Donald Cerrone vs John Makdessi — UFC Fight Analysis & Result

METRICS GUIDE

Every stat on this page, explained

All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

UFC 187: Johnson vs Cormier

Las Vegas, USA

23 May 2015

Lightweight

48%

Cerrone

52%

Makdessi

Win Probability

KO/TKO

Round 2 · 4:44

Donald Cerrone

"Cowboy"

36 – 17

6'1"73" reachOrthodox43 yrs6-fight slideWell-Rounded

CFR 28

John Makdessi

"The Bull"

18 – 9

Well-Rounded2-fight slide41 yrsOrthodox68" reach5'8"

CFR 31

★ Official Result

Donald CerronewinsKO/TKOR2 · 4:44

def. John Makdessi · UFC 187: Johnson vs Cormier

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result

We predicted

Makdessi

→

Actual result

Cerrone wins

KO/TKO · R2

Pre-fight analysis

This is a genuine toss-up — Cerrone at 48% vs Makdessi at 52% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Cerrone has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 13 points.

Risk flags

Cerrone's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Makdessi has a chin rating of 32 — a potential KO vulnerability.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout

CerroneMakdessi

Sig. Strikes

0.0

Strikes / min (SLpM)

0.0

—

Strike Accuracy

—

Cerrone

Makdessi

Physical Matchup

Height · Reach · Age · Stance

6'1"+

Height

5'8"

73"+

Reach

68"

Age

+41

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

Cerrone

Makdessi

Composite Fighter Rating

Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability

28.2

30.9

53.0

Performance Avg

42.2

Quality of Victory

Momentum Score

Cerrone

Makdessi

Striking

Career averages · see This Fight stats above

5.6

/ 10

3.8

/ 10

6.7

Style: Pressure

3.6

3.7

Style: Volume

6.9

10 KO wins

Finish Rate (strikes)

3 KO wins

Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped

Strike targetStrike target

Head

Body

Leg

RangeRange

38Distance38

2Clinch2

0Ground0

Cerrone

Makdessi

Grappling

Career averages · see This Fight stats above

2.8

/ 10

1.8

/ 10

2.0

Wrestling Style (/10)

1.2

2.6

Submission Style (/10)

0.0

Submission wins

Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped

Cerrone

Makdessi

Durability / Chin

Resilience against knockouts and stoppages

2 consec. KOs

Verdict

KO risk

KO/TKO Losses

Sub Losses

Avg R1.1 stoppage

KO round context

Avg R1.5 stoppage

1 fight ago

Last KO loss

7 fights ago

—

Strikes absorbed / min

—

38/53 fights

Chin rating based on

20/27 fights

Cerrone

Makdessi

Form & Momentum

Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%

6-fight 📉 slide

Current form

2-fight 📉 slide

L · Sub · R2

L · KO · R1

Upcoming

L · Dec · R3

L · KO · R1

Last 5

L · Dec · R3

W · Dec · R3

L · Dec · R3

W · Dec · R3

Cerrone

Makdessi

Finish Rate

Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission

70%

27%

KO / TKO Wins

Submission Wins

Decision Wins

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Cerrone

Makdessi

Fighter 1

Fighter 2

5.6

Striking

KO power & stand-up volume

3.8

2.8

Grappling

Ground control & clinch

1.8

2.0

Wrestling

Takedown threat & defence

1.2

2.6

Submission

Submission attack frequency

0.0

6.7

Pressure

Clinch/ground work rate

3.6

3.7

Volume

Decision-pace fighting

6.9

Cerrone

Strike Zones

Makdessi

Cerrone

Attacking

40 landed

Absorbing

40 absorbed

Makdessi

Attacking

40 landed

Absorbing

40 absorbed

Targeting Overlap

🎯Cerrone targets the head (68% of attacks) — Makdessi absorbs 68% of strikes there

🎯Makdessi targets the head (43% of attacks) — Cerrone absorbs 43% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Cerrone

RND

Makdessi

0/0R00/0

Cerrone · Last 5

L · Sub · R2

Jim Miller

Submission

UFC 276: Adesanya vs. Cannonier · 2022-07

L · KO · R1

Alex Morono

KO/TKO

UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. Waterson · 2021-05

Upcoming

Niko Price

UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Woodley · 2020-09

L · Dec · R3

Anthony Pettis

Decision

UFC 249: Ferguson vs. Gaethje · 2020-05

L · KO · R1

Conor McGregor

KO/TKO

UFC 246: McGregor vs. Cowboy · 2020-01

Makdessi · Last 5

L · Dec · R3

Jamie Mullarkey

Decision

UFC 293: Adesanya vs. Strickland · 2023-09

L · Dec · R3

Nasrat Haqparast

Decision

UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Tuivasa · 2022-09

W · Dec · R3

Ignacio Bahamondes

Decision

UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Holland · 2021-04

L · Dec · R3

Francisco Trinaldo

Decision

UFC Fight Night: Lee vs. Oliveira · 2020-03

W · Dec · R3

Jesus Pinedo

Decision

UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Pettis · 2019-03

News & Media

Donald Cerrone · John Makdessi

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