Dec · R3
King GreenRating 6.2Decision
UFC 300: Pereira vs. Hill · 2024-04
W · Sub · R3
Gabriel BenitezRating 5.7Submission
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