UFC 242: Khabib vs. Poirier
Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates
7 Sept 2019
Featherweight
VS
40%
Tukhugov
60%
Murphy
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Murphy
Murphy holds a meaningful edge at 60% per the CFR ratings — but Tukhugov has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 21 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Striking split: Tukhugov throws more volume but Murphy connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Tukhugov
Murphy
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'8"
Height
+5'9"
68"
Reach
+73"
35
Age
+34
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Tukhugov
Murphy
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
44.4
65.5
48.4
Performance Avg
57.7
39
Quality of Victory
36
92
Momentum Score
100
Tukhugov
Murphy
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.4
1.3
44%
Strike Accuracy
52%
5.3
Striking Style Score (/10)
5.1
2 KOs
KO Finishes
3 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
2
Head
4
0
Body
5
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
2Distance8
0Clinch1
0Ground0
Tukhugov
Murphy
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
1.4
/ 10
1.6
/ 10
1.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.1
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Tukhugov
Murphy
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
94
98
Never stopped
Verdict
Never stopped
0
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
0
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
9/26 fights
Chin rating based on
11/18 fights
Tukhugov
Murphy
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
92
100
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
Upcoming
Last 5
L · Dec · R5
W · KO · R1
W · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R5
Tukhugov
Murphy
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
40%
33%
2
KO / TKO Wins
3
0
Submission Wins
0
3
Decision Wins
6
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Tukhugov
Murphy
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.1
1.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.6
1.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.1
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.7
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.0
6.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
7.1
TukhugovMurphy
Strike Zones
Tukhugov
Attacking
2 landedAbsorbing
9 absorbedMurphy
Attacking
9 landedAbsorbing
2 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Tukhugov targets the head (100% of attacks) — Murphy absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Murphy targets the body (56% of attacks) — Tukhugov absorbs 56% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Tukhugov
RND
Murphy
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Tukhugov · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.3WinLossTrend
Murphy · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.2WinLossTrend
Tukhugov · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Elves BrenerRating 6.3Decision
UFC 284: Makhachev vs. Volkanovski · 2023-02
W · Dec · R3
Ricardo RamosRating 4.6Decision
UFC 267: Blachowicz vs. Teixeira · 2021-10
L · Dec · R3
Hakeem DawoduRating 5.6Decision
UFC 253: Adesanya vs. Costa · 2020-09
W · KO · R1
Kevin AguilarRating 5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Felder vs. Hooker · 2020-02
Upcoming
Lerone MurphyDecision
UFC 242: Khabib vs. Poirier · 2019-09
Murphy · Last 5
L · Dec · R5
Movsar EvloevRating 6.8Decision
UFC Fight Night: Evloev vs. Murphy · 2026-03
W · KO · R1
Aaron PicoRating 5.1KO/TKO
UFC 319: Du Plessis vs. Chimaev · 2025-08
W · Dec · R5
Josh EmmettRating 4.6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Murphy · 2025-04
W · Dec · R3
Dan IgeRating 5.2Decision
UFC 308: Topuria vs. Holloway · 2024-10
W · Dec · R5
Edson BarbozaRating 5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Murphy · 2024-05
