METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 281: Adesanya vs. Pereira
New York City, USA
12 Nov 2022
Bantamweight
VS
49%
Arce
51%
Jackson
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Montel JacksonwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Julio Arce · UFC 281: Adesanya vs. Pereira
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Jackson
→
Actual result
Jackson wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Arce at 49% vs Jackson at 51% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
ArceJackson
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Arce
Jackson
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'7"
Height
+5'10"
70"
Reach
+75"
36
Age
+34
Southpaw
Stance
Southpaw
Arce
Jackson
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
49.4
52.4
49.5
Performance Avg
51.6
43
Quality of Victory
40
65
Momentum Score
48
Arce
Jackson
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
6.2
/ 10
4.7
/ 10
6.5
Style: Pressure
5.2
3.9
Style: Volume
5.8
3 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
3 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
4
Head
23
2
Body
1
1
Leg
0
RangeRange
6Distance11
1Clinch2
0Ground11
Arce
Jackson
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.1
/ 10
2.2
/ 10
1.5
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.6
1.7
Submission Style (/10)
1.1
1
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Arce
Jackson
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
72
92
Moderate
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
3 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
10/25 fights
Chin rating based on
14/19 fights
Arce
Jackson
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
65
48
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
W · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
W · KO · R2
Last 5
Upcoming
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
Arce
Jackson
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
67%
44%
3
KO / TKO Wins
3
1
Submission Wins
1
2
Decision Wins
5
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Arce
Jackson
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.2
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.7
2.1
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.2
1.5
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.6
1.7
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.1
6.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.2
3.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.8
ArceJackson
Strike Zones
Arce
Attacking
7 landedAbsorbing
24 absorbedJackson
Attacking
24 landedAbsorbing
7 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Arce targets the head (57% of attacks) — Jackson absorbs 57% of strikes there
🎯Jackson targets the head (96% of attacks) — Arce absorbs 96% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Arce
RND
Jackson
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Arce · Last 5
W · KO · R2
Herbert BurnsKO/TKO
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Upcoming
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