UFC 46: Supernatural
Las Vegas, USA
31 Jan 2004
Middleweight
VS
66%
Murray
34%
Rivera
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 1:45
LM
Lee Murray
"Lightning"
8 – 2
6'3"Orthodox48 yrsSubmission Hunter
CFR 28
JR
Jorge Rivera
"El Conquistador"
20 – 9
Striker54 yrsOrthodox73" reach6'1"
CFR 14

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Murray

Murray holds a meaningful edge at 66% per the CFR ratings — but Rivera has real paths to victory.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 14 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Risk flags

Rivera has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Murray
Rivera
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'3"+
Height
6'1"
Reach
73"
48+
Age
54
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Murray
Rivera
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
28.1
14.4
72.4
Performance Avg
48.0
54
Quality of Victory
44
100
Momentum Score
30
Murray
Rivera
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
—
1.3
0%
Strike Accuracy
54%
2.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
7.3
0 KOs
KO Finishes
5 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
0
Head
1
0
Body
0
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
0Distance0
0Clinch1
0Ground1
Murray
Rivera
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
8.0
/ 10
0.9
/ 10
5.6
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.6
10.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
1
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Murray
Rivera
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
100
0
Never stopped
Verdict
KO risk
0
KO/TKO Losses
3
0
Sub Losses
3
—
KO round context
Avg R1.3 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
2 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
1/10 fights
Chin rating based on
15/29 fights
Murray
Rivera
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
30
W · Sub · R1
Last 5
W · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
W · KO · R2
W · KO · R3
Murray
Rivera
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
63%
0
KO / TKO Wins
5
1
Submission Wins
0
0
Decision Wins
3

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Murray
Rivera
Striking2.0 / 7.3Volume2.0 / 4.1Grappling8.0 / 0.9Wrestling5.6 / 0.6Submission10.0 / 0.0Pressure10.0 / 6.0
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
7.3
8.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.9
5.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.6
10.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
10.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.0
2.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.1
Murray
Strike Zones
Rivera
Murray
Attacking
0HEAD0BODY0LEGS0 landed
Absorbing
1HEAD0BODY1LEGS2 absorbed
Rivera
Attacking
1HEAD0BODY1LEGS2 landed
Absorbing
0HEAD0BODY0LEGS0 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Rivera targets the head (50% of attacks) — Murray absorbs 50% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Murray
RND
Rivera
0/0R00/0

Rivera · QOF Timeline

Avg: 3.8
0104.5W1.5L4.0L4.5W1.5L5.0W1.5L5.0W1.5L4.5W5.5W5.2W2.8L5.5L5.2W2003-092006-012008-062011-022012-01
WinLossTrend

Murray · Last 1

W · Sub · R1
Jorge RiveraRating 5
Submission
UFC 46: Supernatural · 2004-01

Rivera · Last 5

W · KO · R2
Eric SchaferRating 5.2
KO/TKO
UFC on FX: Guillard vs Miller · 2012-01
L · Dec · R3
Constantinos PhilippouRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 133: Evans vs Ortiz 2 · 2011-08
L · KO · R2
Michael BispingRating 2.8
KO/TKO
UFC 127: Penn vs Fitch · 2011-02
W · KO · R2
Nate QuarryRating 5.2
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Florian vs Gomi · 2010-03
W · KO · R3
Rob KimmonsRating 5.5
KO/TKO
UFC 104: Machida vs Shogun · 2009-10

News & Media

Lee Murray · Jorge Rivera
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